Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Annual Masond 1y 14 | J W Gaskin — 31% R276 W85 P205 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 43 | 48 (3) | 50 (2) | 58 (4) | 87 (1) | 38 (1) | 61 (5) | 68 (3) | 35 (2) | 63 (4) | 36 (2) | 43 | 37 | - | 36 | 56 | 45 | 1 | 4/5F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ferryforth Axeld 3y 8 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 52 | 45 (4) | 60 (1) | 44 (4) | 41 (5) | 60 (1) | 59 (1) | 36 (4) | 47 (3) | 30 (5) | 59 (1) | 42 | 38 | - | 41 | 49 | 43 | 5 | 16/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Trewmount Furyd 5y 26 | J W Gaskin — 31% R276 W85 P205 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 51 | 46 (2) | 53 (2) | 43 (4) | 62 (1) | 47 (3) | 59 (1) | 50 (3) | 60 (1) | 60 (1) | 56 (2) | 46 | 46 | - | 53 | 53 | 52 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Delightful Mollyb 2y 9 | S Watson — 28% R432 W122 P294 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 49 | 61 (1) | 46 (4) | 39 (5) | 41 (3) | 46 (3) | 60 (1) | 49 (3) | 61 (1) | 43 (4) | 40 (4) | 35 | 31 | - | 20 | 46 | 41 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Grouchos Queenb 1y 5 | R J Overton — 18% R352 W63 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 51 | 52 (3) | 49 (3) | 72 (3) | 62 (1) | 38 (4) | 44 (3) | 45 (4) | 41 (3) | 47 (3) | 38 (3) | 28 | 18 | - | 17 | 51 | 38 | 3 | 11/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Annual Mason | 27.97 | 28.12 | 27.97 | 52 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 3 | Trewmount Fury | 27.82 | 28.15 | 28.01 | 53 | +0.19 | Fastest sectionals | |
| 6 | Grouchos Queen | 27.81 | 28.43 | 28.08 | 47 | +0.27 | Fastest recorded time | |
| 4 | Delightful Molly | 27.89 | 28.21 | 28.13 | 49 | +0.24 | Top trainer signal | |
| 2 | Ferryforth Axel | 28.12 | 28.39 | 28.12 | 42 | 0.00 | Flagged as lay |
Doncaster's 450 metre trip runs fair and rewards a true, sustained gallop rather than raw early speed. In this specific B2 grade, trap one has been the best-performing box at nearly 22 percent, with trap five the weakest at 18.5 percent - and trap five sits empty tonight after a withdrawal, taking the worst draw out of play. Annual Mason gets the run of that vacant ground from trap one and arrives with the best average form in the race. Trewmount Fury, drawn just outside him, holds the fastest recorded time and the best sectional figures, so this looks close to a match race between the pair up front, with the remaining runners fighting for the places behind.
Placed second last time out at this exact grade and has been the most consistent performer in the field, holding the highest average rating of anyone here. Trainer J W Gaskin has a solid record in these conditions at 22 percent, and trap one has been the most productive box in this grade at nearly 22 percent too - the draw and the form point the same way. Not the outright fastest on the clock, but the most complete profile in the race. The one to beat.
Also runner-up last time out and owns the fastest sectional figures of anyone in this race, with a strong turn of foot early - on raw pace, this is the one most likely to catch the selection if she's there to be caught. Shares the same well-performing trainer as Annual Mason, and the suitability figures across the board are the strongest in the field. The trap is a touch worse than the selection's, but on speed and early pace alone she's the biggest threat.
Consistent for a place without recent wins, finishing third last time out. Trap six has been a productive box in this grade at nearly 22 percent, giving her a fair chance, but her trainer's record in these conditions is the weakest of the leading group at 14 percent. Respectable without standing out on the figures.
The trainer angle is the real story here - S Watson has an outstanding record in these conditions, winning nearly one in three, comfortably the best trainer figure in this race. Her own draw and recent form are more modest, fourth last time out from a box that's been below average in this grade. Worth including for the trainer strike rate alone, even if the rest of the profile is unremarkable.
A career strike rate of 31 percent from 26 starts is a solid underlying number, and he did win last time out. But almost every other marker here points against him tonight - the slowest recorded time in the field, the weakest trainer figure in these conditions at under 15 percent, and a below-average draw. The data flags this one as a possible lay - the market model rates his winning chance under 10 percent tonight. Respect the career record, but the conditions data says this is not his night.
Key insight: The top-rated dog wins 25% here and the fastest dog in the field does slightly better at 26% - both point to the same pair tonight, which is a reassuring alignment.
Trap 1: 22.0%, Trap 2: 19.1%, Trap 3: 19.3%, Trap 4: 18.6%, Trap 5: 18.5%, Trap 6: 21.9%
2,034 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Annual Mason | 48 | 100 | Closer |
2Ferryforth Axel | 51 | 36 | All-Rounder |
3Trewmount Fury | 55 | 32 | Fader |
4Delightful Molly | 50 | 84 | Closer |
6Grouchos Queen | 48 | 50 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 275m | 285m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Annual Mason | 0.628 | 0.587 | 0.625 |
| 2 | Ferryforth Axel | — | — | 0.631 |
| 3 | Trewmount Fury | — | — | 0.624 |
| 4 | Delightful Molly | — | — | 0.626 |
| 6 | Grouchos Queen | — | — | 0.631 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.