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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tapa Torpedob 2y 5 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R684 W138 P359 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 14 (6) | 22 (4) | 31 (1) | 24 (3) | 20 (4) | 14 (5) | 14 (5) | 25 (2) | 17 (5) | - | 40 | 37 | 39 | 37 | 25 | 31 | 1 | 8/13F | |
| 2 | ▶ Rathbally Annab 2y 15 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R684 W138 P359 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 48 (6) | 24 (3) | 64 (2) | 45 (1) | 16 (3) | 21 (6) | 18 (1) | 31 (2) | - | - | 38 | 42 | 36 | 43 | 27 | 33 | 2 | 4/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Stradeen Shirazd 5y 36 | J D T Allen — 11% R210 W24 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 18 (5) | 18 (6) | 21 (6) | 30 (5) | 25 (1) | 24 (3) | 18 (2) | 30 (4) | 16 (1) | - | 38 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 23 | 28 | 3 | 11/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Rising Islandd 2y 16 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R684 W138 P359 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 31 (1) | 17 (6) | 23 (4) | 18 (6) | 21 (5) | 32 (1) | 18 (3) | 11 (6) | 19 (4) | - | 18 | 37 | 30 | 39 | 23 | 25 | 5 | 3/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ City Bossb 5yN/R 15 | P B Witchell — 17% R103 W17 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 30 (1) | 16 (5) | 18 (5) | 17 (6) | 20 (6) | 25 (2) | 27 (3) | 19 (2) | 24 (5) | - | 15 | 27 | 26 | 30 | 24 | 23 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Old Fort Mickmacd 5y 26 | J D T Allen — 11% R210 W24 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 24 (1) | 26 (2) | 22 (3) | 12 (6) | 25 (3) | 18 (6) | 23 (2) | 14 (5) | 30 (1) | 19 (4) | 33 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 23 | 26 | 4 | 16/1 | |
Takes the prediction from T1 with the best performance rating in the field at 25 — though in a D5 sprint that marginal edge carries limited weight given the 2.2pp gap between composite rank 1 and rank 3 win rates. Her recent form shows a D5 win at P29 last time out, followed by a 3rd, 3rd, and a 4th at D4 before that. Trainer D R E Ellerker at 26 percent is a moderate positive. Suitability scores are respectable across the board — TrackS 37, DistS 37, TrapS 40 — nothing outstanding but nothing concerning either. Speed of 56 is the joint-best in the field alongside Rathbally Anna. T1 at 17.5 percent from 737 runs is marginally above the expected rate, giving a slight structural edge. In this low-separation field, the convergence of best perf, decent speed, and an above-average trap draw is enough to justify the pick, but confidence is Tentative.
Three-race winning streak is impossible to dismiss despite a structurally weak draw — the clear danger runner.
Structural trap advantage and recent winning form but lacks the momentum of the danger runner — solid each-way prospect.
Inconsistent runner from a neutral draw with poor trap suitability — a long shot who can place on his day but hard to trust.
Structurally disadvantaged in the DEAD T5 with matching poor individual trap history — can be opposed with confidence.
Draws the best position structurally but lacks the individual ability to capitalise consistently — a place threat from the dominant draw.
2.2pp gap R1 vs R3 — ratings near-random at D5. Trap bias is primary signal.
T1:17.5% T2:16.7% T3:19.8% T4:18.3% T5:15.5% T6:23.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 238m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.