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Welcome to Limerick Greyhound Stadium A7 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Samrose Dartd 2y 34 | - | - | 46 | - | 42 (5) | 33 (5) | 49 (2) | 34 (5) | 44 (4) | 39 (5) | 39 (5) | 44 (5) | - | - | 4 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40 | 18 | 1 | N/P | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Honeypound Roseb 1y 3 | - | - | 53 | - | 48 (3) | 37 (6) | 33 (6) | 58 (3) | 36 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 43 | 39 | 2 | N/P | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Aqua Camellia? ? 3 | - | - | 49 | - | 47 (5) | 40 (5) | 43 (3) | 42 (6) | 47 (3) | 53 (3) | 66 (1) | 41 (5) | 65 (1) | 65 (1) | 4 | 19 | 21 | 16 | 48 | 40 | 5 | N/P | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Knockbawn Magicd 4y 27 | Michael Shine — 22% R9 W2 P4 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 51 (3) | 37 (6) | 36 (6) | 66 (1) | 43 (5) | 44 (4) | 51 (4) | 54 (4) | 44 (5) | 59 (3) | 23 | 22 | 17 | 17 | 47 | 41 | 4 | N/P | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Rallying Boyd 2y 14 | John O'Brien — 7% R15 W1 P4 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 64 (1) | 36 (5) | 45 (4) | 46 (3) | 51 (4) | 33 (6) | 48 (4) | 42 (5) | 45 (4) | 42 (4) | 20 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 47 | 38 | 3 | N/P | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Stookeens Sadie? ? 6 | - | - | 34 | - | 35 (6) | 34 (5) | 35 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 35 | 26 | 6 | N/P | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Knockbawn Magic | 29.87 | 30.24 | 29.87 | 54 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 2 | Honeypound Rose | 29.94 | 30.32 | — | 53 | — | 0 places from 5 | |
| 1 | Samrose Dart | 29.97 | 30.43 | — | 46 | — | 0 wins from 8 | |
| 3 | Aqua Camellia | 30.00 | 30.32 | 29.90 | 49 | -0.10 | 3 C&D wins | |
| 5 | Rallying Boy | 30.07 | 30.32 | 30.25 | 51 | +0.18 | Won LTO | |
| 6 | Stookeens Sadie | 30.47 | 30.57 | — | 34 | — | Only 3 runs |
Limerick's 525-metre trip is a fair galloping test where raw speed counts for more than anything else — and at A7 grade the trap draw is unusually even, with trap 1 the marginal best box at 18% and trap 6 the weakest at 15% from 552 runs. No box wins this race at the traps, so it comes down to the clock. Knockbawn Magic from trap 4 has the best time in the field and the top speed rating, and he was closing off a third place last week. Honeypound Rose alongside in trap 2 isn't far behind on times but has never won over course and distance. Rallying Boy took this grade last week with easily the best single run any of these has produced lately, so the front of this race should be fought out between traps 4 and 5, with Aqua Camellia's proven course record making her the value of the outsiders.
The fastest dog in the race on every measure — best time of 29.87 is the quickest here, his average times lead the field, and he holds the top speed rating. He ran on for third last week and has hit a 66-rated run recently, the best single figure in this field bar Rallying Boy's win. Michael Shine's runners win at a healthy one-in-four clip, and with the draw essentially even at this grade, the quickest dog from a clean break should simply be too strong. One course win from ten shows he's done it here before.
Won this grade last week with a 64-rated run — the best single performance anyone in this field has produced recently, and proof he's in form right now. The question is whether he backs it up: before that win his form was ordinary, and his best time of 30.07 leaves him a couple of lengths to find against Knockbawn Magic on the clock. Trainer John O'Brien's overall strike rate is modest, but a last-time-out winner in this grade always demands respect.
Finished fifth last time out and hasn't cracked a top-two finish in her recent runs, with ratings in the 30s and 40s throughout. All eight career runs have come at this level and she's placed just once over course and distance from three attempts. The slowest section of the field on the clock bar one — hard to see her troubling the leaders.
Third last time out with a career-best 29.94 to her name, and her recent times aren't far off the leaders. The worry is she's had five runs over this course and distance without ever making the first two — she gets close without finishing the job. Only five career runs, so there could be more to come, but she needs to find a length on the two either side of her.
The proven course specialist here — three wins and three more placings from ten runs at this track and trip, comfortably the best strike rate in the race. The catch is her recent ratings have been flat, finishing fifth on her last two starts, and on the clock she's a couple of lengths shy of Knockbawn Magic. If she bounces back to her earlier level she wins, but the recent runs suggest she's just below her best.
Just three career runs and none of them have produced much — ratings in the mid-30s and a sixth last time out. Her best time is six lengths off the pace of this field and she's yet to place anywhere. One run doesn't tell you much, but three runs all at the same modest level starts to paint a picture. Hard to make a case at this stage of her career.
Key insight: A7 at Limerick 525m is a level playing field at the traps (best box just 18%) and the composite model wins only 17.8% — the fastest dog on the clock is the most reliable angle in a grade this scrappy.
T1:18.0% T2:15.6% T3:17.6% T4:15.8% T5:15.3% T6:15.0%
552 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 350m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Samrose Dart | 0.574 | 0.580 |
| 2 | Honeypound Rose | — | 0.579 |
| 3 | Aqua Camellia | — | 0.578 |
| 4 | Knockbawn Magic | — | 0.576 |
| 5 | Rallying Boy | — | 0.577 |
| 6 | Stookeens Sadie | — | 0.584 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.