Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Gambetd 3y 9 | C R Morris — 28% R250 W71 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 49 | 93 (1) | 93 (1) | 76 (3) | 75 (2) | 57 (4) | 88 (1) | 59 (4) | 75 (2) | 66 (4) | 92 (1) | 47 | 40 | 38 | 39 | 79 | 66 | 4 | 11/8F | |
| 2 | ▶ Honey Dazzlerd 2y 38 | C R Morris — 28% R250 W71 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 49 | 91 (1) | 85 (2) | 81 (3) | 75 (3) | 79 (3) | 67 (3) | 63 (5) | 94 (2) | 93 (1) | 72 (3) | 62 | 49 | - | 47 | 79 | 70 | 1 | 6/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Carrickhill Mattd 2y 8 | L Brown — 15% R125 W19 P63 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 56 | 73 (2) | 55 (4) | 63 (4) | 61 (4) | 64 (5) | 74 (2) | 71 (4) | 88 (1) | 49 (5) | 83 (1) | 80 | 55 | - | 55 | 73 | 70 | 3 | 7/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Free Flowb 3yN/R 6 | E G Samuels — 16% R633 W101 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 59 | 71 (4) | 67 (3) | 66 (4) | 70 (4) | 55 (4) | 58 (5) | 75 (5) | 62 (2) | 90 (5) | - | 39 | 53 | 14 | 53 | 71 | 63 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Ballycowen Harryd 3y 6 | E G Samuels — 16% R633 W101 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 40 | 61 (4) | 61 (4) | 54 (5) | 64 (5) | 86 (6) | 72 (4) | 74 (1) | 67 (3) | - | - | 40 | 35 | 10 | 37 | 72 | 60 | 2 | 11/2 | |
The model's top pick and an impressive Closer (EP 0, CS 100) with avgPerf of 79 — joint-best in the field. Her recent form is electric: P73→P89→P83→P100→P78→P63, featuring a P100 peak winning S2 at 659m and a P89 winning A2 from T2 (18 March). She's been on a progressive upward curve since returning from a lower-grade campaign, winning three of her last four starts including stepping through the grades with ease. Drawn T2 which is co-DOMINANT at A1 (20.7%/251 runs) — good structural support. Trap suit of 62 is the highest in the field by a significant margin, confirming she thrives from this berth. Track suit 49, distance suit 47 are both strong. Speed 58 is the best in the field outright. Trainer Morris at 28% runs two in this race and clearly thinks highly of this one — the form trajectory supports that. As an extreme Closer at Yarmouth, she'll be last off the bend but the track's 20% all-the-way rate and long home straight are tailor-made for her style. The P73 last time (3rd at A1) was her first run at A1 and it was competitive — suggesting she belongs at the top grade. The convergence of form trajectory, structural trap advantage, elite speed, and venue suitability makes this a strong pick.
Joint-best avgPerf (79) with elite consistency (95). Won A1 from T1 on 18 March with P93. Last-time P66 looks a blip given previous form of P93→P73→P83. The most reliable runner in the field — strong danger.
DOMINANT T3 draw (22.0%/304 runs) with remarkable trap suit of 80. Yarmouth specialist (track 55, dist 55). But inconsistent form (P88→P49) and speed 44 below A1 standard. Structural position excellent but class question remains.
Will lead via best EP (56) and bend (59) but Fader profile (CS 31) means he'll weaken down Yarmouth's long home straight. P90 peak shows ability but P62 last at A1 is more representative. Likely caught by the closers.
Reliable A1 performer with consistent form (P75, P78 recently). Closer profile suits Yarmouth. But avgPerf 72 and speed 49 are below the top two (Gambet, Honey Dazzler both at 79 avgPerf). Likely 3rd/4th.
A1 Yarmouth is the most evenly distributed trap bias of any grade at this venue — no single trap exceeds 22%. R1 composite wins 25.1% with strong separation (11.9pp to R3) indicating the model has good predictive power at the top grade. Quality typically tells at A1 level.
T1:17.3% T2:20.7% T3:22.0% T4:18.1% T5:17.0% T6:19.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Gambet | 53 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Honey Dazzler | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Carrickhill Matt | 50 | 46 | All-Rounder |
5Free Flow | 56 | 31 | Fader |
6Ballycowen Harry | 45 | 61 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.