| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Cricket Bankd 1y 17 | J W Gaskin — 31% R276 W85 P205 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 27 (3) | 50 (2) | 40 (3) | 39 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 18 | 14 | - | - | 44 | 31 | 3 | 5/6F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Thirty Beard 3y 6 | C A Williams — 14% R354 W49 P174 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | - | 27 (3) | 32 (1) | 31 (5) | 39 (3) | 36 (5) | 45 (3) | 49 (3) | 48 (3) | 39 (4) | 38 (4) | 23 | 15 | - | 30 | 38 | 24 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Panaromad 3y 5 | C A Williams — 14% R354 W49 P174 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 32 (2) | 30 (3) | 27 (5) | 30 (2) | 27 (3) | 29 (3) | 32 (1) | 17 (5) | 43 (2) | 45 (3) | 33 | 29 | 10 | 27 | 30 | 31 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Flosses Rolexd 2y 16 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | - | 19 (5) | 25 (3) | 24 (4) | 31 (1) | 31 (1) | 15 (5) | 31 (1) | 25 (2) | 24 (3) | 23 (4) | 22 | 38 | 14 | 39 | 25 | 28 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Jazza Belleb 4y 16 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 27 (3) | 28 (2) | 28 (2) | 30 (3) | 23 (5) | 17 (5) | 24 (4) | 31 (3) | 24 (3) | 27 (2) | 23 | 22 | 16 | 18 | 26 | 26 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thirty Bear | 17.34 | 17.34 | 17.34 | 59 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 3 | Panaroma | 17.34 | 17.58 | 17.43 | 53 | +0.09 | C&D specialist | |
| 1 | Cricket Bank | No 275m form - all previous runs over 450m. Times not comparable. | — | 450m -> 275m | ||||
| 4 | Flosses Rolex | 17.48 | 17.78 | 17.92 | 41 | +0.44 | Hidden sharpener | |
| 6 | Jazza Belle | 17.43 | 17.62 | 17.70 | 48 | +0.27 | Runs wide | |
Doncaster's minimum trip is normally a fair sprint, but this particular D3 contest bucks the track's usual pattern - trap one has been the standout box in this exact grade at 26 percent, easily the best of the six, with trap five the weakest at 18 percent (empty tonight after a withdrawal). Thirty Bear looks the one to catch from trap two, holding both the fastest recorded time and the highest rating in the field after stepping down sharply from the 450 metre track. Panaroma, drawn just one box wider, has been campaigned at exactly this trip and grade for months and will be fighting for the same ground early. Jazza Belle races markedly wide from trap six and needs a clean break to be involved, while Cricket Bank arrives with no recorded form at this trip at all - his book is built entirely at 450 metres.
Steps down sharply in distance and grade after a productive winter campaign over 450 metres in stronger company, and made an immediate impact on his first try back at the minimum trip, leading home the field last time out in a personal-best 17.34. That's the fastest recorded time of anyone in this field and the highest speed rating too - trainer C A Williams's yard wins a moderate 18% in these exact conditions, nothing spectacular but a workable platform. Trap two isn't the standout draw here - that honour belongs to trap one at 26% - but it's still comfortably above the field average. The form and the clock point the same way: the one to beat.
Kennelmate of the selection and has been campaigned exclusively at this trip and grade for months, without ever quite getting her head in front - beaten only a head last time out and rarely finishing outside the frame. The second-fastest recorded time in the field and the second-highest rating, so on pure figures this is close to a match race between the top two. Her trainer's record in these conditions is identical to the pick's, and she carries course and distance experience the selection lacks, having raced at this exact trip and grade six times running. If Thirty Bear's inexperience at the minimum trip shows up in a real race, she's the one waiting to pounce.
Arrives with an unusual profile for this line-up - every piece of recorded form is over 450 metres, so there is no real way to judge how his pace translates to the minimum trip. What he does bring is the best-performing draw in this exact grade, with trap one winning at 26% from 230 runs, and a trainer in outstanding form - J W Gaskin has won 42% of his last 19 runners in these conditions, albeit from a small sample. A recent trial back at his usual 450 metres was quicker than his race average, suggesting he's fit and working well right now. The unknown is entirely about the sprint trip - if he has the gears to go with the draw and the trainer, he could be involved, but this is genuinely speculative.
Sat in trap four having placed third in this exact race and grade last time out, beaten under three lengths. The clock is the concern - his recorded times are the slowest of the sprint-proven runners here, and his trainer has managed only 15% in these conditions from a large sample of 179 runs. There is a note of encouragement from a recent trial that clocked quicker than his race average, hinting at a touch of improvement in the background, and he does have solid course form generally. On what he's shown in his actual races, though, this looks a tough one to win from the current level.
Races consistently wide from the outer traps and it shows up in the same way race after race - always giving up a length or two on the way round. Placed in each of her last two starts but has never gone on with it from behind, and her trainer's record in these conditions sits below average at 15% from 179 runs. The clock has her mid-pack among the sprint-experienced runners, quicker than Flosses Rolex but some way behind the top two on both time and rating. Others in this field have the stronger claims tonight.
Key insight: The top-rated dog wins about one in four here (24.7%), but the fastest dog in the field does even better at 29% - speed and rating agree on the same dog tonight, which is the strongest combination this sprint offers.
Trap 1: 26.1%, Trap 2: 22.5%, Trap 3: 20.8%, Trap 4: 21.4%, Trap 5: 17.7%, Trap 6: 19.3%
1,769 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 275m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (275m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 275m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cricket Bank | 0.641 | 0.643 |
| 2 | Thirty Bear | 0.632 | 0.636 |
| 3 | Panaroma | 0.639 | 0.651 |
| 4 | Flosses Rolex | 0.647 | — |
| 6 | Jazza Belle | 0.641 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.