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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Platinum Beab 3y 26 | J Llewellin — 17% R366 W63 P199 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 37 | 55 (3) | 48 (6) | 55 (5) | 76 (1) | 53 (4) | 64 (3) | 51 (5) | 76 (2) | 77 (1) | 69 (2) | 41 | 40 | 28 | 39 | 60 | 53 | 5 | 10/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Are Malikiand 5y 24 | E O Driver — 20% R316 W64 P198 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 79 | 83 | 67 (3) | 52 (5) | 61 (3) | 48 (5) | 54 (4) | 82 (1) | 55 (2) | 62 (4) | 64 (2) | 69 (2) | 51 | 37 | 46 | 48 | 60 | 55 | 1 | 15/8 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Aghaburren Fused 4y 23 | B Denby — 20% R264 W53 P145 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 62 | 59 (5) | 55 (5) | 85 (1) | 67 (2) | 48 (5) | 81 (2) | 87 (1) | 62 (3) | 82 (1) | 64 (2) | 41 | 39 | 38 | 36 | 68 | 58 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Swift Namelessd 2y 17 | M T Munslow — 19% R144 W27 P85 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 60 | 43 (5) | 60 (3) | 68 (2) | 66 (2) | 59 (3) | 48 (6) | 62 (3) | 41 (6) | 72 (2) | 59 (4) | 47 | 44 | 29 | 42 | 63 | 56 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Kind Ciand 5y 46 | J Llewellin — 17% R366 W63 P199 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 38 | 58 (5) | 60 (4) | 64 (4) | 20 (2) | 52 (5) | 55 (4) | 77 (2) | 72 (3) | 65 (5) | 81 (1) | 33 | 34 | 41 | 34 | 68 | 56 | 4 | 7/4F | - | |
Are Malikian is the Pred1 selection with H3 of 103.0, driven by his outstanding physical metrics: speed 79 (best by 26 points!), bend 83 (best by 21 points!), and EP 86 (best by 35 points!). At Nottingham 500m where the track profile says bend rating is the decisive metric, having the best bend by 21 points is a commanding advantage. He'll lead through the tight first bend from T2 (18.4% from 354 runs — neutral) with the field struggling to keep pace through the turn. His form shows improvement: 67→19→15→52→61, with the P67 3rd at A3 most recently suggesting a return to form. The P19 and P15 were trials. Average performance of 60 is joint-weakest in the field (tied with Platinum Bea) — this is the analytical tension: the physical metrics are elite but the form-based ratings are average. He's a Fader (EP 86, CS 0, pace consistency 22 — highly erratic) which at 500m is the classic risk profile: lead and fade. But the speed gap (79 vs next at 55) is enormous — he'll be so far ahead through bend 1 that even significant fading may not cost him. Suitability is the best: track 37, distance 48, trap 51, class 46 (mean 45.5). Trainer E O Driver at 20% but 25.0% at A3 conditions specifically.
DANGER: DOMINANT T4 (22.0%, 337 runs) + best perf (68) + three recent Nottingham wins + second-best bend (62). Hot form horse in the best structural position. If the pick fades (as his CS 0 suggests he will), Aghaburren Fuse from T4 is perfectly placed to benefit.
Consistent Closer but weakest speed (44) and bend (37) in the field from the structurally weakest T1 (15.9%). Recent A3 form (6th, 5th) doesn't inspire. Needs total pace collapse and even then the other Closer (Kind Cian) has better tools.
Decent All-Rounder with Munslow's 32% and A3 Nottingham wins, but extreme pace inconsistency (3) makes him unreliable. T5 slightly below expected. Will run well when his good form shows up but impossible to trust with confidence.
Tied-best perf (68) with consistent closing pattern (CS 100, pace cons 89) from decent T6 (19.1%). But bend 38 (below avg) means he gives ground at the crucial first bend, and Closer profile needs pace collapse ahead. The third-best chance behind the pick and danger.
Large sample (1,982 runs) with relatively even trap distribution. T4 is the best trap at 22.0% from 337 runs. T3 at 20.1% is strong but empty tonight. T1 is the weakest at 15.9%. Speed R1 at 21.6% is the dominant speed signal. Composite R1 at 20.3% vs R3 at 15.1% = 5.2pp gap — NORMAL separation (just barely). Five-runner field reduces structural noise.
T1:15.9%(372) T2:18.4%(354) T3:20.1%(319) T4:22.0%(337) T5:16.2%(327) T6:19.1%(273)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Platinum Bea | 14 | 100 | Closer |
2Are Malikian | 86 | 0 | Fader |
4Aghaburren Fuse | 51 | 40 | All-Rounder |
5Swift Nameless | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Kind Cian | 16 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 462m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Platinum Bea | — | 0.617 |
| 2 | Are Malikian | — | 0.597 |
| 4 | Aghaburren Fuse | 0.619 | 0.611 |
| 5 | Swift Nameless | — | 0.616 |
| 6 | Kind Cian | — | 0.615 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.