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Arena Racing Company Ladies 480m Trophy Heat 2
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Skeard Daisy Mayb 2y 26 | B Denby — 20% R257 W51 P145 Trainer form — last 3 months | 67 | 100 | 95 (1) | 52 (5) | 76 (3) | 52 (6) | 77 (3) | 65 (3) | 88 (1) | 93 (1) | 30 (5) | 95 (1) | 73 | 88 | 23 | 17 | 67 | 64 | 1 | 4/6F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Rosie Jackellb 2y 27 | M T Munslow — 24% R147 W35 P96 Trainer form — last 3 months | 0 | 0 | 87 (1) | 79 (3) | 79 (4) | 55 (2) | 81 (5) | 76 (2) | 86 (2) | 74 (1) | 82 (2) | - | 47 | 35 | - | - | 72 | 61 | 4 | 15/8 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Prove Itb 1y 12 | D E Fradgley — 16% R94 W15 P52 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 0 | 73 (3) | 44 (2) | 76 (2) | 55 (5) | 38 (6) | 64 (3) | 69 (2) | - | - | - | 14 | 30 | - | 40 | 55 | 46 | 5 | 6/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Kanturk Dunb 2y 15 | J R Hall — 21% R329 W68 P184 Trainer form — last 3 months | 37 | 100 | 27 (3) | 32 (3) | 24 (6) | 21 (6) | 37 (1) | 21 (6) | 32 (2) | 57 (6) | 36 (4) | - | 53 | - | - | 9 | 35 | 34 | 3 | 33/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Skyfall Gingerb 4y 26 | E O Driver — 21% R320 W66 P197 Trainer form — last 3 months | 100 | - | 38 (2) | 41 (1) | 27 (5) | 36 (3) | 86 (2) | 68 (5) | 61 (5) | 81 (2) | 29 (5) | 32 (5) | 49 | 59 | 17 | 47 | 54 | 53 | 2 | 10/1 | ||
Skeard Daisy May is the standout selection of the 480m OR3 races tonight, and her H3 of 125.2 is the highest of any dog on the entire Nottingham card. She's a Fader (EP 85, CS 0) with the best bend in the field at 100 and excellent speed at 67 — at tight-playing 480m Nottingham where first-bend position is paramount, EP 85 + bend 100 from the DOMINANT T1 (30.0%) is the ideal structural setup. Her suitability is outstanding: track 88 (by far the best — she knows Nottingham inside out), distance 17 (less 480m experience), trap 74 (excellent T1 history), class 23 (mean 50.5 — best in field). Form reads 51→77→64→88→94 reading back — a P94 at Nottingham A1(!) is exceptional class, and the P88 was a 1st at Dunstall OR3. She's proven at the highest level and now returns to OR3 where she should be dominant. Recent form 6-3-3-1-1 at Dunstall OR/OR3 and Nottingham A1 — the 6th was at OR level (her latest) which raises a recency question, but the A1 form (P51 for 1st) proves elite ability. Trainer B Denby at 22% is moderate. The convergence here is powerful: DOMINANT T1 + best bend + best suitability (track 88!) + A1 proven class + highest H3 on the card.
DANGER: Perfect pace metrics (EP 100, bend 100, pace cons 98) from structurally strong T4 (25.0%). Will push the pace through bend 1. But perf 35 (weakest by 20+ points) and sprint form suggest he fades badly in the second half. Dangerous at the first bend, vulnerable thereafter.
Best raw perf (72) with A2 form and Munslow's strong trainer rate, but Closer profile with speed 0, bend 0, and zero 480m experience at tight-playing Nottingham 480m. The 500m-to-480m shift is significant — tighter playing gives less room to close.
DOMINANT T3 (35.0%) wasted on a Closer with EP 15. Trial-heavy form (P21, P22 wins) doesn't translate to competitive ability assessment. The trap is right but the profile is wrong — needs pace collapse to feature.
Sprint specialist (305m form only) in DEAD T5 (5.6%) with no pace profile data for 480m. Speed 100 from sprints may not translate. Track suit 59 shows some Nottingham knowledge. Too many unknowns for serious consideration — the distance shift and dead trap make her a long shot.
Same 480m OR3 conditions. T1 at 30.0% is DOMINANT. T4 at 25.0% structurally strong. T5 near-dead at 5.6%. T3 DOMINANT at 35.0% but occupied by a Closer (Prove It) who can't exploit it. Composite R1 at 30.0% shows strong separation.
T1:30.0%(20) T2:15.4%(26) T3:35.0%(20) T4:25.0%(16) T5:5.6%(18) T6:0.0%(12)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Skeard Daisy May | 85 | 0 | Fader |
2Rosie Jackell | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Prove It | 15 | 100 | Closer |
4Kanturk Dun | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Skyfall Ginger | — | — | No data |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.