Loading...
The Future Of Racing: PGR TV Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Glenhead Graceb 3yN/R 12 | N Chapman — 21% R56 W12 P30 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 47 | 59 (5) | 66 (3) | 58 (6) | 40 (6) | 87 (1) | 40 (6) | 35 (5) | 62 (2) | 47 (5) | 12 (5) | 30 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 44 | 39 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Swift Doireannb 3y 9 | M T Munslow — 23% R148 W34 P93 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 41 | 71 (1) | 77 (1) | 70 (1) | 61 (2) | 61 (2) | 46 (5) | 59 (4) | 48 (4) | 71 (1) | 68 (1) | 47 | 38 | 35 | 40 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 5/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Platinum Honeyb 3y 5 | J Llewellin — 17% R365 W61 P195 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 54 | 73 (6) | 56 (2) | 62 (5) | 23 (4) | 45 (2) | 63 (1) | 56 (5) | 50 (3) | - | - | 44 | 35 | 22 | 31 | 54 | 48 | 3 | 6/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Mid Tipp Maggieb 1y 18 | E O Driver — 21% R319 W66 P198 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 66 | 57 | 81 (1) | 75 (1) | 61 (2) | 36 (6) | 64 (2) | 69 (1) | - | - | - | - | 59 | 54 | 18 | 39 | 66 | 61 | 1 | 8/11F | |
| 5 | ▶ Swift Kendallb 4y 26 | M T Munslow — 23% R148 W34 P93 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 55 | 52 (4) | 45 (5) | 73 (6) | 68 (1) | 49 (2) | 55 (3) | 56 (4) | 56 (2) | 51 (3) | - | 38 | 35 | 32 | 33 | 60 | 51 | 2 | 5/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Deelish Sullyd 2y 16 | J Gray — 14% R224 W31 P127 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 47 | 59 (6) | 76 (3) | 49 (1) | 11 (5) | 18 (6) | 48 (3) | 52 (5) | 14 (4) | 53 (4) | - | 10 | 21 | 37 | 24 | 40 | 32 | 5 | 9/2 | |
Mid Tipp Maggie is the class act in this field and the numbers make it emphatic. Average performance of 66 is 12 points above the field average of ~54 — a gap that historically overwhelms pace profile concerns. Her speed rating of 66 is the best in the field, her bend rating of 57 is the best in the field, and her suitability mean of 42.5 is the best in the field. At Nottingham 500m where the track profile identifies bend rating as decisive, having the best bend AND best speed is a powerful double signal. She's a Fader (EP 58, CS 44, pace consistency 89 — highly consistent pacer) which is the one concern at 500m, but the Class Override principle applies here: a P66 Fader in a field averaging P54 fades from 1st to 1st rather than 1st to 6th. Her form reads 2-1-3-2-1 across A5/A6 and trials — she's already proven at this grade with a 2nd last time out (P64 at A5 500m). Trainer E O Driver at 20% is a moderate signal. Drawn T4 which wins 18.7% from 235 runs — neutral, but she doesn't need structural help when the class gap is this large. The trap suit of 59 confirms she has individual form from this box.
DANGER: DOMINANT trap (T5, 22.7% from 277 runs) combined with proven CD form (3-1-3-2-1 all at Not A5 500m) and Munslow's 32% trainer rate. 6 points behind pick on perf but structural advantage partially compensates.
Structural trap advantage completely negated by weak form (avg perf 44, weakest in field), Closer profile at a tight-first-bend track, and low suitability across all dimensions.
Improving Closer with Munslow's strong trainer hand, but Closer profile at Nottingham 500m is a structural disadvantage. Best placed to pick up pieces if the two Faders collapse.
Consistent All-Rounder with decent bend ability but average performance ratings and a 12-point class gap to the pick. More likely to place than win.
DEAD trap (T6, 14.0%), declining form trajectory (52→48→20→24→18), recent sprint focus now reverting to 500m, and trap suit of 10. Multiple negatives converge — one to oppose.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 19.9% vs R3 18.8% (1.1pp gap) — ratings barely separate dogs at A5. R2 actually beats R1 at 22.8%, suggesting upsets are common. T5 is the best trap structurally at 22.7% from 277 runs. Speed rank R1 dominates at 24.0% — the fastest dog wins more often than the highest-rated. At Nottingham 500m, bend rating is the decisive metric per track profile.
T1:21.8%(317) T2:19.5%(257) T3:19.5%(190) T4:18.7%(235) T5:22.7%(277) T6:14.0%(279)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Glenhead Grace | 45 | 63 | Closer |
2Swift Doireann | 45 | 63 | Closer |
3Platinum Honey | 52 | 46 | All-Rounder |
4Mid Tipp Maggie | 58 | 44 | Fader |
5Swift Kendall | 56 | 39 | Fader |
6Deelish Sully | 48 | 54 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.