Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Effernogue Snowyb 3y 8 | K L Windebank — 17% R548 W92 P308 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 54 | 74 (6) | 72 (2) | 77 (2) | 66 (2) | 59 (4) | 73 (5) | 72 (2) | 58 (2) | 77 (5) | - | 45 | 45 | 15 | 43 | 70 | 61 | 1 | 6/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Aayamza Dreamerd 2y 16 | K L Windebank — 17% R548 W92 P308 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 41 | 50 (5) | 48 (6) | 55 (4) | 61 (5) | 58 (5) | 73 (2) | 60 (5) | 91 (1) | 56 (4) | 57 (5) | 23 | 30 | 5 | 29 | 63 | 51 | 4 | 20/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Peppered Bedlamd 2y 7 | K J Cobbold — 24% R152 W36 P97 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 56 | 45 (6) | 76 (2) | 81 (2) | 86 (1) | 57 (5) | 58 (5) | 86 (1) | 81 (2) | 65 (4) | 69 (2) | 82 | 60 | 50 | 68 | 73 | 72 | 2 | 13/8 | |
| 4 | ▶ Cassandras Girlb 3y 6 | E G Samuels — 16% R633 W101 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 59 | 78 (3) | 61 (3) | 84 (2) | 56 (4) | 90 (1) | 42 (2) | 41 (2) | 91 (1) | 46 (1) | 63 (3) | 48 | 43 | 35 | 44 | 61 | 55 | 5 | 10/3 | |
| 6 | ▶ Made Of Stoned 2y 29 | C R Morris — 28% R250 W71 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 14 | 11 | 81 (2) | 53 (1) | 77 (2) | 79 (2) | 52 (5) | 71 (3) | 90 (1) | 92 (2) | 79 (4) | 83 (2) | 36 | 37 | 20 | 43 | 72 | 60 | 3 | 5/4F | |
The model's projected winner and the form supports a solid case. A balanced All-Rounder (EP 50, CS 50, consistency 89) with avgPerf of 70 and strong A1 form: P72→P59→P78→P74→P91→P60. That P91 is from a win at A1 level (25 Feb) and the P78 3rd at A1 (9 March) shows he belongs at the top grade. He's always drawn T1 at Yarmouth — a fixture in this berth — and his trap suit of 45 confirms he handles the rail. Track suit 45, distance suit 43 are both solid. Speed 55 and bend 54 are above-average in this field. Trainer Windebank at 22% is serviceable. The All-Rounder profile is ideal for Yarmouth — he'll sit handy from the rail, let Peppered Bedlam go from T3, and be positioned to pick up the pieces when she inevitably fades through the home straight. His P72 2nd last time at A1 was a solid effort from T1. The P59 blip (5th on 18 March) is a concern but he bounced back from it with that P72. At this track where closers thrive, his balanced approach — close enough to the pace to not need a miracle, steady enough to sustain — is the winning formula. T1 is neutral at A1 (17.3%/220 runs) so there's no structural bonus, but no headwind either.
Best avgPerf (73) and electrifying recent form (P86, P81) from DOMINANT T3 with trap suit 82. But extreme Fader (EP100/CS0) at Yarmouth is structurally vulnerable. Two A1 runs were poor (P65, P52). The most talented but also the riskiest runner.
Co-dominant T2 draw but poor trap suit (23) and lowest speed (44) in field. P89 peak shows ability but inconsistent (P56, P57 recently). Extreme Closer who needs everything to go right — unreliable at A1.
Best bend rating (59) and decent trap position but Fader profile and inconsistent form (P42, P42 sandwiching P87) limit confidence. P64 at A1 looks her level — competitive but not a winner.
P77 and P79 at A1 show genuine top-grade form. Extreme Closer suits Yarmouth. But anomalous last run (40.66 time, P53) and inexplicably low field speed ratings create major uncertainty. Trainer Morris (28%) is a positive.
A1 Yarmouth has even trap distribution with T3 marginally best. R1 composite wins 25.1% vs R3 at 13.2% — strong model separation at the top grade. Quality tells in A1 races.
T1:17.3% T2:20.7% T3:22.0% T4:18.1% T5:17.0% T6:19.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Effernogue Snowy | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Aayamza Dreamer | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Peppered Bedlam | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Cassandras Girl | 57 | 37 | Fader |
6Made Of Stone | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.