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The Book Your Trials Online A5/A6 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Millmount Rocky? ? 4 | - | - | 53 | - | 63 (2) | 68 (2) | 63 (3) | 53 (5) | 68 (2) | 75 (1) | 51 (6) | 65 (3) | 59 (5) | 75 (1) | 57 | 34 | 27 | 43 | 64 | 56 | 1 | N/P | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Varra Lasrach? ? 25 | Donal Casey — 18% R11 W2 P8 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 50 (4) | 68 (2) | 47 (6) | 62 (2) | 66 (2) | 58 (3) | 48 (4) | 60 (3) | 49 (6) | 64 (4) | 25 | 21 | 18 | 20 | 57 | 40 | 4 | N/P | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Lingrawn Focus? ? 15 | - | - | 49 | - | 62 (3) | 58 (4) | 59 (2) | 64 (2) | 61 (3) | 58 (4) | 56 (5) | 74 (1) | 47 (5) | 53 (4) | 3 | 15 | 9 | 19 | 60 | 44 | 6 | N/P | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Shanakyle Sallyb 3y 23 | - | - | 51 | - | 71 (2) | 53 (5) | 64 (3) | 74 (1) | 50 (6) | 50 (4) | 55 (4) | 80 (1) | 63 (3) | 67 (3) | 12 | 20 | 14 | 25 | 63 | 47 | 3 | N/P | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Tyrap Pollyb 2y 5 | John Gerard Cronin — 22% R27 W6 P16 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 78 (1) | 54 (5) | 65 (2) | 63 (3) | 57 (4) | 52 (4) | 69 (1) | 49 (4) | 43 (5) | 48 (2) | - | 27 | 11 | 32 | 61 | 47 | 5 | N/P | - | |
| 6 | ▶ California Skyd 1y 9 | Donal Duggan — 21% R34 W7 P22 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 74 (1) | 67 (1) | 49 (2) | 43 (4) | 48 (4) | 39 (4) | 37 (5) | - | - | - | 13 | 39 | - | 51 | 55 | 49 | 2 | N/P | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millmount Rocky | 29.43 | 29.67 | 29.85 | 53 | +0.42 | Model pick | |
| 6 | California Sky | 29.50 | 29.90 | 29.50 | 49 | 0.00 | Won LTO, hot | |
| 3 | Lingrawn Focus | 29.51 | 29.75 | 29.41 | 49 | -0.10 | 1 win from 10 | |
| 4 | Shanakyle Sally | 29.52 | 29.73 | 29.52 | 51 | 0.00 | In-and-out | |
| 2 | Varra Lasrach | 29.54 | 29.75 | — | 46 | — | 0 wins from 10 | |
| 5 | Tyrap Polly | 29.54 | 29.83 | 29.58 | 48 | +0.04 | Won LTO |
The 525 metres at Limerick is a galloping trip where the clock is king, and A5 grade here carries a quirk worth knowing: the wide box is actually the place to be, with trap 6 the best-performing draw at 19.6% while trap 2 wins barely one in ten (10.7%) from 796 runs. That sets up an intriguing head-to-head. Millmount Rocky in trap 1 is the fastest, most consistent dog in the race — best time 29.43, top speed rating, never rating below 53 in six months. But California Sky gets the favoured wide draw and arrives red-hot, a 74-rated winner last week off the back of a 67. Tyrap Polly won at this level last week too and Shanakyle Sally ran a 71-rated second. Plenty of in-form runners, but Rocky's times tower over the field.
The class act of the race on the stopwatch. His 29.43 best is comfortably the fastest here, his average times lead the field, and he holds the top speed rating. Just as importantly he never runs a bad one — six straight runs between 53 and 68, the most reliable profile in the race, with two wins and five placings from ten course and distance starts. He was second in A6 company last week and drops back to a grade he's already won at. The one caution: trap 1 is only a middling box at this grade. He's simply quicker than these.
The form story of the race: a 74-rated winner last week off a 67 the week before, climbing from A7 to A5 in a month, with two wins and three placings from just seven course and distance runs. Donal Duggan's kennel wins at 21%. And now she lands trap 6 — the best box at this grade, winning 19.6%. Her best time of 29.50 last week shows the improvement is real. The only question is whether a dog still rising through the grades can immediately match Rocky's established times. Every angle except raw speed says she can.
A 68-rated run two starts back shows she's not out of her depth, and her best time of 29.54 sits in the middle of this field. But she's winless in ten course and distance attempts with three placings, her last run was a moderate fourth, and she's landed the worst box on the card at this grade. Donal Casey's runners win at a modest clip. Hard to see her breaking her course duck from there.
The steadiest profile in the race after Rocky — six straight runs between 58 and 64, third here last week, and a sharp 29.51 best time that's second only to the selection. One win from ten course and distance runs. He does nothing wrong, but he also rarely produces the spike a race like this needs; his recent times consistently sit a length or two behind Rocky's. Solid each-way material.
Ran a 71-rated second at this level a fortnight ago and has hit 74 within her last five — when she fires she's as good as anything here bar Rocky. Two wins and three placings from ten course and distance runs. The pattern is the problem: her big runs alternate with 50-rated ones, and her draw in trap 4 is nothing special at this grade. Another of her good days puts her right in the finish.
Won at this level last week with a 78-rated performance — the single biggest figure anyone in this field has posted recently — and John Gerard Cronin's runners win at a healthy 23%. Two wins and four placings from ten course and distance starts. So why isn't she the pick? Her wins come in bursts between ordinary runs, her best time leaves a length to Rocky, and back-to-back peak efforts is a lot to ask. Still, last week's winner rating 78 demands respect.
Key insight: A5 at Limerick 525m: trap 6 is the best box (19.6%), trap 2 the graveyard (10.7%), and the composite model is at its weakest here (13.2% — worse than the second-ranked dog's 17.2%). The fastest dog wins 24.3% — trust the clock, not the model rank.
T1:15.0% T2:10.7% T3:18.2% T4:17.0% T5:14.3% T6:19.6%
796 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.