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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Sporting Legiond 2y 17 | A K Jenkins — 16% R160 W25 P83 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 54 | 36 (5) | 33 (6) | 52 (1) | 20 (4) | 25 (4) | 18 (6) | 28 (2) | 35 (4) | 41 (3) | 31 (5) | 21 | 24 | 10 | 17 | 38 | 47 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Florican Gemb 1y 16 | R Taberner — 18% R734 W133 P409 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 56 | 41 (4) | 34 (6) | 57 (5) | 62 (5) | 64 (6) | 53 (1) | 43 (3) | - | - | - | - | 12 | 5 | 16 | 49 | 47 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Bangon Mrs Clockb 1y 7 | R Taberner — 18% R734 W133 P409 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 40 | 26 (6) | 33 (5) | 51 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 41 | 41 | 3 | 13/8F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Tell On Jaffad 3y 27 | C D Marston — 17% R451 W75 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 48 | 31 (4) | 38 (5) | 25 (5) | 24 (6) | 34 (4) | 36 (5) | 39 (6) | 58 (3) | 33 (1) | - | - | 15 | 25 | 9 | 36 | 41 | 5 | 20/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Longacres Feeb 3y 7 | P A Curtin — 16% R277 W45 P139 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 50 | 57 (1) | 39 (4) | 42 (5) | 41 (3) | 52 (3) | 41 (4) | 58 (2) | 63 (1) | 54 (2) | 53 (3) | 26 | 37 | 42 | 24 | 47 | 52 | 4 | 10/3 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Swift Leitrimd 2y 37 | A K Jenkins — 16% R160 W25 P83 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 47 | 56 (4) | 79 (2) | 31 (4) | 33 (6) | 32 (6) | 26 (6) | 58 (5) | 53 (1) | 43 (1) | - | 20 | 21 | 26 | 22 | 48 | 39 | 6 | 9/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Legion | — | — | — | 52 | — | Fifth LTO | |
| 2 | Florican Gem | — | — | — | 52 | — | Best raw perf | |
| 3 | Bangon Mrs Clock | — | — | — | 45 | — | Best trap for grade | |
| 4 | Tell On Jaffa | — | — | — | 47 | — | Weakest trap for grade | |
| 5 | Longacres Fee | — | — | — | 58 | — | Model pick | |
| 6 | Swift Leitrim | — | — | — | 44 | — | Big class/distance drop |
Another 480m heat at a grade where Monmore's model has historically struggled - trap 1 is the strongest box overall at 20.5% but the top-rated dog on the composite has won only around one in six times at this A5-A8 band here, so this wants careful reading rather than a straight follow of the rating. Longacres Fee is the exception worth noting - she tops both the composite score and the speed figures, a combination that carries real weight even at a grade where the model is shakier than usual. Swift Leitrim is the interesting outsider, dropping down sharply from a much higher grade and distance with a big performance in her locker from a few runs back, though it's fair to ask whether that form transfers. Florican Gem and Swift Leitrim both do their best work from off the pace, so if the leaders go too hard early there could be a sting in the tail.
Fourth last time out in a tougher A7 heat, so there's a touch of class relief dropping back in here. Tops both the composite score and the speed figures in this field - a combination worth trusting even at a grade where Monmore's model has been less reliable than usual. Recent form has settled around the low 40s with occasional peaks to 52 and 58, showing there's more in the tank when it clicks. Trainer strike rate is modest at 12% and the course and distance record is thin, but the two headline numbers both point the same way.
A big drop in company and distance here - her last run came at S3 grade over 630m, a much tougher assignment than this. A performance of 79 a few runs back hints at real ability, but it's fair to treat that form with some caution given how different the conditions were. A confirmed closer who does her best work late, which could suit if this is run at a fast, honest pace. Worth including as a danger given the unknown of how the drop in company and trip will play out, but too uncertain to fully trust as the pick.
Fifth last time out at this grade and the recent form has been up and down - 36, 33, 52, 20, 25, 18 - without settling into a pattern. Second on both the composite and the speed figures, which keeps her interesting even in a race where the model here has been unreliable. Only one course and distance win from six. Fair each-way claims rather than a leading fancy.
Fourth last time out and rates highest of the field on raw average performance, with a strong peak of 64 a few runs back showing genuine quality. Trainer R Taberner's 34% strike rate is the best on the card. A confirmed closer who needs the race run to suit, doing her best work from off the pace. One course and distance win from four is a fair if small sample.
Only two runs of recent form to go on, finishing fifth last time out, so the sample is limited. Drawn in the standout trap for this exact grade, which has produced the best win rate of any box here. Trainer R Taberner shares the same 34% strike rate as Florican Gem. Too little evidence to fully back, but the draw is a genuine plus.
Fifth last time out and the weakest of the field on average performance, with modest recent figures throughout - 38, 25, 24, 34, 36, 39. Drawn in the least productive trap for this grade. One course and distance win from nine. Little in the profile to get excited about.
Key insight: Trap 3 has been unusually strong at this specific grade (25.73% from 307 runs), well clear of trap 4's 13.49%. This sits within Monmore's A5-A8 band, where the model's top pick has historically underperformed - treat the composite as a lean rather than a certainty here.
T1:15.77% T2:19.87% T3:25.73% T4:13.49% T5:16.38% T6:17.08%
1,858 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Sporting Legion | 60 | 30 | Fader |
2Florican Gem | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Bangon Mrs Clock | 46 | 53 | All-Rounder |
4Tell On Jaffa | 54 | 24 | All-Rounder |
5Longacres Fee | 54 | 47 | All-Rounder |
6Swift Leitrim | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | 630m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Legion | 0.614 | 0.619 | — |
| 2 | Florican Gem | — | 0.619 | 0.630 |
| 3 | Bangon Mrs Clock | — | 0.623 | — |
| 4 | Tell On Jaffa | 0.617 | 0.624 | — |
| 5 | Longacres Fee | — | 0.615 | — |
| 6 | Swift Leitrim | — | 0.620 | 0.629 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.