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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Camden Oreod 1y 13 | C R Morris — 28% R253 W71 P169 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 43 | 74 (1) | 53 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 45 | 46 | 18 | 46 | 53 | 50 | 4 | 11/10F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Followdelited 2y 7 | E G Samuels — 16% R645 W104 P363 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 51 | 47 (4) | 46 (2) | 35 (4) | 36 (5) | 34 (4) | 57 (5) | 57 (3) | 50 (1) | 62 (2) | - | 44 | 34 | - | 33 | 48 | 44 | 1 | 20/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Angel Delightb 2y 16 | E G Samuels — 16% R645 W104 P363 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | 35 | 39 (3) | 91 (1) | 42 (2) | 42 (3) | 39 (5) | 54 (2) | 45 (4) | 49 (3) | 50 (4) | 49 (4) | 24 | 29 | 23 | 24 | 53 | 43 | 5 | 5/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Horizontald 1y 25 | K L Windebank — 17% R558 W96 P312 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | 49 | 51 (5) | 49 (5) | 40 (5) | 47 (5) | 74 (1) | 67 (2) | 70 (1) | 29 (5) | 52 (4) | 48 (3) | 40 | 45 | - | 45 | 47 | 46 | 2 | 7/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Harlequin Essexb 2y 17 | K L Windebank — 17% R558 W96 P312 Trainer form — last 3 months | 65 | 60 | 42 (2) | 65 (2) | 38 (6) | 53 (4) | 50 (3) | 53 (1) | 22 (3) | 51 (5) | 51 (5) | - | 16 | 37 | 23 | 34 | 54 | 45 | 3 | 11/8 | ||
The model's projected winner dropping from A7 where he won last time — P62 in 1st at A7 from T1 (25 March). That's his best recent effort and comes at one grade above tonight's A6, suggesting class relief tonight. An All-Rounder (EP 53, bend 51, consistency 90) with improving form at A7: P62→P48→P35→P45→P46→P45 — the P62 win was a clear step up from the P35-P48 range he'd been operating in. AvgPerf 48 is mid-field at A6. Drawn T2 which is neutral at A6 (19.7%/198 runs). Trap suit 44 is decent. Track suit 34, distance suit 33 are below average. Speed 45 is modest. Trainer Samuels at 14% is below par. In a LOW SEPARATION race, the pick is determined by the prediction model and structure rather than compelling form arguments. His case: A7 winner dropping to A6 with a consistent All-Rounder profile that suits Yarmouth. The concern: P62 was his only run above P48 in six races — was it a one-off or a genuine improvement? The form before that win was poor (P48, P35, P45). A Tentative selection because while the class relief from A7→A6 is genuine, there's no structural trap advantage and the form trajectory is built on one good run.
DOMINANT T3 (25.1%/203 runs) with best avgPerf (53) in a LOW SEPARATION race where structure should lead. Closer profile suits Yarmouth's home straight. The structural danger — 5.4pp trap advantage over the pick's T2.
One encouraging A6 debut (P53, 2nd) and strong trainer Morris (28%). Good suitability profile. But trial-heavy record means form is essentially unproven. A contender on talent but too much uncertainty to pick.
A7 winner (P64) dropping to A6 with decent T4 draw (21.2%) and good suitability. But wildly inconsistent form (P64 to P28) and lowest consistency (80) make him unreliable. Place contender on his day; a non-event on his off day.
Best speed (65) and bend (60) in the field — genuine raw pace. But T5 (17.2%/309 runs) and trap suit 16 create structural headwind. In a LOW SEPARATION race, position matters more than marginal performance edges. Wrong draw.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 wins 21.8% vs R3 at 20.8% — just 1.0pp gap. Model ratings are essentially noise at A6 Yarmouth. T3 dominates at 25.1% from 203 runs — the clear structural signal. T1, T2, T4 are all neutral (19.7-21.2%). T5 is below average at 17.2% from 309 runs. Lead with trap position and suitability, not performance.
T1:20.0% T2:19.7% T3:25.1% T4:21.2% T5:17.2% T6:15.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Camden Oreo | 47 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Followdelite | 53 | 38 | All-Rounder |
3Angel Delight | 42 | 73 | Closer |
4Horizontal | 50 | 35 | All-Rounder |
5Harlequin Essex | 52 | 57 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.