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Arena Racing Company Sprint Trophy
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Rollaway Hollyb 3y 34 | R Short — 19% R131 W25 P62 Trainer form — last 3 months | 100 | - | 72 (4) | 66 (5) | 47 (1) | 47 (1) | 30 (5) | 70 (4) | 72 (4) | 36 (6) | 35 (3) | - | 42 | - | - | - | 36 | 38 | 5 | 12/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Gwan Keanod 2y 24 | R Short — 19% R131 W25 P62 Trainer form — last 3 months | 26 | 100 | 29 (6) | 53 (4) | 39 (5) | 67 (1) | 36 (1) | 47 (4) | 34 (6) | 62 (1) | 27 (5) | 38 (4) | 58 | - | - | - | 44 | 49 | 3 | 40/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Tullymurry Shineb 3y 24 | D Blackbird — 17% R1091 W184 P586 Trainer form — last 3 months | 26 | - | 31 (3) | 78 (3) | 59 (5) | 36 (3) | 80 (3) | 53 (4) | 20 (3) | 47 (1) | 57 (6) | 77 (3) | 54 | 20 | 29 | 30 | 61 | 52 | 4 | 9/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Amber Dollarb 3y 33 | D Blackbird — 17% R1091 W184 P586 Trainer form — last 3 months | 60 | 0 | 58 (4) | 64 (4) | 62 (4) | 47 (1) | 28 (5) | 43 (5) | 67 (4) | 83 (2) | 56 (5) | 70 (4) | 67 | - | 15 | - | 68 | 68 | 2 | 25/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Nunos Nuggetd 2y 18 | L Cook — 19% R133 W25 P76 Trainer form — last 3 months | 37 | - | 31 (6) | 75 (4) | 34 (4) | 39 (2) | 34 (4) | 76 (3) | 47 (1) | 60 (5) | 100 (1) | 51 (6) | 22 | 49 | 23 | 56 | 55 | 51 | 6 | 4/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Mr Flashyd 2y 17 | A W Sear — 40% R5 W2 P4 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 50 | 97 (1) | 93 (2) | 93 (1) | 92 (1) | 93 (1) | 49 (6) | 70 (4) | 96 (2) | 68 (5) | 87 (3) | 66 | 53 | 54 | 48 | 85 | 75 | 1 | 1/4F | ||
Mr Flashy is the standout of the entire Nottingham card tonight. Average performance of 85 is a colossal 17 points above the next best (Amber Dollar at 68) — a class gap that renders most other analytical factors secondary. His form is magnificent: 22→93→94→92→94 looking back over five runs, with the recent four reading 1st, 2nd, 1st, 1st at Monmore/Nottingham/Oxford in OR grade. Only the latest trial run (P22 at Monmore 480m T1) breaks the sequence, and that was a trial win. He's an All-Rounder (EP 50, CS 50, pace consistency 56) with balanced pace — he doesn't need to lead, he just needs to not be too far off the pace, and his raw ability does the rest. Suitability is the best in the field: track 53, distance 48, trap 66 (!) — proven OR 305m form with individual trap alignment. Trainer A W Sear at 40% is an elite-tier signal — the highest trainer win rate in this field by a wide margin. The sole concern is T6 at 10.5% from just 19 runs — structurally the weakest trap — but the sample is tiny and the class gap is enormous. A dog rated 85 in a field averaging 52 doesn't need structural help. This is a Class Override in its purest form: the raw ability overwhelms the trap position, the pace dynamics, and everything else.
DANGER: Second-best perf (68) in the field with DOMINANT T4 (23.1%) and best trap suit (67). Closer profile is less ideal at 305m sprint but class puts her clearly ahead of the rest. Needs Mr Flashy to underperform.
Weakest perf in field (36 avg) making a big class step from D1/D2 to OR with zero Nottingham experience. Speed 100 from different track. Structural neutral from T1 but the class gap is too wide.
Fastest away (EP 100) with best bend (100) but Fader profile and 41-point class gap to Mr Flashy make winning near-impossible. Will set the pace but the class deficit is enormous.
DOMINANT T3 with trap suit 54 gives structural backing, but steeply declining form (96→77→57→47→20) makes her unreliable. CD form exists but the current trajectory points down. Place chance at best.
CD specialist with 3 wins from 5 runs at Nottingham 305m, but at D1 not OR. The class step is significant — OR form reads 5th, 6th. Venue knowledge may earn a place but winning at this level requires more.
Small sample (159 runs) with wide variance. Composite R1 wins 27.8% — decent separation. T3 and T4 are the best traps at ~23%. T6 is structurally weak at 10.5% but only 19 runs — volatile. Sprint distance at Nottingham plays differently to 500m — bend rating matters less and raw speed/class gaps are amplified.
T1:18.5%(27) T2:19.2%(26) T3:23.3%(30) T4:23.1%(26) T5:19.4%(31) T6:10.5%(19)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 305m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.