Two career runs, a sixth and a well-beaten effort, with ratings of 42 and 30 and the second-slowest best time in the field. She hasn't raced in five weeks either. Two runs is far too little to write anyone off for good, but nothing she's shown so far — on the clock or in the form book — suggests she's ready to trouble even a modest A7. Watch for improvement before taking an interest.

One career run — a fifth over 350 metres at sprint grade six weeks ago — and now he tries 525 metres for the first time. There is simply no evidence he stays this trip: no distance form, the slowest time in the field from his sprint outing, and the lowest speed rating. First-time distance runners can surprise, but backing one with a single modest sprint to his name is guesswork. One to watch, not to back.

A single career run — a 47-rated fourth here in late April — and nothing since: a three-month absence that makes her the biggest mystery in the field. Her one clocking of 30.04 and a decent speed rating hint at ability, and one of the models actually makes her its pick. But one run twelve weeks ago is a rumour, not a form line. If she's been readied at home she could outrun this assessment; there's just no evidence to bet on.

Two career runs rating 37 and 38, both well beaten, with the second-lowest speed rating in the field and a best time three lengths off the leading pair. He's also been absent since mid-June. Young dogs improve in jumps, so he's not condemned on two starts — but everything measurable currently places him at the rear of this field, and the wide box offers no help at this grade. Others make far more appeal.