| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Moss Bossd 4y 64 | K Everitt — 14% R73 W10 P37 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | - | 36 (6) | 32 (6) | 32 (3) | 28 (4) | 61 (3) | 61 (1) | 52 (1) | 50 (2) | 55 (2) | - | 36 | 35 | - | - | 41 | 9 | 6 | 16/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Qwertyb 2y 11 | S Watson — 28% R432 W122 P294 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 47 (1) | 34 (2) | 42 (1) | 78 (3) | 89 (2) | 79 (2) | 84 (2) | 43 (1) | 37 (2) | 30 (4) | 44 | 43 | 47 | 50 | 36 | 39 | 2 | 8/13F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Baytown Barbieb 3y 7 | S Watson — 28% R432 W122 P294 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 32 (4) | 42 (1) | 37 (1) | 29 (2) | 42 (4) | 46 (3) | 37 (5) | 36 (5) | 44 (3) | 44 (2) | 36 | 28 | 37 | 62 | 39 | 33 | 3 | 11/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Dannys Flyerd 3y 16 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 55 (5) | 53 (5) | 30 (4) | 67 (3) | 85 (1) | 35 (3) | 25 (4) | 33 (5) | 40 (1) | 34 (2) | 41 | 38 | 27 | 22 | 32 | 27 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Romantic Danod 2y 7 | S Watson — 28% R432 W122 P294 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 32 (2) | 31 (4) | 36 (3) | 37 (2) | 30 (4) | 36 (2) | 36 (3) | 29 (4) | 35 (3) | 39 (1) | 18 | 27 | 15 | 19 | 34 | 32 | 5 | 14/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Bluey Boyd 5y 15 | W E Link — 7% R14 W1 P7 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 32 (3) | 32 (4) | 36 (2) | 31 (3) | 30 (5) | 38 (1) | 42 (4) | 46 (2) | 60 (3) | 61 (4) | 33 | 29 | 12 | 25 | 35 | 30 | 1 | 4/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Baytown Barbie | 17.03 | 17.17 | 17.03 | 56 | 0.00 | Model pick, won LTO | |
| 2 | Qwerty | 16.91 | 17.25 | 17.09 | 56 | +0.18 | Fastest time - class dropper | |
| 6 | Bluey Boy | 16.98 | 17.19 | 17.20 | 54 | +0.22 | No trainer signal | |
| 4 | Dannys Flyer | 17.12 | 17.32 | 17.39 | 47 | +0.27 | Weakest trap tonight | |
| 5 | Romantic Dano | 17.16 | 17.34 | 17.32 | 47 | +0.16 | Best trap tonight | |
| 1 | Moss Boss | 17.26 | 17.45 | 17.45 | 41 | +0.19 | Hidden sharpener |
Doncaster's minimum trip runs fair overall, and in this D2 grade specifically trap five edges it at 24 percent with trap four the weakest at 18 percent. Baytown Barbie's trap three sits comfortably above the average at 23 percent. Qwerty, up from trap two, owns the fastest recorded time in the entire field after dropping down from open-race company earlier this year and looks capable of leading throughout if she brings that gear tonight. Bluey Boy from the wide box has been competitive without winning of late, while Moss Boss steps back down in distance after a spell over the longer trip and arrives with an interesting trial in the background.
Won last time out at exactly this course, trip and grade, and the underlying figures back up that form line - the highest-rated dog in this race and tied for the fastest speed rating too. Trainer S Watson has an excellent record in these conditions, winning better than one in four from over 200 runners, one of the strongest trainer figures on the card. Trap three has been a productive box in this grade at nearly 23 percent, giving her a fair draw to go with the form and the figures. Everything lines up here - the one they all have to beat.
The one with the raw speed to trouble anyone in this field - her recorded time of 16.91 is the fastest of any runner tonight, a legacy of a spell competing in open-race company back in the spring where she posted figures far above what's needed at this level. She's since settled back at this grade and won twice recently, finishing a fast-time second last time out. The concern is the draw - trap two has been the second-weakest box in this exact grade at just over 18 percent - but on raw pace alone she's the biggest threat to the selection.
Drops back in trip after recent runs over the stamina distance, and there's an interesting signal in the background - a recent stewards trial clocked well inside her recent race average, suggesting she's working better than her formal figures currently show. The draw is fair rather than outstanding at 23%, and this remains a genuine unknown at tonight's shorter trip given how little recent form she has here. One for the notebook rather than the staking plan.
Competitive without winning in recent starts, and his figures put him firmly in the mix - a fair speed rating and a workable draw from the wide box at nearly 22 percent. His trainer has barely had a runner in these exact conditions, so there's no real trainer signal either way to lean on. Respected on the whole, but the very fastest and best-supported runners in this field look to be elsewhere tonight.
A 30% career winner from 43 starts - a genuinely strong underlying strike rate - but arrives here after a huge step down from open-grade racing over nearly twice tonight's distance, so this is close to a different discipline for her on paper. Drawn in the weakest box in this exact grade at just 18%, which doesn't help the transition. Capable of anything on raw ability but this looks a stiff ask to adapt to straight away.
Drawn in the best-performing box in this exact grade at almost 24 percent, sharing the same in-form trainer as the market leaders. Her own figures are a level below the pace-setters at the top of this field, without a recent win, but the draw gives her a fighting chance of picking up a place if the fast starters cut each other up early. A each-way interest on the strength of the box alone.
Key insight: The top-rated dog wins 25% here and the fastest dog in the field does slightly better at 28% - tonight both point to different dogs, which is exactly where the analysis has to earn its keep.
Trap 1: 22.8%, Trap 2: 18.3%, Trap 3: 22.6%, Trap 4: 17.6%, Trap 5: 23.8%, Trap 6: 21.5%
1,732 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 275m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (275m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 275m | 450m | 483m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moss Boss | 0.635 | 0.625 | 0.620 |
| 2 | Qwerty | 0.626 | — | — |
| 3 | Baytown Barbie | 0.626 | 0.632 | — |
| 4 | Dannys Flyer | 0.631 | — | 0.622 |
| 5 | Romantic Dano | 0.631 | — | — |
| 6 | Bluey Boy | 0.626 | 0.627 | 0.624 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.