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The Greyhounds Make Great Pets A4 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Snuggie Bennyd 4y 14 | Myles Cummins — 9% R11 W1 P7 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | - | 71 (3) | 57 (4) | 68 (3) | 58 (4) | 61 (4) | 77 (3) | 90 (1) | 73 (3) | 63 (3) | 51 (5) | 40 | 46 | - | 18 | 67 | 55 | 3 | N/P | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ballinulty Jane? ? 24 | Michael O'Brien — 5% R22 W1 P11 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 56 (5) | 69 (3) | 67 (3) | 65 (2) | 76 (2) | 73 (3) | 72 (2) | 42 (6) | 79 (1) | 48 (4) | 22 | 34 | 22 | 27 | 65 | 47 | 4 | N/P | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ballinabola Sukib 2y 25 | - | - | 60 | - | 72 (2) | 61 (5) | 63 (5) | 67 (4) | 73 (3) | 80 (1) | 50 (5) | 64 (2) | 52 (4) | 38 (5) | 4 | 15 | 14 | 20 | 65 | 42 | 6 | N/P | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Airfield Thunderb 5y 34 | - | - | 57 | - | 67 (3) | 52 (6) | 69 (3) | 76 (2) | 77 (2) | 73 (3) | 76 (3) | 90 (1) | 67 (4) | 94 (1) | 32 | 31 | 20 | 25 | 70 | 51 | 1 | N/P | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Carrigmore Finn? ? 4 | - | - | 46 | - | 45 (6) | 68 (2) | 65 (4) | 35 (6) | 88 (1) | 56 (6) | 39 (6) | 85 (1) | 64 (3) | 60 (4) | 23 | 43 | 35 | 32 | 59 | 46 | 5 | N/P | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Ready To Shineb 2y 15 | - | - | 47 | - | 63 (2) | 66 (4) | 64 (4) | 68 (2) | 86 (1) | 67 (3) | 80 (1) | 66 (3) | 74 (2) | 50 (5) | 37 | 37 | 23 | 40 | 68 | 50 | 2 | N/P | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Airfield Thunder | 28.91 | 29.33 | 29.24 | 57 | +0.33 | Fastest, T4 risk | |
| 1 | Snuggie Benny | 29.01 | 29.50 | 29.01 | 58 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 2 | Ballinulty Jane | 29.13 | 29.53 | 29.21 | 47 | +0.08 | Slowed LTO | |
| 5 | Carrigmore Finn | 29.13 | 29.70 | 29.07 | 46 | -0.06 | Sliding form | |
| 3 | Ballinabola Suki | 29.19 | 29.45 | 29.25 | 60 | +0.06 | Only 2 C&D runs | |
| 6 | Ready To Shine | 29.26 | 29.59 | 29.37 | 47 | +0.11 | 5 places in 6 |
A cracking, wide-open A4 to close out the morning's better races. Limerick's 525 metres rewards the stopwatch, and at this grade trap 3 (22.5%) and trap 1 (21.7%) are the boxes to hold while traps 4 and 6 win barely one in nine from 1,121 runs. The complication: the three fastest dogs in this field are scattered across good and bad draws. Snuggie Benny gets the favoured rail with the second-best speed rating and a sharp 29.01 clocking, fresh off a third at A3. Airfield Thunder owns the fastest time in the race — 28.91 — and the best average form, but he's stuck in the trap 4 graveyard. Ballinabola Suki holds the top speed rating from the best box of all, though she's barely raced here. Six in-form, closely matched runners; the draw is the tiebreaker, and it points to the rail.
The cleanest combination of current form, speed and draw in a race full of near-misses. Third at A3 grade last week rated 71 — a level above today's — with a 29.01 best time and the second-highest speed rating in the field. He's been racing exclusively against A2 and A3 company for months, so this is a genuine class drop, and he lands trap 1, which wins 21.7% at this grade. The knock is his course record: one win from ten at the trip, and Myles Cummins' kennel runs at a modest 10%. But no other in-form runner here combines a favoured box with his clock. In a race this tight, that's the edge.
On the book he's the best dog in the race: a 70 average performance leads the field, his 28.91 best time is the fastest here, and he was third here last week rated 67 with 76 and 77-rated runs earlier in the summer against A3 and A2 company. Two wins from ten at the trip. Then the draw undoes it — trap 4 wins 11.2% at this grade, the worst statistic in the race. He's the type to prove a trap stat wrong, because the engine is clearly the biggest here, but history says dogs from that box spend the first bend in traffic. The danger, and a strong one.
A model of A4 consistency — ten straight runs at this grade, ratings mostly in the 60s and 70s, and placed in four of her ten course and distance starts with a win. Her 29.13 best time is competitive too. But her last run rated 56 in fifth with a 30.01 clocking, her slowest for months, and Michael O'Brien's kennel wins at just 6%. Reliable enough to be in the frame; short of the spark to beat four faster rivals.
The top speed rating in the race, a 29.19 clocking she matched exactly last time out, and now the best box at the grade — the raw ingredients are all here, and two models make her their pick. The hesitations: she's only run twice over this course and distance (one placing), her recent form has come at A3/A4 elsewhere, and she hasn't raced in a month. A dog this fast from trap 3 could easily win; the thin local record and the layoff are why she's third choice rather than first.
An 88-rated run five starts back is the biggest figure on anyone's card here, and he's won twice over the course and distance. But the trend is wrong: sixth last time rated 45, and only one run above 68 since spring. Trap 5 wins just 12.8% at this grade. Two condition-based models side with him on his course pedigree, and if the May version reappears he wins — the July version has been well held twice running.
Second here last week rated 63 and placed in five of her last six runs — she turns up every single week, with an 86-rated peak earlier in the summer against A3 company. Two wins and five placings from ten course and distance starts. The wide box wins only 11.2% at this grade though, and her best time gives the front three a couple of lengths. Her consistency makes her the safest place bet in the race; the draw and the clock cap her win chance.
Key insight: A4 at Limerick 525m: trap 3 (22.5%) and trap 1 (21.7%) are the boxes to hold; traps 4 and 6 win 11.2%. The three fastest dogs here are split across good and bad draws — the draw is the tiebreaker in a race the clock can't separate.
T1:21.7% T2:16.0% T3:22.5% T4:11.2% T5:12.8% T6:11.2%
1,121 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.