Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Keefill Stormd 2y 8 | J W Gaskin — 31% R276 W85 P205 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 48 | 40 (3) | 58 (1) | 58 (1) | 36 (4) | 43 (3) | 43 (3) | 33 (5) | 41 (3) | 59 (1) | 59 (1) | 46 | 39 | - | 46 | 47 | 50 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Zari Samd 3y 7 | S Watson — 28% R432 W122 P294 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 50 | 53 (2) | 45 (3) | 46 (3) | 47 (2) | 41 (3) | 51 (2) | 45 (2) | 48 (2) | 56 (1) | 44 (3) | 25 | 32 | - | 33 | 46 | 48 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Sporting Moanab 2y 9 | S Watson — 28% R432 W122 P294 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 52 | 51 (2) | 59 (1) | 44 (2) | 44 (2) | 32 (4) | 50 (3) | 35 (5) | 42 (3) | 35 (4) | 44 (2) | 43 | 40 | - | 45 | 46 | 50 | 1 | 5/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Tommys Flavourd 1y 25 | S Watson — 28% R432 W122 P294 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 32 (6) | 29 (3) | 31 (3) | 31 (2) | 29 (4) | 24 (4) | - | - | - | - | 3 | 10 | - | - | 29 | 33 | 4 | 9/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Cockneyalfitnessb 2y 7 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R311 W55 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 55 | 50 (2) | 37 (3) | 45 (3) | 43 (3) | 58 (1) | 36 (5) | 40 (4) | 35 (5) | 42 (4) | 50 (3) | 26 | 23 | - | 22 | 44 | 43 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Posh Scartd 2y 6 | S Watson — 28% R432 W122 P294 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 45 | 40 (3) | 50 (2) | 57 (1) | 37 (4) | 50 (2) | 41 (2) | 57 (1) | 36 (4) | 39 (4) | 25 (4) | 36 | 30 | - | 33 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 14/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sporting Moana | 28.27 | 28.59 | 28.34 | 52 | +0.07 | Model pick, best trap | |
| 1 | Keefill Storm | 28.30 | 28.53 | 28.43 | 52 | +0.13 | Won last time out | |
| 2 | Zari Sam | 28.12 | 28.47 | 28.58 | 54 | +0.46 | Fastest time, weak trap | |
| 4 | Tommys Flavour | 28.34 | 28.55 | 28.46 | 50 | +0.12 | Distance change | |
| 5 | Cockneyalfitness | 28.33 | 28.58 | 28.50 | 49 | +0.17 | Weakest trap tonight | |
| 6 | Posh Scart | 28.49 | 28.78 | 28.63 | 41 | +0.14 |
This B4 contest at 450 metres shows one of the more pronounced trap splits in tonight's card - trap three has won at nearly 29 percent in this exact grade, with trap five managing barely 15 percent. Sporting Moana gets the run of that stronger box and was runner-up last time out, while Keefill Storm, a winner last time out and running for the yard's best-performing trainer here, lines up from the next-best draw. Zari Sam carries the fastest recorded time in the field but does so from a below-average box. Tommys Flavour is the outlier, stepping up sharply from sprinting over 275 metres in her recent campaign.
Runner-up last time out at this exact grade and gets the run of the best-performing box on the whole card at nearly 29 percent - a genuine structural plus to go with tidy recent form. Her trainer has a fair record in these conditions at 25 percent. Not the outright fastest on the clock, but the draw and the form both point the same way. The one to beat.
Won last time out at this exact grade, the most recent proof in the race of a dog capable of getting the job done. Trainer J W Gaskin has an outstanding record in these conditions, the best trainer figure in this field at over 37 percent. The draw from trap one is a fair one too. If the selection's draw doesn't convert into the winning post, this is the one best placed to take advantage.
A significant change of test - stepping up from sprinting over 275 metres to this longer trip, so there's no recent evidence at this distance to lean on. The rating is accordingly the lowest of the leading group. Genuinely hard to assess on today's evidence - one to watch in running rather than back with confidence.
Carries the fastest recorded speed rating in the field, but does so from a below-average box - trap two has managed under 17 percent in this exact grade. Third last time out. The pace is there, but the draw is working against her tonight.
Runner-up last time out, but draws the single weakest box in this exact grade at under 15 percent. Her trainer has a fair record in these conditions. The draw is the main obstacle to repeating that recent form.
The slowest recorded speed rating of the six, and while she was competitive for third last time out, the pace figures put her at the back of this field. Others have the stronger claims tonight.
Key insight: The top-rated dog wins 26% here and the fastest dog in the field does slightly better at 29% - one of the widest trap splits on tonight's card at nearly 15 points between best and worst.
Trap 1: 23.3%, Trap 2: 16.5%, Trap 3: 29.4%, Trap 4: 21.7%, Trap 5: 14.8%, Trap 6: 22.2%
1,145 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Keefill Storm | 46 | 96 | Closer |
2Zari Sam | 50 | 61 | Closer |
3Sporting Moana | 54 | 1 | All-Rounder |
4Tommys Flavour | — | — | No data |
5Cockneyalfitness | 53 | 12 | All-Rounder |
6Posh Scart | 48 | 50 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 275m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keefill Storm | — | 0.633 |
| 2 | Zari Sam | — | 0.632 |
| 3 | Sporting Moana | — | 0.635 |
| 4 | Tommys Flavour | 0.634 | 0.642 |
| 5 | Cockneyalfitness | — | 0.635 |
| 6 | Posh Scart | — | 0.640 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.