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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Kanturk Bellab 1y 111 | J W Gaskin — 31% R276 W85 P205 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 54 | 81 (1) | 77 (1) | 48 (2) | 53 (2) | 30 (4) | 37 (4) | 54 (4) | 74 (1) | 39 (5) | 65 (2) | 4 | 45 | 39 | 42 | 54 | 41 | 3 | 11/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Grouchos Sallyb 1y 16 | R J Overton — 18% R352 W63 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 35 | 74 (1) | 67 (2) | 54 (5) | 46 (4) | 60 (1) | 51 (2) | 48 (3) | 59 (2) | 50 (3) | - | 17 | 41 | - | 16 | 56 | 42 | 4 | 10/11F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Flosses Fendib 2y 24 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 44 | 45 (4) | 52 (4) | 58 (3) | 66 (2) | 57 (3) | 72 (1) | 26 (2) | 27 (3) | 29 (2) | 27 (2) | 31 | 31 | 10 | 23 | 60 | 45 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Redbrick Coold 2y 110 | J W Gaskin — 31% R276 W85 P205 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 51 | 66 (2) | 77 (1) | 42 (1) | 41 (1) | 38 (1) | 30 (2) | 33 (3) | 37 (1) | 41 (3) | 47 (2) | 40 | 47 | 16 | 40 | 60 | 51 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Glideaway Falcond 3y 5 | S A Birks — 17% R186 W31 P100 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 51 | 60 (2) | 60 (3) | 30 (4) | 54 (4) | 77 (1) | 59 (2) | 42 (4) | 41 (1) | 29 (1) | - | 28 | 27 | 10 | 23 | 62 | 48 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Redbrick Cool | 30.27 | 30.33 | 30.39 | 53 | +0.12 | Fastest, but worst trap | |
| 6 | Glideaway Falcon | 30.27 | 30.34 | 30.46 | 51 | +0.19 | Model pick | |
| 2 | Kanturk Bella | 30.30 | 30.61 | 30.30 | 48 | 0.00 | Won last time out | |
| 3 | Grouchos Sally | 30.39 | 30.43 | 30.39 | 49 | 0.00 | Best trap, class drop | |
| 4 | Flosses Fendi | 30.35 | 30.46 | 30.58 | 46 | +0.23 | No trainer support |
Doncaster's 483 metre trip is normally the track's fairest test, suiting stayers with a genuine engine, and the course record overall backs the top-rated dog heavily. But this specific A3 sub-sample is much thinner and tells a different story: trap three has produced almost exactly one winner in three, while trap five has managed barely one in twenty from 78 runs - a genuinely extreme and unusual split for this grade. Redbrick Cool holds the highest rating and the fastest recorded time but carries that shocking trap five into the race, while Glideaway Falcon gets a far kinder draw from trap six and has the highest average rating in the field.
Third last time out but owns the highest average rating of anyone in this field, and her trainer S A Birks has an excellent record in these conditions at nearly 32 percent - one of the strongest trainer signals on the card. Trap six has performed well in this exact grade at almost 27 percent, a real structural plus. Not quite the fastest on the clock, but the combination of rating, trainer and draw makes her the most complete case in a race where the outright top-rated dog carries a serious question mark over his box.
The highest-rated dog in the field and the fastest on the clock, backed by a strong career record at 34 percent and an outstanding trainer figure in these conditions at 40 percent. On pure ability, he'd be very hard to leave out. But trap five has been little short of a disaster in this exact grade, winning barely one in twenty from 78 runs - an extreme trap bias that has to be respected. If he can overcome the draw, the class is there to do it, which makes him the biggest danger to the selection rather than an automatic pick.
Won last time out with the best figure of her recent sequence, and carries a 30 percent career strike rate into this race. Shares the same excellent trainer as Redbrick Cool, winning 40 percent in these conditions, and her own trap has a fair record at just over 20 percent. Right in the shake-up on current form and worth including in the calculations.
Drops sharply in grade after recent runs against much stronger opposition, including open-race company, so there should be untapped class in hand if she takes to the drop. Drawn in the single best-performing box in this exact grade at nearly 34 percent, which adds real weight to her chance. The trainer signal in these conditions is thin from a small sample, but the class-and-draw combination make her one for the notebook.
The slowest recorded speed rating in this field, and her trainer has managed only a handful of runners in these conditions with no wins to show for it. Fourth last time out. Hard to find a case for her among this group tonight.
Key insight: The top-rated dog wins only 19% in this specific grade sample, well below this track's usual standard, and the box he's drawn in has won barely one race in twenty - the draw is the story of this race.
Trap 1: n/a, Trap 2: 20.5%, Trap 3: 33.9%, Trap 4: 19.7%, Trap 5: 5.1%, Trap 6: 26.9%
354 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 483m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Kanturk Bella | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Grouchos Sally | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Flosses Fendi | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Redbrick Cool | 75 | 0 | Fader |
6Glideaway Falcon | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 483m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (483m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 275m | 450m | 483m | 525m | 570m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kanturk Bella | — | 0.640 | 0.633 | — | — |
| 3 | Grouchos Sally | — | 0.628 | 0.632 | 0.571 | 0.569 |
| 4 | Flosses Fendi | 0.637 | — | 0.633 | — | — |
| 5 | Redbrick Cool | 0.627 | 0.634 | 0.628 | — | — |
| 6 | Glideaway Falcon | 0.628 | — | 0.630 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.