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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Above Or Belowd 2y 17 | V K Thom — 20% R143 W29 P93 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 21 | 69 (1) | 57 (2) | 50 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 24 | 37 | - | 37 | - | 11 | 6 | 10/3 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Hollyhill Isabelb 2y 7 | K L Windebank — 17% R558 W96 P312 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 61 | 64 (1) | 52 (2) | 32 (6) | 58 (3) | 54 (3) | 41 (5) | 27 (3) | 64 (1) | 58 (1) | 43 (3) | 21 | 31 | 25 | 33 | 40 | 36 | 2 | 9/4 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Joys Of Danielleb 2y 111 | V K Thom — 20% R143 W29 P93 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | 60 | 70 (1) | 62 (1) | 59 (2) | 26 (1) | 47 (2) | 54 (3) | 45 (2) | 49 (3) | 33 (1) | - | 54 | 21 | - | 21 | 39 | 37 | 1 | 10/3 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Make Sailb 2y 8 | E G Samuels — 16% R645 W104 P363 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | 51 | 46 (3) | 46 (3) | 52 (1) | 47 (4) | 58 (1) | 15 (4) | 44 (3) | 38 (4) | 39 (5) | 30 (5) | 22 | 40 | - | 35 | 39 | 37 | 4 | 8/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Now Listen Honeyb 4y 26 | S Knights — 18% R126 W23 P66 Trainer form — last 3 months | 60 | 30 | 31 (6) | 55 (5) | 51 (1) | 47 (2) | 40 (4) | 44 (5) | 43 (4) | 63 (1) | 50 (2) | 59 (1) | 36 | 42 | 27 | 28 | 47 | 43 | 3 | 2/1F | ||
| 6 | ▶ Rathcoole Nutzd 5y 17 | I J Barnard — 22% R274 W59 P165 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 54 | 26 (5) | 28 (6) | 50 (1) | 15 (3) | 12 (5) | 34 (4) | 52 (1) | 38 (3) | 71 (1) | 28 (4) | 19 | 18 | 13 | 22 | 37 | 31 | 5 | 16/1 | ||
The model's pick from the best structural position. An All-Rounder (EP 54, CS 36, consistency 80) with improving form at A8/A9: P45→P44→P49→P33→P21→P10. Strip out the trial (P21, 6LR) and she's on an upward curve from P33→P44→P45→P49 at A9/A8 — modest but trending the right way. Won A9 with P49 from T4 (1 March) and is now at A8, where her last two runs produced P45 (3rd) and P44 (4th). Drawn T3 which is the best trap at A8 (21.9%/96 runs). Trap suit of 54 is the highest in the field, confirming she performs from inside-middle draws. Track suit 21 and distance suit 21 are below average but that reflects limited experience rather than poor form. Trainer Thom at 26% is moderate. Speed 44 is below-field-best but the pace metrics show enough early ability (EP 54, bend 60) to track the leader without being left behind. At Yarmouth, an All-Rounder from the best structural position who can sit 2nd/3rd through the bends and take over when the leader fades is exactly the profile that wins. A tentative pick because the form is modest (P45 is her A8 ceiling so far) and the race is noisy, but she has the best combination of structure and style.
Extreme EP (80) and bend (61) will give her a big lead, but CS 4 and consistency 29 mean she'll fade severely. May hold at A8 where quality behind is poor. Speculative danger based on sheer pace advantage.
All-trial form (4 runs, P13/P12/P20/P20) with zero open-race experience from the DEAD T1 draw. Cannot be trusted at A8 level. Confident oppose.
Won A9 (P51) but A8 form is poor (P38, P31). Closer profile is right for Yarmouth but needs the pace to be genuine, which is unlikely in a slow A8 field. Marginal place prospect at best.
Best avgPerf (47) and speed (60) in the field — genuine class edge dropping from A7. Extreme Closer profile suits Yarmouth. But recent form (P44, P43) and dependence on pace dynamics make her unreliable despite the numbers.
A9 winner stepping to A8 where suitability scores collapse (all below 22). AvgPerf 37 lowest among established runners. One-run form at A9 level doesn't justify A8 competition. Can be opposed.
A8 data is noisy — R2 (22.4%) actually outperforms R1 (20.1%) and R4 wins 26.5%, suggesting the model struggles to rank at this grade. T3 is marginally best at 21.9% from 96 runs. T1 is the weakest draw. Low total runs (630) means individual samples per trap are smaller.
T1:14.9% T2:18.5% T3:21.9% T4:20.4% T5:20.9% T6:18.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Above Or Below | 60 | 14 | Fader |
2Hollyhill Isabel | 80 | 4 | Fader |
3Joys Of Danielle | 54 | 36 | All-Rounder |
4Make Sail | 43 | 80 | Closer |
5Now Listen Honey | 39 | 100 | Closer |
6Rathcoole Nutz | 46 | 64 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.