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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Razldazl Mintyb 3y 18 | J E Craske — 22% R89 W20 P52 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 65 | 49 | 54 (4) | 69 (3) | 73 (3) | 70 (2) | 64 (3) | 65 (3) | 53 (2) | 73 (3) | - | - | 28 | 47 | 20 | 30 | 72 | 59 | 5 | 8/11F | |
| 2 | ▶ Hes Always Rightd 2y 27 | V K Thom — 20% R138 W28 P89 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 55 | 15 (5) | 40 (4) | 21 (5) | 31 (1) | 33 (2) | 28 (3) | 46 (5) | 72 (1) | 69 (1) | 39 (5) | 46 | 27 | - | 40 | 50 | 46 | 2 | 7/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Derrygrath Freyab 3y 6 | K L Windebank — 17% R548 W92 P308 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 35 | 73 (2) | 35 (6) | 63 (4) | 68 (4) | 49 (5) | 60 (4) | 56 (4) | 78 (1) | 61 (2) | 54 (5) | 59 | 54 | 44 | 44 | 67 | 62 | 1 | 4/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Radical Beard 2y 15 | K L Windebank — 17% R548 W92 P308 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 44 | 77 (1) | 58 (3) | 75 (1) | 62 (2) | 47 (3) | 63 (2) | 63 (3) | 56 (3) | 53 (4) | 42 (5) | 47 | 61 | 28 | 51 | 56 | 55 | 4 | 5/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Zephyr Rampaged 2y 7 | I J Barnard — 23% R262 W59 P162 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 52 | 46 (5) | 41 (5) | 50 (4) | 68 (1) | 46 (3) | 50 (2) | 42 (5) | 60 (3) | 87 (1) | 71 (1) | 26 | 26 | - | 25 | 56 | 45 | 3 | 20/1 | |
The model's projected winner and the data supports it well. A measured Closer (EP 41, CS 80, consistency 87) with proven A4 form — she won this grade from this exact T3 draw with P78 on 11 March, beating the field in 28.43. Her form reads P55→P64→P78→P66→P76→P73, showing she consistently operates in the 64-78 range at A3/A4 level with the occasional dip. Drawn in T3 which is co-DOMINANT at A4 with 21.5% from 237 runs — real structural advantage. Her trap suitability of 59 is the highest in the field by some margin, confirming she's proven from this berth. Track suit 54 and distance suit 44 are both strong — this is a dog who knows the venue and the trip. Speed rating 55 is the joint-best in the field. Trainer Windebank at 22% is serviceable. The last two runs (P55, P64) are below her best, both coming at A3 level where she was slightly outclassed. Dropping back to A4 where she's won before should see improvement. The closing speed ratio of 80 means she finishes strongly, and at Yarmouth's 462m trip with its long home straight, that profile converts into results. The convergence of dominant trap, high suitability, proven course and distance form, and an appropriate closing style makes this a solid pick.
Co-dominant T4 draw (21.9%/265 runs) plus best track suit (61) and distance suit (51) in the field. Proven A4 winner from this berth. Recent A3 runs were poor but dropping back to his level — the main danger if he bounces back.
Highest avgPerf (72) and elite speed (65) but all form is at Suffolk Downs OR, not Yarmouth A4. Extreme Closer profile (EP 0, CS 100) needs pace collapse. Strong trainer Craske (36%) is best single signal but too many unknowns for a confident assessment.
Won at A5 and A6 but sole A4 run produced P46 in 5th. T2 draw is structurally below average. Good bend rating (55) but limited evidence he can compete at this grade — place frame at best if he's improved.
Won A5 but class suit 0 at A4 and poor suitability scores (all below 30) suggest this grade is a stretch. Structurally disadvantaged from T5 (16.5%). Likely mid-field at best.
T3 and T4 are the structurally favoured positions at A4, both above 21%. T6 is dead at 13.9% from a large sample of 274 runs. R1 composite wins 22.2% vs R3 at 15.1% — normal separation indicating the model has reasonable predictive power at this grade.
T1:19.1% T2:16.9% T3:21.5% T4:21.9% T5:16.5% T6:13.9%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Razldazl Minty | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Hes Always Right | 54 | 38 | All-Rounder |
3Derrygrath Freya | 41 | 80 | Closer |
4Radical Bear | 50 | 49 | All-Rounder |
5Zephyr Rampage | 52 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.