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nottingham-greyhounds.co.uk Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Churchill Boyd 2y 18 | L Cook — 17% R130 W22 P73 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | 50 | 65 (3) | 70 (2) | 88 (4) | 87 (1) | 76 (1) | 69 (2) | 71 (4) | 86 (2) | 67 (2) | - | 51 | 54 | 38 | 46 | 74 | 66 | 1 | 5/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ De Lifeofrileyd 2y 19 | J Gray — 14% R224 W31 P127 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 41 | 88 (1) | 88 (1) | 54 (3) | 70 (5) | 88 (4) | 72 (1) | 59 (3) | 51 (5) | - | - | 7 | 63 | - | 47 | 51 | 47 | 5 | 9/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Thequietmand 2y 6 | J Gray — 14% R224 W31 P127 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 46 | 62 (4) | 82 (6) | 57 (1) | 45 (4) | 60 (6) | 67 (3) | 60 (3) | 82 (5) | 50 (1) | - | 51 | 41 | - | 33 | 61 | 54 | 3 | 7/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Swift Homeb 2y 17 | M T Munslow — 23% R148 W34 P93 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 54 | 53 (4) | 64 (4) | 51 (4) | 76 (2) | 76 (2) | 89 (1) | 69 (4) | 75 (4) | 65 (5) | 71 (2) | 38 | 47 | 28 | 32 | 71 | 60 | 2 | 11/10F | |
| 5 | ▶ Kylenoe Pamb 2y 16 | B Denby — 20% R260 W51 P146 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 57 | 81 (4) | 87 (1) | 67 (4) | 62 (3) | 64 (4) | 55 (6) | 49 (6) | 58 (4) | 48 (6) | 88 (1) | 37 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 63 | 52 | 4 | 5/1 | |
Churchill Boy gets the nod from the Pred1 model with an H3 of 102.2 — the highest in the field and reflecting his combination of best speed (63), best performance (74), and strong suitability (mean 47.2, the best in the field by some distance). He's an All-Rounder (EP 53, CS 50, pace consistency 88) which gives him the balanced profile to be competitive throughout — neither a front-runner who'll tire nor a Closer who needs luck. His form at this exact course, distance, and grade is deeply established: 4-2-2-4-1 all at Nottingham A2 500m. The recent trend (69→72→86→67→23) shows a P86 peak two starts back, though the latest P69 was a 4th. T1 wins 16.6% from 253 runs — slightly below expected at A2, so there's no structural tailwind from the trap. Trainer L Cook at 20% is moderate. What makes him the pick is the convergence of best speed, best performance, and best suitability — at Nottingham 500m where bend is decisive, his bend 50 is decent though not the best (Swift Home has 54). The All-Rounder profile at a tight-first-bend track means he'll save ground on the rail through bend 1 and sustain through the race.
DANGER: Best bend (54) at bend-decisive Nottingham 500m, Munslow's 32% trainer rate, and strong recent form (P90 win at A2, P78 2nd at A1). T4's DEAD status (14.2%) is the structural anchor — without it, she'd challenge for pick status.
DOMINANT T2 gives structural backing but avg perf of 51 (weakest by 10+ points) and trap suit of just 7 show he hasn't capitalised from this box individually. Consistent Closer but outclassed at A2.
Declining form trajectory (82→50→15→23→60) with the weakest speed in the field (40). Sits in mid-pack without threatening the pick or danger. Place possibility at best.
Classic Fader with EP 71 and CS 0 — will set the pace then weaken. Her P88 shows she can win when everything clicks, but pace consistency of 19 makes her wildly unreliable. Mostly serves as pace fuel for the Closers behind.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 19.6% vs R3 16.1% (3.5pp gap) — ratings offer limited predictive edge at A2 Nottingham 500m. T2 is the standout trap at 21.6% from 236 runs. T4 is structurally weak at 14.2% from 190 runs. Speed rank R2 beats R1 (19.2% vs 18.0%) — the second-fastest dog wins slightly more often than the fastest. Bend rank shows minimal separation. Five-runner field reduces some trap relevance.
T1:16.6%(253) T2:21.6%(236) T3:19.3%(176) T4:14.2%(190) T5:17.6%(205) T6:15.1%(186)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Churchill Boy | 53 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2De Lifeofriley | 40 | 76 | Closer |
3Thequietman | 45 | 48 | All-Rounder |
4Swift Home | 50 | 60 | Closer |
5Kylenoe Pam | 71 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.