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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Aero Zanzibarb 3y 25 | P A Curtin — 16% R277 W45 P139 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | - | 19 (5) | 21 (5) | 24 (6) | 19 (2) | 28 (6) | 16 (2) | 31 (5) | 15 (1) | 27 (5) | - | 27 | 23 | 33 | 28 | 22 | 31 | 6 | 25/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Noruffsorscruffsb 2y 8 | P A Curtin — 16% R277 W45 P139 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 31 (2) | 28 (2) | 24 (2) | 32 (2) | 30 (1) | 28 (2) | 26 (2) | 25 (3) | 20 (6) | 23 (5) | 26 | 34 | 38 | 46 | 27 | 43 | 5 | 7/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Longacres Sennad 1y | C S Fereday — 16% R467 W75 P237 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 21 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Longacres Spiderd 1y | P J Doocey — 17% R150 W26 P73 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 21 | - | 16 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | 16 | 18 | 4 | 18/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Soap Box Surferd 1y 14 | R Taberner — 18% R734 W133 P409 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 25 (4) | 29 (2) | 28 (3) | 29 (4) | 25 (5) | 32 (1) | 21 (4) | - | - | - | - | 20 | 20 | 18 | 27 | 40 | 3 | 5/6F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Titanium Annieb 3y 6 | C S Fereday — 16% R467 W75 P237 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 31 (1) | 26 (3) | 28 (2) | 20 (6) | 19 (6) | 19 (5) | 27 (3) | 32 (1) | 29 (2) | 27 (3) | 33 | 32 | 44 | 25 | 25 | 44 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aero Zanzibar | — | — | — | 42 | — | Modest form | |
| 2 | Noruffsorscruffs | — | — | — | 51 | — | Best raw perf | |
| 3 | Longacres Senna | No recorded form - first race under these conditions. | — | Debutant | ||||
| 4 | Longacres Spider | — | — | — | 21 | — | Only 1 run, slowest | |
| 5 | Soap Box Surfer | — | — | — | 52 | — | Danger, best trainer | |
| 6 | Titanium Annie | — | — | — | 55 | — | Model pick | |
The bottom rung of the grading ladder over the minimum trip, and the ratings reflect a modest but genuine field rather than a truly weak one. Trap 1 has a small edge at this grade, though the trap bias is far less pronounced than in the higher grades at this distance. This is a track and grade combination where the model has tended to work well, and Titanium Annie tops both the composite rating and the speed figures, making her the clear starting point. Soap Box Surfer, trained by the in-form R Taberner yard, is the value alternative on the second-best speed figure in the field. Longacres Senna is a first-time-out newcomer with nothing recorded, while Longacres Spider has only a single sluggish run to her name. Expect this to be run at a fair gallop with the early pace largely settling matters by the home straight.
Third last time out at this exact grade and distance, and tops both the composite model and the speed figures in this field - a combination that has historically worked well at this specific grade and trip. Recent form has been consistent in the high-teens to high-20s. The trap isn't the outstanding draw at this grade, but D-grade sprints here have been the model's most reliable hunting ground, which adds confidence to backing the top-rated dog.
Fourth last time out at this exact grade and distance, with steady recent form - 25, 29, 28, 29, 25, 32 - showing reliable if unspectacular ability. Trainer R Taberner's 34% strike rate is comfortably the best in the field, and she rates second on the speed figures behind only the selection. A dependable each-way alternative from a yard in good form.
Fifth last time out and the recent figures have been consistently low - 19, 21, 24, 19, 28, 16 - without ever threatening the front of this grade. Drawn in the best trap on offer, which keeps her interesting, but the underlying form doesn't back up a strong case. One from ten at this course and distance. Others look more solid on the numbers.
Runner-up last time out at this exact grade and distance, and rates highest of the field on raw average performance. Recent form has been tidy and consistent - 28, 24, 32, 30, 28, 26 - without a standout peak but without a poor run either. A fair trap for this grade. Solid without quite matching the top two on the headline model numbers.
A first-time-out runner with no recorded form to assess. Nothing in the data to build a case on either way - purely a market watch to see how she's fancied by connections.
Only one recorded run, finishing fifth last time out with a modest 16-rated effort - the slowest figure of anyone in this field. Too little evidence to build a case, and what evidence there is points against her. Would need a big step forward to feature.
Key insight: D-grades are historically where Monmore's model performs at its best - the top-rated dog wins 24.2% here and the top speed-rated dog even higher at 27.91%, both well above the track's troublesome middle-grade figures.
T1:19.78% T2:19.32% T3:16.67% T4:15.47% T5:17.52% T6:17.29%
2,599 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 264m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 264m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.