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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hawkfield Bionicb 2y 26 | C D Marston — 17% R451 W75 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 65 | 33 (2) | 23 (5) | 35 (6) | 23 (3) | 31 (5) | 40 (1) | 46 (2) | 22 (2) | 37 (5) | - | 26 | 27 | 6 | 13 | 36 | 41 | 3 | 9/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Still Momentb 3y 7 | C S Fereday — 16% R467 W75 P237 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 62 | 30 (1) | 41 (2) | 47 (1) | 23 (6) | 34 (4) | 40 (1) | 46 (3) | 27 (1) | 37 (3) | - | 26 | 28 | 29 | 39 | 38 | 52 | 5 | 11/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Winterfield Brod 2y 5 | C Jones — 16% R255 W41 P129 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 27 | 24 (5) | 45 (1) | 35 (3) | 30 (4) | 35 (3) | 25 (5) | 43 (2) | 32 (4) | 25 (4) | 27 (4) | 10 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 33 | 37 | 6 | 25/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Has A Squeakb 4y 26 | J M Walton — 16% R218 W34 P102 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 51 | 36 (4) | 26 (6) | 31 (5) | 70 (3) | 66 (4) | 38 (4) | 92 (1) | 87 (1) | 35 (5) | 55 (6) | 41 | 26 | - | - | 53 | 47 | 1 | 9/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Paper Over Crackb 1y 16 | P A Curtin — 16% R277 W45 P139 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 41 | 36 (3) | 36 (4) | 22 (5) | 32 (5) | 39 (3) | 47 (1) | 36 (3) | 39 (4) | 28 (2) | - | 1 | 21 | 39 | 21 | 35 | 44 | 4 | 9/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Betrayld 2y 6 | C D Marston — 17% R451 W75 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 47 | 48 (1) | 42 (2) | 37 (4) | 37 (2) | 37 (2) | 60 (3) | 36 (2) | 47 (1) | 34 (5) | 38 (3) | 27 | 26 | 27 | 40 | 41 | 50 | 2 | 13/8F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hawkfield Bionic | 29.58 | 29.79 | 30.30 | 50 | +0.72 | 0 wins from 7 C&D | |
| 2 | Still Moment | 29.69 | 29.89 | 29.69 | 56 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 3 | Winterfield Bro | 29.88 | 30.22 | 30.15 | 40 | +0.27 | Slowest in field | |
| 4 | Has A Squeak | 29.79 | 29.94 | 30.07 | 48 | +0.28 | Best raw perf | |
| 5 | Paper Over Crack | 29.70 | 29.96 | 29.95 | 50 | +0.25 | Worst draw here | |
| 6 | Betrayl | 29.74 | 29.83 | 29.77 | 55 | +0.03 | Danger |
Monmore's 480m trip has a fair reputation but the numbers tell a different story: trap 1 is the strongest box at nearly 21% from a huge sample, while trap 5 is the graveyard draw at just over 15%. Unusually for a standard trip, the first bend isn't decisive here - the best-bending dog only wins around 17% of the time, so this is a pace and stamina battle rather than a scramble for position. Still Moment and Betrayl are the two with genuine substance, both rated clear of the rest on the model and the clock, and both have been racing well at the track recently. Hawkfield Bionic and Paper Over Crack will look to use their early gate speed to be involved, but neither has the turn of foot to go all the way if the pace stays honest. Winterfield Bro is the one struggling to find a way into this on any number.
Won last time out over the minimum trip and has been racing well across both distances recently. Rated top of the field on both the model and the clock, and has a strong record at this course and distance with three wins from eight runs. Trainer C S Fereday isn't among the biggest hitters on the card, but the raw numbers here do the talking. A fader by profile, so wants to get a lead and hold on, but on ability she's the one to beat.
Volatile form figures - 26, 31, 70, 66, 38, 92 - but that 70 and 66 a few runs back show she can produce a big performance when it clicks. Rates highest of anyone in the field on raw average performance, though that average is skewed by the inconsistency. A confirmed closer who does her best work from off the pace, which suits if the leaders go too hard early. No course and distance win from four attempts, but the underlying ability is clearly there on her day.
Finished fifth last time out at this grade and hasn't won at this course and distance in seven attempts. Draws the best trap on the card, which keeps her interesting, but the speed and form numbers put her firmly mid-pack. Fast enough into the race to be involved early, but tends to fade in the closing stages and has struggled to convert her gate speed into finishes here. Others have stronger claims.
Finished fifth last time out and the recent form reads 24, 45, 35, 30, 35, 25 - modest to average without ever threatening the front end. Bottom of the field on the clock and the slowest into the first bend, and one from ten at this course and distance tells its own story. Nothing in the profile suggests she troubles this line-up.
Fourth last time out and the form has been steady without standing out - 36, 22, 32, 39, 47, 36. Drawn in trap 5, the weakest box at this grade and distance by some margin, and with a modest trainer strike rate of 12% behind her this looks a tough ask. Only one course and distance win from ten attempts adds to the case against.
Runner-up last time out and the form has been consistent - 42, 37, 37, 37, 60, 36 - without much fluctuation. Second on both the model rating and the speed figures, just behind the selection, and shares a trainer with Hawkfield Bionic in C D Marston, who has a 24% strike rate at this level. A confirmed closer who does his best work late, and with two course and distance wins from nine could easily be involved again.
Key insight: Trap 1 is the standout box at this grade (nearly 21% from 1,917 runs) while traps 5 and 6 trail badly. The top-rated dog on the model wins just over 21% here - a genuine but modest edge, in line with the wider A9-A12 band where the composite recovers after a dip in the mid-grades.
T1:20.97% T2:18.54% T3:18.7% T4:16.46% T5:15.68% T6:15.8%
1,917 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Hawkfield Bionic | 78 | 0 | Fader |
2Still Moment | 75 | 0 | Fader |
3Winterfield Bro | 42 | 65 | Closer |
4Has A Squeak | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Paper Over Crack | 58 | 35 | Fader |
6Betrayl | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | 630m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hawkfield Bionic | 0.609 | 0.622 | — |
| 2 | Still Moment | 0.611 | 0.623 | — |
| 3 | Winterfield Bro | — | 0.630 | — |
| 4 | Has A Squeak | — | 0.624 | 0.624 |
| 5 | Paper Over Crack | — | 0.625 | — |
| 6 | Betrayl | — | 0.621 | 0.631 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.