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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Glynnscross Blueb 3yN/R 37 | V K Thom — 20% R138 W28 P89 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 87 | 80 | 45 (5) | 48 (5) | 34 (1) | 34 (1) | 69 (5) | 75 (2) | 78 (2) | 69 (1) | 74 (2) | - | 38 | 59 | 51 | 44 | 71 | 63 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Rollovabeethovenb 3y 17 | E G Samuels — 16% R633 W101 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 48 | 40 (5) | 37 (5) | 46 (6) | 67 (5) | 46 (1) | 40 (4) | 53 (5) | 76 (2) | 50 (1) | - | 23 | 22 | 17 | 20 | 48 | 39 | 1 | 6/4F | |
| 3 | ▶ Silver Threadb 3yREP 27 | E G Samuels — 16% R633 W101 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 46 | 45 (2) | 67 (3) | 33 (4) | 21 (4) | 43 (4) | 34 (4) | 55 (1) | 44 (2) | 35 (5) | 47 (5) | 56 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 45 | 42 | 4 | 8/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Good Queenb 3y 17 | E G Samuels — 16% R633 W101 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 62 | 34 (6) | 28 (4) | 39 (1) | 27 (5) | 44 (4) | 32 (6) | 36 (5) | 57 (2) | 27 (2) | 34 (5) | 21 | 17 | - | 36 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 3/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Lemon Euniceb 3y 8 | K L Windebank — 17% R548 W92 P308 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 47 | 53 (3) | 45 (4) | 48 (5) | 44 (5) | 46 (4) | 60 (1) | 18 (2) | 43 (4) | 37 (4) | 49 (4) | 30 | 31 | 17 | 32 | 48 | 42 | 3 | 4/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Adamant Olafd 4y 24 | J E Craske — 22% R89 W20 P52 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 49 | 44 (5) | 38 (6) | 43 (6) | 51 (6) | 47 (5) | 39 (2) | 59 (3) | 38 (5) | - | - | 22 | 24 | 20 | 23 | 44 | 37 | 5 | 5/2 | |
A class standout dropping from A2/A3 level to A7. His avgPerf of 71 is 27 points above the field average of ~44 — this is not a marginal class edge, it's a chasm. Form reads P75→P83→P79→P69→P74→P68, all at A2/A3/A4 level, where he's been winning and placing consistently. He won A3 with P83 (15 March) and A4 with P79 (9 March). Now running at A7, four grades below his recent level. His pace metrics are extraordinary for this company: speed 84 (next best is 60), bend 77 (next best is 65), EP 65 (next best is 61). He's a Front Runner (consistency 92) who'll lead from T1 on the rail. At Yarmouth, front runners get caught 80% of the time — but that's when they're competing at their correct grade. Glynnscross Blue is running 4 grades below his ceiling. His speed advantage means he'll build a lead so large through the first two bends that even a moderate fade down the home straight leaves him lengths clear. Trainer Thom at 26% is moderate. Track suit 59 and distance suit 44 confirm strong venue form. T1 is neutral at A7 (19.1%/126 runs) — no structural bonus but completely irrelevant given the class gap. This is the strongest pick of the night alongside Aayamza Crypto in R5.
DOMINANT T3 (27.0%/126 runs) with trap suit 69 highest in field. A6-level form (P62, P64) should be competitive at A7. Second-best pace metrics. The main danger structurally, though a long way behind the pick on class.
Extreme Closer from structurally solid T2 but avgPerf 48 and speed 49 leave him miles behind the class-superior pick. Consistent but consistently mid-pack at A7 — place frame at best.
AvgPerf 30 is lowest in field and form (P27, P34) consistently below A7 standard. T4 is structurally solid but irrelevant when the dog lacks the ability to compete. Outclassed.
Declining form (P49→P41→P41 in last three), beaten favourite repeatedly. Extreme Closer profile can't close a 35-point speed gap to the pick. T5 below average structurally. One to leave alone.
Strong trainer Craske (36%) is the standout positive. P52 2nd last time is his best recent form. But avgPerf 44 and poor suitability scores mean he's a minor place contender, not a winner, against the class-superior pick.
LOW SEPARATION at A7: R1 wins 23.3% vs R3 at 19.6% — just 3.7pp gap. Model struggles to separate at this grade, meaning structural factors outweigh ratings. T3 dominates at 27.0% from 126 runs. However, when one dog has a 27-point avgPerf advantage over the field, the class override principle applies — raw ability trumps structural noise.
T1:19.1% T2:22.2% T3:27.0% T4:21.9% T5:17.6% T6:21.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Glynnscross Blue | 72 | 47 | Front Runner |
2Rollovabeethoven | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Silver Thread | 47 | 53 | All-Rounder |
4Good Queen | 59 | 40 | Fader |
5Lemon Eunice | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Adamant Olaf | 53 | 46 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.