| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Lisnakill Oxod 4y 17 | D R Jinks — 16% R534 W85 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 32 | 67 (3) | 73 (1) | 63 (2) | 64 (2) | 56 (5) | 63 (3) | 52 (3) | 62 (5) | 58 (4) | - | 39 | 38 | 16 | 34 | 59 | 49 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Badminton Debbieb 2y 17 | D R Jinks — 16% R534 W85 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 45 | 50 (3) | 64 (2) | 47 (5) | 54 (4) | 58 (4) | 65 (2) | 62 (3) | 78 (2) | 56 (1) | - | 39 | 31 | 36 | 33 | 60 | 49 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Barrington Chapd 1y 22 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R684 W138 P359 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 50 | 44 (4) | 78 (1) | 24 (5) | 24 (4) | 54 (3) | 34 (2) | 39 (1) | 39 (1) | 39 (2) | - | 63 | 49 | 30 | 51 | 52 | 54 | 2 | 9/4 | |
| 5 | ▶ Royston Rocketd 4y 34 | P Clarke — 14% R523 W75 P287 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 56 | 53 (4) | 28 (2) | 49 (5) | 61 (3) | 30 (3) | 28 (4) | 60 (4) | 63 (2) | 77 (1) | 77 (1) | 46 | 48 | 57 | 48 | 49 | 48 | 3 | 7/4JF | |
| 6 | ▶ Miss Margaretb 2y 16 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R684 W138 P359 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 64 | 39 (5) | 69 (2) | 28 (4) | 63 (3) | 28 (4) | 27 (4) | 32 (3) | 24 (1) | 46 (3) | - | 62 | 51 | - | 47 | 61 | 59 | 1 | 7/4JF | |
Miss Margaret is the standout pick, combining field-leading performance metrics with tactical suitability and recent form evidence establishing A5 competency. Performance 61 and Speed 60 represent the field's highest ratings—a clear 9-point and 7-point separation from Barrington Chap (52/53) respectively—meaningful advantage in a race showing 7.7pp composite separation where ratings predict outcomes. The Fader pace profile (Bend 64—field-leading bend rating, Early Pace 58, Closing Score 42) establishes sophisticated tactical setup: the dog front-loads pace to secure position through Harlow's four bends, then compresses late when necessary—an ideal profile for 415m where sustained early rhythm compounds. Suitability metrics are exceptional (TrackS 51, TrapS 62—field-leading trap suitability), confirming proven fit to this exact 415m A5 condition at Harlow. Recent A6 form demonstrates consistent grade-level victories (pos 1, 1, 2) before this A5 step-up, confirming form readiness and current condition. Form across two grades reads P74–P51–P60–P73–P66–P58, showing high-plateau performance with recent solidification. Trainer D R E Ellerker (26% strike) is strong. T6 at 20.8% sits in the co-secondary dominant trap grouping (4.1pp above baseline). The convergence of performance dominance (61 vs field average ~50), speed advantage (60, highest field), Fader pace suited to 415m four-bend demands, field-leading trap suitability (62), and proven recent A5 history establishes Miss Margaret as the strongest pick. Strong confidence justified by comprehensive metric alignment.
Danger runner with compelling three-win momentum streak and field-leading trap suitability (63). Drawback is A5 is grade debut—recent victories at lower A6/A7. Performance gap (52 vs 61) meaningful in high-separation race. Momentum genuine but facing established A5 competitor at elite grade.
Tertiary option with confirmed A5 history (Class Suit 57) but concerning recent form decline and 12-point performance gap versus pick. Mid-field player without victory record at A5.
Tentative fourth option. T3 trap dominance (21.7%) provides structural benefit, but four-week layoff, declining form (P44, P52), and Closer pace profile (relying on field collapse) create significant uncertainty. Recent A6 form doesn't confirm A5 readiness.
Speculative outsider. Extreme Closer profile (EP 31, CS 100) dependent on field collapse unlikely at A5. Lowest speed (45) and 14-point performance gap vs pick create uphill path. Should be opposed in high-separation race.
Harlow 415m A5 shows strong separation (7.7pp R1-R3 gap), meaning ratings predict outcomes more reliably. Performance metrics (61 vs 52) carry legitimate weight. Miss Margaret's 9-point performance lead and speed advantage (60 vs 53) represent material class separation.
T3:21.7% T4:21.0% T6:20.8% T2:17.6% T1:17.1% T5:16.5%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 415m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Lisnakill Oxo | 31 | 100 | Closer |
3Badminton Debbie | 42 | 75 | Closer |
4Barrington Chap | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Royston Rocket | 58 | 38 | Fader |
6Miss Margaret | 58 | 42 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.