His best clocking of 29.65 is among the quickest in the race and he's rated in the high 60s within his last five runs, mostly in stronger A5 company. Two wins and four placings from ten course and distance starts is a solid local record too. The problem is the draw — and it's a big one. He also hasn't raced for a month. The ability is real; the circumstances are all wrong.

Just three career runs and a sixth in A5 company last time. She showed something two starts back with a 56-rated second at A8 grade, so there may be improvement to come, but she's unproven at this level and drawn in one of the two dead boxes at the grade. Limited experience means her figures are more guesswork than evidence — treat with caution either way.

A 71-rated run two starts back shows what he's capable of, and he's been mixing A5 and A6 company with a course win among his five starts at this trip. But his last run was a fifth rated 49, and his best time leaves him three or four lengths to find on Varra Whistler's clock. The condition-based models like him, and his peak figure would go close — he just hasn't produced it in his last two.

Owns the fastest single clocking in the race — 29.53 — and a 77-rated performance within her last six runs, mostly gained in stronger A5 company. Two wins and five placings from ten course and distance starts is a proper local record. But her last two runs rated just 44 and 49, and the wide box wins only 14% at this grade. Her best form wins this; she's shown no sign of it for three weeks.