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Intertrack Vs Sunderland
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ashwood Chanelb 2y 14 | D Blackbird — 17% R1089 W183 P590 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 31 | 42 | 63 (2) | 46 (6) | 79 (1) | 68 (2) | 62 (3) | 12 (6) | 16 (5) | 70 (3) | 62 (4) | 23 (1) | 43 | 45 | 50 | 30 | 59 | 52 | 5 | 11/4 | |
| 2 | ▶ Braceys Boyd 2y 6 | J Gray — 14% R224 W31 P127 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 33 | 60 (3) | 77 (3) | 71 (3) | 54 (4) | 86 (1) | 59 (4) | 64 (3) | 79 (2) | 74 (2) | 53 (6) | 45 | 57 | - | 39 | 70 | 62 | 3 | 11/8F | |
| 3 | ▶ Glenhead Samd 3yN/R 31 | N Chapman — 21% R56 W12 P30 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 58 | 61 (5) | 93 (1) | 77 (2) | 52 (6) | 61 (5) | 78 (2) | 73 (4) | 61 (6) | 68 (5) | 57 (6) | 51 | 54 | - | 35 | 73 | 64 | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Love The Dogsd 1y 23 | D Blackbird — 17% R1089 W183 P590 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 67 | 79 (2) | 67 (3) | 82 (1) | 77 (1) | 48 (5) | 76 (1) | 64 (3) | 75 (1) | 54 (3) | 62 (4) | 22 | 15 | - | - | 55 | 42 | 4 | 14/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Mallogs Mileyb 3y 110 | B Denby — 20% R260 W51 P146 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 47 | 88 (1) | 100 (1) | 85 (5) | 85 (2) | 91 (4) | 65 (2) | 73 (3) | 74 (2) | 67 (4) | - | 39 | 57 | - | 35 | 74 | 63 | 2 | 6/4 | |
| 6 | ▶ Jacktavern Keanod 3y 14 | D Blackbird — 17% R1089 W183 P590 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 62 | 86 (1) | 73 (2) | 65 (3) | 86 (1) | 82 (1) | 78 (1) | 62 (3) | 58 (4) | 63 (4) | 52 (4) | 70 | 15 | - | - | 54 | 50 | 1 | 11/1 | |
Jacktavern Keano gets the Pred1 nod with H3 of 113.4 — the highest in the field by 14 points, reflecting his extraordinary speed rating of 100 (joint-best with Love The Dogs) and strong bend rating of 62 (second-best). He's a Closer (EP 49, CS 63, pace consistency 32) but unlike Mallogs Miley, his EP of 49 means he won't be dead last — he'll be mid-pack through the first bend and able to close from a competitive position. His suitability is mixed: track 15, distance 0 (zero Nottingham 500m experience like several IT runners), but trap 70 is the best individual trap suitability in the field. Average performance of 54 is mid-field — he's not the highest-rated dog here (Mallogs Miley at 74, Hardy Bucko at 73), and his form at Sunderland 450m A1/A2 reads 4-4-3-1-2 — competitive but not dominant. The H3 model is picking him on physical metrics (speed + bend) over form-based ratings, which at Nottingham 500m where bend is decisive has analytical logic. T6 wins 13.8% from 29 runs — structural headwind. Trainer Blackbird at 16% is low-tier. The pick relies on speed translation to an unfamiliar track — a genuine IT gamble.
DANGER: Best average perf (73) in the field with A1 experience and a P92 recent peak. Strong bend (58) at bend-decisive Nottingham. But T3 is DEAD at 4.2% — the class must overcome a near-fatal structural position. His raw ability gives him a realistic chance despite the trap.
Structural T1 advantage (24.0%) with decent suitability (mean 42.0, class 50) but below-average speed and bend metrics. Erratic form (P76 then P23 then P62) makes her unreliable despite the good draw.
DOMINANT T2 with strong perf (70, 2nd best) and proven A2 form at Nottingham. But bend 33 (worst in field) at a bend-decisive track limits upside. DOMINANT trap partially compensates — he'll be well positioned despite the bend weakness.
Best bend (67) and joint-best speed (100) but catastrophic suitability (mean 9.2) with zero Nottingham form. Volatile perf trend with a P14 among his recent runs. Will be prominent early but sustainability is a coin flip.
Highest average perf (74) and proven A1/A2 form, but pure Closer profile with EP 0 at tight-bend Nottingham is a fundamental handicap. Needs pace collapse to feature. Below-expected T5 adds to the headwinds.
Small sample (154 runs). T2 and T1 are the structurally favoured positions. T3 is an extreme dead trap at 4.2%. T5 and T6 both below expected. IT races are inherently unpredictable as dogs trial unfamiliar conditions.
T1:24.0%(25) T2:29.2%(24) T3:4.2%(24) T4:20.8%(24) T5:14.3%(28) T6:13.8%(29)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ashwood Chanel | 52 | 51 | All-Rounder |
2Braceys Boy | 28 | 0 | Fader |
3Glenhead Sam | 51 | 0 | All-Rounder |
4Love The Dogs | 54 | 49 | All-Rounder |
5Mallogs Miley | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Jacktavern Keano | 49 | 63 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.