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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Two For Goldb 5y 45 | W M Lyons — 19% R1040 W201 P556 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 65 | 47 | 26 (3) | 39 (3) | 29 (6) | 29 (2) | 32 (6) | 36 (5) | 40 (5) | 51 (3) | 42 (4) | 47 (4) | 20 | 30 | 23 | 17 | 38 | 31 | 4 | 9/4 | |
| 2 | ▶ Mohican Yoshid 3y 24 | I Zivkovic — 13% R602 W81 P284 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 42 | 31 (5) | 32 (5) | 31 (6) | 34 (4) | 61 (3) | 46 (3) | 58 (1) | 49 (2) | 40 (3) | 46 (3) | 25 | 28 | 41 | 28 | 40 | 34 | 2 | 9/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Heathsastrikerb 2y 25 | I Zivkovic — 13% R602 W81 P284 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 55 | 23 (3) | 22 (3) | 23 (2) | 17 (6) | 23 (2) | 55 (3) | 22 (4) | 39 (3) | 25 (3) | 43 (4) | 28 | 16 | 11 | 14 | 31 | 27 | 3 | 5/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ No Spare Timeb 5y 35 | W M Lyons — 19% R1040 W201 P556 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 46 | 42 (6) | 21 (2) | 36 (6) | 27 (4) | 40 (6) | 29 (4) | 33 (6) | 39 (5) | 56 (4) | - | 18 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 36 | 28 | 5 | 18/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Ashville Buckod 5y 44 | M N May — 16% R271 W43 P106 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 47 | 19 (6) | 34 (6) | 42 (6) | 39 (4) | 20 (4) | 33 (5) | 58 (2) | 22 (3) | 35 (5) | 24 (6) | 17 | 28 | 19 | 25 | 34 | 29 | 6 | 22/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Aussie Fionnd 4y 26 | W M Lyons — 19% R1040 W201 P556 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 55 | 59 (2) | 43 (5) | 62 (1) | 53 (2) | 38 (5) | 51 (2) | 44 (4) | 52 (3) | 51 (3) | 64 (1) | 28 | 19 | 34 | 28 | 36 | 31 | 1 | 10/11F | |
The prediction backs Aussie Fionn on the strength of that A8 462m win with 57 two starts back — the best competitive A8 performance in this field — followed by a 45 (3rd) and 47 (2nd) at the same conditions. The Fader profile (EP=61, CS=33) is ideally suited to Kinsley 462m where the downhill gradient to the first bend amplifies early pace. With EP=61 and bend=55, he will get to the front quickly from T6 and the downhill run should carry him to a prominent early position. The concern is the inconsistency: last run was 21 at D5 268m, a completely different test, and two D5 268m runs in recent form (21, 22) show he lacks sprint speed. But returning to his proven A8 462m conditions where he won and placed twice, the 57 peak is clearly the best in this field. T6 sits at a balanced 18.4% from 196 runs — not dominant but not disadvantaged. The class suit of 34 suggests he belongs at A8 level. Trainer W M Lyons at 20% is solid mid-tier.
Elite speed (65) could prove decisive if Faders weaken but poor trap position (15.9%) and low distance suit (17) are genuine concerns. Best chance comes if pace collapses.
Form has cratered from early-season levels. Four consecutive A8 runs below 35 from the weakest trap position. Hard to see a route to victory despite the raw ability.
Will lead early from the best structural trap but CS=20 and modest A8 form (33-40 range) mean he likely weakens in the closing stages. Pace-setter role only.
Declining since February peak. Six consecutive finishes of 4th-6th with low suitability across all dimensions. Needs significant improvement to be involved.
Mixing distances suggests lack of clear optimal conditions. 6% trainer WR is a persistent headwind. Mid-table finisher at best in this field.
Normal separation (7.1pp gap) gives composite rankings meaningful predictive power. T3 near-dominant, T6 balanced. Front runner profiles favoured by downhill start geometry.
T1:15.9% T2:14.6% T3:19.8% T4:17.3% T5:17.9% T6:18.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Two For Gold | 46 | 71 | Closer |
2Mohican Yoshi | 46 | 67 | Closer |
3Heathsastriker | 59 | 20 | Fader |
4No Spare Time | 54 | 47 | All-Rounder |
5Ashville Bucko | 43 | 53 | All-Rounder |
6Aussie Fionn | 61 | 33 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.