Won readily last time out at the grade below and steps up in class on the back of that form - the direction of travel is right even if today's opposition is sharper. Second-fastest on the clock and second on the ratings, so she can't be dismissed, but her trainer has struggled in these specific conditions, managing only one in ten from thirty runners, and her own record from trap two here reads below the field average. Could easily reverse the form on pure figures if the step up in grade doesn't find her out, but the conditions data carries a note of caution.

Drawn in the box that's produced the most winners in this exact grade, trap five running out best at nearly 24 percent, which gives her a structural leg-up. Her own recent form has been modest - fifth last time out and no win in her last six starts - and she sits mid-pack on the clock. Trainer D Calvert's record in these conditions is workmanlike rather than outstanding at 17%. The draw is doing more work for her chance than the form book is.

Owns the single fastest recorded time in this field, but that headline figure is misleading - his average is the slowest of the group and his last run was well below his best. Drawn in the weakest box in this exact grade at just 18%, which compounds the concern. His trainer has a fair record in these conditions at 19%, but the overall picture doesn't inspire confidence. Others have stronger claims tonight.

Won last time out at the grade above, so there's no shortage of ability, and her last run matched her personal best almost to the hundredth - a sign she's racing at the top of her game right now. Suitability figures are the strongest in the race across the board, and trap one has a fair record in this exact grade at 23%. Her trainer's record in these conditions is modest at 17%, the one blot on an otherwise appealing profile. Worth including in the shortlist on the strength of current form.