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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Goulane Aceb 4y 16 | S A Birks — 17% R186 W31 P100 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 55 | 61 (1) | 53 (4) | 80 (1) | 66 (3) | 63 (2) | 39 (5) | 47 (2) | 60 (1) | 61 (4) | 67 (2) | 37 | 32 | 10 | 42 | 60 | 46 | 2 | 10/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Grouchos Emilyb 1y 25 | R J Overton — 18% R352 W63 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 52 | 67 (2) | 57 (4) | 66 (4) | 62 (1) | 47 (3) | 41 (3) | 45 (3) | 60 (1) | 53 (2) | 52 (2) | 9 | 21 | - | - | 55 | 35 | 5 | 9/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Millhouse Lend 3y 5 | R J Overton — 18% R352 W63 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 49 | 52 (5) | 81 (1) | 50 (2) | 61 (3) | 59 (3) | 82 (1) | 47 (3) | 62 (3) | 48 (2) | 62 (3) | 34 | 33 | 33 | 36 | 62 | 49 | 3 | 8/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Redbrick Beckhamd 2y 19 | J W Gaskin — 31% R276 W85 P205 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 64 | 45 | 73 (2) | 79 (2) | 85 (1) | 56 (2) | 62 (1) | 55 (2) | 53 (3) | 51 (2) | 49 (3) | 61 (1) | 46 | 62 | - | 40 | 65 | 59 | 1 | 3/10F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Stoneparkfortuned 2y 27 | R J Overton — 18% R352 W63 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 48 | 60 (3) | 49 (5) | 50 (3) | 59 (4) | 61 (3) | 67 (3) | 55 (4) | 69 (3) | 83 (1) | 67 (2) | 26 | 21 | 18 | 15 | 60 | 43 | 4 | 8/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Redbrick Beckham | 29.88 | 30.04 | 29.88 | 64 | 0.00 | Model pick, huge class drop | |
| 2 | Goulane Ace | 29.90 | 30.31 | 30.37 | 51 | +0.47 | ||
| 4 | Millhouse Len | 30.07 | 30.36 | 30.25 | 50 | +0.18 | Won last time out | |
| 6 | Stoneparkfortune | 29.97 | 30.25 | 30.52 | 49 | +0.55 | Weak recent form | |
| 3 | Grouchos Emily | 30.38 | 30.45 | 30.51 | 39 | +0.13 | Slowest in field |
Doncaster's 483 metre trip favours proven gallopers, and in this A2 grade trap one has been the standout box at almost 30 percent, with trap five the weakest at just over 14 percent. Redbrick Beckham lines up in that weaker box from trap five, but arrives fresh from Open Race company - the top level of the sport - and posted a performance figure light years ahead of anything the rest of this field has shown recently. Millhouse Len, a winner last time out, and Goulane Ace both have claims for the places, but the class gap at the top of this race looks the biggest factor by some distance.
Drops sharply in grade having contested Open Race company last time out, the very top level of the sport, and ran a big race there in defeat - the performance figure from that run is far beyond anything the rest of tonight's field has produced. His speed rating is the standout of the race, some way clear of the next best. Trainer J W Gaskin has an excellent record in these conditions at nearly 32 percent. The one blot is the draw - trap five has been the weakest box in this grade - but a class gap of this size is hard to bet against.
Won last time out at this exact grade and trip, the most recent evidence in the race of a dog fully able to win at this level. His trainer has a workmanlike record in these conditions at just over 18 percent, and the draw from trap four is a touch below average. Solid claims for the places, but doesn't have the pace to trouble the selection on tonight's figures.
Second on the speed figures in the field but a modest fourth last time out, and his trainer has struggled badly in these conditions without a win from fourteen runners. The draw is fair rather than outstanding. Others look more solid claims for minor honours.
Fifth last time out and sits in the lower half of this field on most measures. Trap six has a fair record in this exact grade at nearly 22 percent, giving him some structural support, but the recent form doesn't inspire much confidence.
The slowest speed rating in this field by some margin, and while there's a big grade drop in her recent history too, the underlying pace simply isn't there to trouble this field on tonight's figures. Fourth last time out. Others have the stronger claims.
Key insight: The top-rated dog wins 26% here, matching the fastest dog in the field almost exactly - and tonight both point emphatically to the same runner, a dog fresh out of Open Race company.
Trap 1: 29.6%, Trap 2: 19.7%, Trap 3: 21.4%, Trap 4: 17.6%, Trap 5: 14.1%, Trap 6: 21.8%
819 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 483m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Goulane Ace | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Grouchos Emily | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Millhouse Len | 41 | 100 | Closer |
5Redbrick Beckham | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Stoneparkfortune | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 483m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (483m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 450m | 483m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goulane Ace | 0.627 | 0.627 |
| 3 | Grouchos Emily | 0.629 | 0.630 |
| 4 | Millhouse Len | 0.629 | 0.628 |
| 5 | Redbrick Beckham | 0.622 | 0.621 |
| 6 | Stoneparkfortune | — | 0.626 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.