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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Triangle Trikarid 2y 14 | D R Jinks — 16% R534 W85 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 44 | 45 (4) | 43 (4) | 20 (2) | 64 (1) | 46 (4) | 46 (3) | 33 (5) | 56 (2) | 23 (4) | 50 (3) | 27 | 25 | 28 | 26 | 45 | 37 | 5 | 10/3 | |
| 3 | ▶ Tommys Birdyb 2y 17 | C Wilson — 15% R26 W4 P14 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 48 | 48 (2) | 27 (3) | 19 (6) | 25 (3) | 11 (6) | 48 (4) | 46 (3) | 39 (4) | 64 (1) | 57 (2) | 43 | 32 | 28 | 26 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 5/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballintine Tend 2y 14 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R684 W138 P359 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 47 | 30 (5) | 43 (5) | 35 (6) | 37 (4) | 14 (4) | 22 (1) | 55 (2) | 15 (4) | 18 (3) | 11 (5) | 54 | 49 | 48 | 48 | 49 | 50 | 2 | 4/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Estefans Tuneb 4y 25 | J D T Allen — 11% R210 W24 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 60 | 21 (1) | 45 (4) | 45 (4) | 58 (2) | 44 (2) | 53 (2) | 46 (4) | 35 (5) | 44 (4) | 13 (5) | 24 | 22 | 24 | 22 | 54 | 40 | 3 | 7/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Skidrow Strongbod 1y 111 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R684 W138 P359 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 75 | 64 (1) | 63 (1) | 41 (5) | 52 (4) | 17 (6) | 38 (5) | 56 (3) | 26 (2) | 51 (3) | 20 (2) | 54 | 48 | 40 | 40 | 46 | 48 | 1 | 11/10F | |
The prediction backs Skidrow Strongbo based on his composite profile, and the structural case is reasonable — T6 at 19.8 percent from 830 runs is the second-best draw, and with no T1 runner it becomes the effective structural favourite tonight. His early pace is exceptional: EP 72 and Bend 75 are far ahead of anything else in the field, meaning he will establish a clear lead through the first bend from the outside. Track suitability of 48 and trap suitability of 54 both confirm individual history at these conditions. The concern is significant: he is a confirmed Fader with CS 10, and at 415m on Harlow tight four-bend circuit, that fade has four bends to manifest. His form trajectory is inconsistent — P53 2nd, P52 3rd, P28 D4 238m 2nd, P58 2nd, P38 5th — he finds places but rarely wins. The pick is Tentative because the Fader profile at this distance is a genuine structural weakness even from the best draw.
Best raw ability and recent A7 winner but poor suitability scores temper expectations — the danger if the Fader pick weakens.
Best suitability fit in the field with proven A7 winning form — a serious contender but drawn in a structurally average position.
Proven A7 winner with strong trainer but stranded in the weakest trap position — needs trouble ahead to feature.
Closing specialist who needs the pace to collapse ahead of him — lowest suitability and poor draw make this an outside chance.
No T1 runner removes the usual rail advantage. T6 at 19.8 percent becomes the structural favourite. Low separation 1.6pp means ratings offer minimal edge.
T1:20.9% T2:16.9% T3:16.6% T4:17.6% T5:18.0% T6:19.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 415m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Triangle Trikari | 41 | 79 | Closer |
3Tommys Birdy | 48 | 62 | Closer |
4Ballintine Ten | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Estefans Tune | 52 | 44 | All-Rounder |
6Skidrow Strongbo | 72 | 10 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.