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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Vixons Bugattid 2y 5 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R311 W55 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 33 (5) | 30 (2) | 24 (5) | 35 (5) | 65 (3) | 55 (2) | 50 (4) | 60 (1) | 50 (3) | 61 (1) | 54 | 40 | 6 | 16 | 41 | 33 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Hut Fitterd 2y 18 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 37 (1) | 30 (3) | 23 (5) | 30 (2) | 33 (2) | 29 (3) | 36 (5) | 31 (5) | 40 (4) | 40 (4) | 20 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 31 | 25 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Da Presidentd 3y 16 | R J Overton — 18% R352 W63 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 25 (4) | 28 (3) | 23 (4) | 26 (5) | 27 (4) | 24 (5) | 28 (5) | 37 (1) | 20 (5) | 32 (2) | 29 | 31 | 27 | 13 | 26 | 24 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Real Gone Kidd 4y 15 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 26 (5) | 32 (2) | 31 (4) | 27 (5) | 33 (3) | 35 (3) | 35 (3) | 32 (3) | 31 (3) | 33 (3) | 38 | 37 | 17 | 16 | 32 | 32 | 1 | 6/4F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Skirk Miab 4y 25 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 27 (2) | 29 (2) | 29 (4) | 32 (3) | 23 (2) | 36 (4) | 29 (1) | 32 (2) | 23 (2) | - | 43 | 37 | 31 | 35 | 29 | 32 | 6 | 11/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Redbrick Cantonad 2y 7 | S A Birks — 17% R186 W31 P100 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 28 (4) | 30 (3) | 36 (1) | 22 (4) | 27 (4) | 29 (4) | 28 (3) | 56 (5) | 42 (1) | - | 32 | 26 | 14 | 19 | 33 | 32 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vixons Bugatti | 17.30 | 17.43 | 17.30 | 52 | 0.00 | Model pick, best trap | |
| 4 | Real Gone Kid | 17.08 | 17.32 | 17.32 | 57 | +0.24 | Fastest time | |
| 2 | Hut Fitter | 17.28 | 17.42 | 17.40 | 51 | +0.12 | ||
| 6 | Redbrick Cantona | 17.28 | 17.57 | 17.45 | 47 | +0.17 | Hidden sharpener | |
| 3 | Da President | 17.22 | 17.63 | 17.53 | 46 | +0.31 | Flagged as lay | |
| 5 | Skirk Mia | 17.38 | 17.49 | 17.41 | 48 | +0.03 | Weakest trap tonight |
This D3 sprint keeps to the track's usual pattern - trap one the best-performing box at just over 26 percent, trap five the weakest at under 18 percent. Vixons Bugatti gets the run of that stronger box and carries the highest average rating in the field into the race. Real Gone Kid, drawn just wide of her, owns the fastest recorded time and will look to use it early. Da President is flagged by the exchange data as unlikely to figure tonight despite a workable draw and trainer.
Runner-up last time out at this exact grade and trip, and carries the highest average rating of anyone in this field. Gets the run of the best-performing box in this grade from trap one, at just over 26 percent - the single strongest structural factor in the race. Her trainer's record in these conditions is moderate rather than outstanding, but the draw and the underlying figures both work in her favour. The one to beat.
Also runner-up last time out at this exact grade, and owns the fastest recorded time and speed rating of anyone in this field. Her trainer has struggled in these conditions, managing under 15 percent, which is the one thing holding back full confidence. On pace alone, though, she's the biggest threat to the selection if the draw doesn't tell.
Third last time out at this exact grade and sits in the middle of this field on most measures. A fair draw and workable pace figures, but nothing here stands out enough to threaten the leading pair.
Third last time out, and there's a positive signal in the background - a recent stewards trial won comfortably from the same box she's drawn tonight. Her trainer has a fair record in these conditions. A fair each-way interest given the trial form.
A fair draw and a solid trainer record in these conditions on paper, but the exchange data flags this one as a likely lay tonight - the market model rates the winning chance under 10 percent. Fourth last time out, and there's little in the recent form to argue against that reading.
Runner-up last time out but draws the weakest box in this exact grade at under 18 percent. Her trainer has struggled in these conditions too. The draw and the trainer record both work against her tonight.
Key insight: The top-rated dog wins about one in four here (24.7%), and tonight's highest-rated runner also holds the best draw in the field - a solid combination to close the card on.
Trap 1: 26.1%, Trap 2: 22.5%, Trap 3: 20.8%, Trap 4: 21.4%, Trap 5: 17.7%, Trap 6: 19.3%
1,769 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 275m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (275m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 275m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vixons Bugatti | 0.638 | 0.627 |
| 2 | Hut Fitter | 0.632 | 0.637 |
| 3 | Da President | 0.641 | — |
| 4 | Real Gone Kid | 0.631 | — |
| 5 | Skirk Mia | 0.637 | — |
| 6 | Redbrick Cantona | 0.638 | 0.650 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.