Loading...
Intertrack Vs Sunderland
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballymac Akid 2y 25 | D Blackbird — 17% R1084 W182 P585 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 22 | 52 | 66 (4) | 56 (5) | 78 (3) | 87 (2) | 74 (3) | 47 (3) | 92 (1) | 90 (1) | 60 (5) | 17 (2) | 48 | 15 | 15 | - | 56 | 47 | 6 | 5/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Killieford Goramd 5y 43 | D Blackbird — 17% R1084 W182 P585 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 57 | 63 (4) | 52 (2) | 78 (4) | 66 (4) | 63 (4) | 44 (1) | 67 (3) | 81 (2) | 86 (1) | 82 (3) | 64 | 58 | - | 53 | 69 | 65 | 2 | 2/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Hardy Buckod 2y 3 | J Gray — 14% R224 W31 P127 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 48 | 54 (5) | 58 (6) | 95 (5) | 83 (4) | 63 (1) | 94 (2) | 66 (3) | 67 (1) | - | - | 51 | 60 | - | 38 | 75 | 66 | 3 | 6/4F | |
| 4 | ▶ Roanna Groutd 4y 14 | B Denby — 20% R260 W51 P146 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 51 | 44 (6) | 66 (3) | 75 (2) | 67 (3) | 97 (1) | 56 (5) | 47 (6) | 57 (4) | 92 (1) | 63 (3) | 37 | 51 | - | 31 | 74 | 62 | 4 | 6/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Isidor Eighteend 1y 14 | D Blackbird — 17% R1084 W182 P585 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 49 | 70 (4) | 75 (2) | 77 (2) | 65 (5) | 100 (1) | 79 (2) | 76 (2) | 62 (4) | 57 (5) | 68 (2) | 44 | 15 | - | - | 69 | 55 | 1 | 10/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Kylenoe Stand 2y 5 | B Denby — 20% R260 W51 P146 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 44 | 87 (6) | 87 (5) | 77 (1) | 74 (1) | 61 (2) | 87 (2) | 58 (5) | 87 (1) | - | - | 45 | 73 | 15 | 46 | 61 | 59 | 5 | 6/1 | |
Isidor Eighteen is the Pred1 pick on the back of an extraordinary speed rating of 100 — the highest in the field by a huge margin (next best is Killieford Goram at 59). The H3 score of 106.2 reflects this raw physical talent. He's a pure Closer (EP 47, CS 100) who will be towards the rear through the first bend and need to close from behind. His form is all at Sunderland 450m A1/A2: 4-5-2-4-1 — he won his last start there (P62 at A1). Average performance of 69 is solid but not the best in the field (Hardy Bucko at 75). The elephant in the room is suitability: track 15, distance 0, trap 44 — he has ZERO Nottingham 500m experience. This is a genuine Introduction Trial for him, being tested at a new track and a longer distance. T5 wins 14.3% from 28 runs — below expected and not structurally helpful. Trainer Blackbird at 16% is low-tier. The pick rests entirely on the speed metric translating to an unfamiliar track — a genuine gamble. If the Sunderland speed carries over, he'll close down the All-Rounders ahead with devastating late pace. If it doesn't, Hardy Bucko's class or Killieford's proven venue form could easily prevail.
DANGER: DOMINANT T2 (29.2%) with suitability confirmation (track 58, dist 53, trap 64). H3 106.1 vs pick's 106.2 — essentially identical model scores. Closer profile is the concern at tight-bend Nottingham but proven venue form and structural position make him the clear threat.
High EP from DOMINANT T1 makes him dangerous if his good form shows up, but P90→P17→P18→P60 inconsistency and zero venue form make him unreliable. Could lead but equally could stop. Too volatile to trust.
Best raw performance in the field (75 avg) with A1 experience, but T3's extreme structural deficit (4.2% from 24 runs) is a heavy anchor. The class is undeniable but the trap position historically kills chances in IT at Nottingham 500m.
Strong A1 form (avg 74) in a solid T4, but suitability is moderate and she lacks the structural alignment or closing speed to displace the two Closers. Mid-pack runner with place potential.
Best venue suitability in the field (track 73) but stuck in a weak T6 with volatile form (90→87→20→17). Will run his race but structural headwind and average raw metrics cap his ceiling at place money.
Small sample (154 runs) so trap percentages are volatile, but T2 at 29.2% is notably high. T3 at 4.2% is extreme — only 1 win from 24 runs. IT races are inherently less predictable as dogs are trialling unfamiliar conditions. Composite R1 wins 26.3% — decent separation vs R2 at 9.4%, though the R6 anomaly (36.4% from 11 runs) shows the noise in small samples.
T1:24.0%(25) T2:29.2%(24) T3:4.2%(24) T4:20.8%(24) T5:14.3%(28) T6:13.8%(29)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ballymac Aki | 79 | 61 | All-Rounder |
2Killieford Goram | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Hardy Bucko | 51 | 37 | All-Rounder |
4Roanna Grout | 52 | 38 | All-Rounder |
5Isidor Eighteen | 47 | 100 | Closer |
6Kylenoe Stan | 49 | 39 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.