| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Metric Marib 2y 16 | T D Coote — 19% R573 W110 P290 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 50 | 33 (1) | 25 (4) | 51 (3) | 30 (6) | 34 (5) | 63 (1) | 54 (2) | 43 (5) | 48 (3) | 48 (3) | 38 | 39 | 29 | 41 | 51 | 46 | 1 | 11/8F | |
| 2 | ▶ Comer Muirb 4y 15 | W M Lyons — 19% R1040 W201 P556 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 49 | 44 (5) | 60 (2) | 70 (1) | 44 (4) | 68 (1) | 35 (5) | 59 (3) | 46 (3) | 61 (2) | 45 (5) | 33 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 55 | 44 | 3 | 3/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Dashgrove Shadowd 4yN/R 15 | M N May — 16% R271 W43 P106 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 46 | 32 (1) | 36 (6) | 47 (4) | 39 (5) | 42 (5) | 41 (6) | 35 (6) | 46 (4) | 52 (4) | 70 (1) | 33 | 32 | 35 | 27 | 56 | 45 | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Grove Patd 4y 24 | I Zivkovic — 13% R602 W81 P284 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 56 | 28 (6) | 45 (4) | 52 (3) | 74 (1) | 33 (6) | 44 (5) | 64 (1) | 76 (1) | 39 (6) | 51 (4) | 26 | 29 | 17 | 25 | 54 | 42 | 2 | 2/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Swift Yardd 2y 16 | J Robinson — 19% R295 W56 P168 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 62 | 54 (6) | 46 (2) | 46 (3) | 67 (5) | 48 (1) | 39 (5) | 63 (5) | 55 (1) | 63 (2) | - | 42 | 34 | - | 35 | 51 | 45 | 4 | 10/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Crystal Dakotab 3y 26 | T D Coote — 19% R573 W110 P290 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 47 | 19 (6) | 23 (6) | 38 (5) | 43 (6) | 53 (4) | 64 (1) | 49 (2) | 32 (5) | 22 (5) | 28 (3) | 26 | 30 | 23 | 31 | 43 | 36 | 5 | 6/1 | |
Drawn in T1, the DOMINANT trap at 24.5% (208 runs) from 2,053 total—this single structural signal is the strongest on the entire meeting. T1 wins at 24.5%, nearly 8 points above the field average 17.6%, and this is backed by 208 runs of data. In a low-separation race where ratings offer minimal predictive value (R1=17.6% vs R3=16.1%, just 1.4pp gap), trap bias becomes paramount. Metric Mari's form is erratic (36→65→75→36→52) showing a 39-point swing from trough to peak—but the baseline is clearly proven: 65, 75 represent A6 capable performance. The recent 36-52 pattern shows volatility not decline. Average performance (51) is solid, consistency (91) confirms form is genuine. Trainer T D Coote (20% WR moderate) reliable. Suitability profile (track=39, distance=41, trap=38, class=29) is exceptional across track/distance/trap with no weak links. The 75 HP win and 65 A6 recent two back demonstrate capability at this level. In a low-separation, trap-dominated race, Metric Mari in the 24.5% dominant trap should inherit overwhelming structural advantage. The form erraticism (36 dips to 75 peaks) is a risk but historical data from 208 T1 runs trumps individual form variance. The prediction is sound—Metric Mari should leverage T1 position to dictate.
Field best metrics (avgPerf=55, speed=55) offset by T2 neutral draw vs T1 dominant. In low-separation race, trap bias overrides mechanical advantage. Strong place contender.
Two A6 wins (70, 69) and field-leading avgPerf (56) offset by neutral T3 and weak trainer (6% WR). Form-based contender but structurally disadvantaged vs T1.
Best speed (58) and recent A7 win (65) support prediction rank 2. Grade elevation (A7 to A6) is risk. Neutral T4 vs dominant T1. Likely place but structurally disadvantaged.
Four consecutive wins (63, 63, 59) and exceptional consistency (91) offset by dead T5 (11.0%, 345 runs). Form quality cannot overcome severe structural headwind. Place contender.
Field minimum metrics (avgPerf=43, speed=43), neutral trap, grade elevation to A6 from A7. Last-place ranking likely.
LOW SEPARATION makes ratings unreliable for separation. T1 DOMINANT (24.5%, 208 runs) is the primary signal—strongest trap advantage on entire card. Metric Mari in T1 benefits from overwhelming structural position despite erratic form (36, 65, 75, 36, 52). Trap bias is the key.
T1:24.5% DOMINANT (208 runs) T2:neutral T3:neutral T4:neutral T5:11.0% DEAD (345 runs) T6:neutral
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Metric Mari | 49 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Comer Muir | 54 | 51 | All-Rounder |
3Dashgrove Shadow | 50 | 60 | Closer |
4Grove Pat | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Swift Yard | 53 | 39 | All-Rounder |
6Crystal Dakota | 48 | 49 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.