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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hazelgrove Flashb 3y 25 | W M Lyons — 19% R1040 W201 P556 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 52 | 37 (4) | 39 (4) | 62 (1) | 24 (3) | 46 (4) | 51 (3) | 49 (3) | 54 (3) | 51 (3) | 46 (5) | 35 | 34 | 23 | 31 | 50 | 43 | 1 | 5/4F | |
| 2 | ▶ Lucky Lassb 4y 13 | W M Lyons — 19% R1040 W201 P556 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 37 | 38 (6) | 34 (4) | 46 (3) | 52 (2) | 29 (5) | 53 (2) | 22 (4) | 41 (4) | 51 (3) | 50 (3) | 21 | 28 | 23 | 24 | 48 | 37 | 6 | 10/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Karen Whob 2y 48 | T D Coote — 19% R573 W110 P290 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 46 | 63 (1) | 31 (1) | 48 (3) | 25 (2) | 24 (6) | 42 (5) | 52 (3) | 53 (3) | 55 (3) | 55 (2) | 8 | 35 | - | 22 | 53 | 38 | 3 | 2/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Zaconey Venusb 3y 14 | W M Lyons — 19% R1040 W201 P556 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 60 | 70 (3) | 55 (2) | 63 (4) | 27 (1) | 35 (2) | 38 (5) | 49 (5) | 63 (3) | 49 (1) | - | 36 | 36 | - | 35 | 50 | 44 | 2 | 22/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Betweenthe Linesb 3y 17 | J Robinson — 19% R295 W56 P168 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 56 | 79 (1) | 57 (4) | 59 (4) | 80 (1) | 62 (3) | 76 (1) | 63 (3) | 73 (1) | 68 (2) | 47 (4) | 34 | 31 | 45 | 29 | 60 | 47 | 5 | 6/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Marcianos Punchd 6y 16 | T D Coote — 19% R573 W110 P290 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 69 | 51 | 50 (4) | 52 (5) | 61 (5) | 46 (2) | 50 (6) | 51 (4) | 64 (5) | 70 (2) | 69 (2) | - | 13 | 54 | 31 | 50 | 64 | 50 | 4 | 7/2 | |
All-rounder pace profile (EP=48, CS=46) with solid baseline form (avgPerf=50, speed=44) and recent HP form (65 for 2nd place) demonstrates comfort at this grade. Trainer W M Lyons (20% WR, moderate tier) has placed this dog carefully in a handicap format. T1 traditionally offers advantage but the handicap stagger diminishes this edge—however, all-rounder profile is ideally suited to adapt to the varied starting positions. Form trajectory (51→24 trial→55→44→65) shows recent improvement and the 65 HP baseline proves capability. Suitability profile (track=34, distance=31, trap=35, class=23) is solid across all metrics with no weak links. The predicted position (1) suggests the handicap assessor and the model both favour this runner. In a competitive handicap with unusual separation (R3 beats R1), picking the all-rounder with HP form and solid metrics across the board is sound logic. Danger: Betweenthe Lines has superior headline metrics (speed 58, avgPerf 60, EP 60) and HP specialist record (77, 59 recent) that could override Hazelgrove Flash's advantage. However, Hazelgrove Flash has the adaptable pace profile that handicaps reward and the moderate-tier trainer advantage. The prediction favours this dog; form and pace profile support it.
Field best metrics (avgPerf 60, speed 58, EP 60), HP specialist form (77 win, 59), fader profile ideal for handicap stagger. Dead trap (13.7%) offset by stagger compensation. Genuine winning case despite predicted position 2.
Field best speed (69), field best avgPerf (64), proven HP form (70, 64, 69) but extreme closer profile and trap suitability (13) create dependency on race flow. Danger if pace tires; less likely if early runners hold.
Below-field metrics (avgPerf 48, speed 47), closer profile in competitive pace race, moderate form trajectory. Chased out if speed runners dictate.
Trap suitability (8) is disqualifying despite T3 advantage and A6 baseline form. Recent 35 dip suggests declining. Class suitability (0) at HP confirms form doubt.
Outstanding bend (60) and speed (56) overcome partially by dead trap (13.6%) and mid-field avgPerf (50). A7 winner but handicap form and opposition suggest placing rather than winning.
Unusually low separation and anomalous R3 > R1 win rate indicates this is a competitive, unpredictable handicap. Speed rating and form at grade matter more than trap position. Betweenthe Lines's HP specialist history and superior metrics override traditional trap analysis.
T1:16.4% (116 runs) T2:16.0% (100 runs) T3:18.9% (111 runs) T4:13.6% DEAD (110 runs) T5:13.7% DEAD (117 runs) T6:18.3% (131 runs). NOTE: Handicap stagger reduces trap bias reliability; speed/pace elevated.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Hazelgrove Flash | 48 | 46 | All-Rounder |
2Lucky Lass | 39 | 62 | Closer |
3Karen Who | 47 | 54 | All-Rounder |
4Zaconey Venus | 52 | 39 | All-Rounder |
5Betweenthe Lines | 60 | 39 | Fader |
6Marcianos Punch | 53 | 65 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.