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The Greyhound and Petworld A5 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ashmore Nedd 2y 17 | David Hickey — 11% R27 W3 P15 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | - | 78 (1) | 46 (6) | 57 (5) | 56 (5) | 53 (6) | 49 (5) | 77 (1) | 57 (2) | - | - | 5 | 25 | 36 | 26 | 60 | 48 | 4 | N/P | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Rockbarton Gloryd 3y 38 | - | - | 55 | - | 56 (4) | 59 (3) | 47 (6) | 54 (4) | 69 (3) | 66 (3) | 55 (4) | 82 (1) | 57 (5) | 77 (3) | 16 | 23 | 27 | 13 | 60 | 35 | 3 | N/P | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Inislosky Brandy? ? 6 | Eugene Corkery — 31% R16 W5 P9 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 68 (2) | 68 (2) | 78 (1) | 73 (1) | 49 (4) | 46 (4) | 54 (5) | 75 (1) | 68 (2) | 72 (2) | 34 | 46 | 45 | 52 | 66 | 54 | 1 | N/P | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballinulty Texd 2y 34 | Michael O'Brien — 5% R22 W1 P11 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 55 (3) | 63 (2) | 68 (2) | 73 (2) | 64 (2) | 56 (4) | 41 (6) | 43 (6) | 67 (2) | 85 (1) | 28 | 46 | 37 | 42 | 61 | 45 | 2 | N/P | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Fast Fit Carab 2y 23 | - | - | 28 | - | 45 (5) | 44 (5) | 73 (1) | 49 (2) | 33 (6) | 45 (4) | 49 (4) | 38 (6) | 39 (5) | 31 (6) | - | 17 | 6 | 19 | 47 | 27 | 6 | N/P | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Dixies Velvet? ? 13 | - | - | 39 | - | 49 (5) | 55 (4) | 71 (2) | 83 (1) | 46 (6) | 51 (5) | 79 (1) | 57 (4) | 57 (5) | 42 (6) | 22 | 22 | 34 | 23 | 59 | 41 | 5 | N/P | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ashmore Ned | 29.11 | 29.59 | 29.52 | 55 | +0.41 | Won LTO, fastest | |
| 4 | Ballinulty Tex | 29.12 | 29.57 | 29.02 | 49 | -0.10 | Times slipping | |
| 2 | Rockbarton Glory | 29.26 | 29.60 | 29.44 | 51 | +0.18 | Dead box T2 | |
| 5 | Cherrygrove One | 29.28 | 29.69 | 29.41 | 53 | +0.13 | 3 months off | |
| 6 | Dixies Velvet | 29.35 | 29.79 | 29.35 | 35 | 0.00 | Off best form | |
| 3 | Inislosky Brandy | 29.57 | 29.79 | 29.47 | 43 | -0.10 | 3 C&D wins, slow |
Speed settles most arguments over Limerick's 525 metres, and at A5 grade the boxes lean wide — trap 6 wins 19.6%, trap 2 barely one in ten, with the model's top-ranked dog winning a feeble 13.2% at this grade from 796 runs. That last statistic matters here, because the model's top pick Inislosky Brandy — an admirable course specialist with three wins at the trip and the hottest trainer on the card behind him — is also one of the slowest dogs in the race on the clock. Ashmore Ned is the opposite: fastest best time by a length and a half, top speed rating, and a 78-rated winner last time out, dropping down through the grades from A2. The race shape is simple — Ned has the speed to be gone before Brandy's staying-on style can bite, and only trouble on the rail stops him.
Won at this level a fortnight ago with a 78-rated performance — the best figure in this field by six points — and the clock adores him: a 29.11 best time that's a length and a half clear of anything else here, the top speed rating, and the fastest average times. He's been running against A2 and A3 company for most of the year, so this is a class drop with form to match. Only two course and distance runs, but they read one win, one placing. David Hickey's kennel is quiet at 13%, and the rail box is unspectacular at this grade — those are the quibbles. The speed gap is the story.
The course specialist and the model's darling: three wins and seven placings from ten course and distance runs — the best local record in the field — plus a 66 average that leads the race and Eugene Corkery's 33% kennel behind him. He's placed in his last two, rating 68 both times, and hit 78 earlier in the summer. So why not the pick? He's among the slowest here on raw times, with a best of 29.57 that Ned beats by nearly two lengths. At a track where speed is the strongest single predictor, he needs the fast ones to falter — but his consistency means he's first in the queue if they do.
Rated 69 within his last five runs, mostly at A4 grade a level above this, and his 29.26 best time is second-fastest in the race. A month off since a fourth in mid-June and just one win from ten course and distance starts. He'd be interesting from a fair box, but he's drawn in the one that wins barely one race in ten at this grade — a dog with his moderate finishing record can't afford to give away the start too.
Placed in six of his ten course and distance runs and rated 73 within his last five, most of that form gained at A4 a grade above. His 29.12 best clocking is genuinely fast — second only to Ned — but it's ancient history on recent evidence: his last run at 29.97 was the slowest he's posted at the trip. Michael O'Brien's kennel wins at just 6%. Frame candidate on his record, win candidate only at his very best.
Hasn't raced since early April — a three-month absence that overshadows everything else on his card. The back form is respectable, with a 72-rated run at A4 last time and a sharp 29.28 best, but a dog returning from a long layoff into a competitive A5 is a leap of faith. One win from ten course and distance starts. The 29.40 he clocked on his final run before the break says the ability is intact; match fitness is the unknown.
An 83-rated run four starts back shows a ceiling few here can match, and she's won twice over this course and distance. But the recent pattern is grim — fifth last time rated 49, a 30.36 clocking that's the slowest recent time in the field, and the lowest speed rating in the race. She gets the best box at the grade, which keeps her alive for a place, but the current version of Dixies Velvet is several lengths off her paper best.
Key insight: A5 at Limerick 525m is the composite model's weakest grade (top rank wins 13.2%) while the fastest dog wins 24.3% — this race is the archetype: the model's top pick is one of the slowest dogs in the field, the speed leader is a length and a half clear on the clock.
T1:15.0% T2:10.7% T3:18.2% T4:17.0% T5:14.3% T6:19.6%
796 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 350m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ashmore Ned | — | 0.563 |
| 2 | Rockbarton Glory | — | 0.564 |
| 3 | Inislosky Brandy | — | 0.567 |
| 4 | Ballinulty Tex | — | 0.563 |
| 5 | Fast Fit Cara | 0.589 | 0.575 |
| 6 | Dixies Velvet | — | 0.567 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.