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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Freda My Blondieb 3y 14 | L B Pearce — 17% R123 W21 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 25 (3) | 24 (3) | 23 (5) | 25 (5) | 30 (3) | 23 (5) | 30 (3) | 25 (5) | 30 (4) | 36 (1) | 28 | 26 | 20 | 8 | 26 | 19 | 4 | 10/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Russmur Dancerb 1y 6 | B D O'sullivan — 20% R491 W100 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 32 (1) | 24 (2) | 25 (2) | 26 (2) | 26 (3) | 19 (5) | 22 (4) | 24 (3) | - | - | 37 | 25 | 22 | 38 | 26 | 29 | 2 | 13/8 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Woodys Wombled 2y 5 | J J Luckhurst — 13% R244 W32 P108 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 20 (5) | 25 (4) | 21 (6) | 25 (4) | 21 (6) | 34 (1) | 30 (2) | 22 (5) | 18 (6) | 26 (5) | 19 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 9/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Fagans Rockyd 3yN/R 7 | M Mavrias — 13% R244 W32 P108 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 31 (1) | 31 (1) | 26 (2) | 22 (5) | 25 (4) | 27 (3) | 27 (4) | 22 (5) | 35 (1) | 31 (2) | 14 | 22 | 26 | 42 | 27 | 27 | - | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Stophers Poppyb 2y 6 | G L Davidson — 16% R200 W32 P95 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 19 (6) | 26 (4) | 33 (2) | 27 (5) | 40 (5) | 28 (1) | 28 (4) | 24 (5) | 40 (6) | - | 35 | 35 | 54 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 3 | 5/6F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Whiddy Tessb 3yN/R 5 | M Mavrias — 13% R244 W32 P108 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 31 (2) | 31 (1) | 21 (6) | 22 (5) | 28 (5) | 26 (6) | 36 (1) | 27 (4) | 33 (2) | 21 (5) | 41 | 40 | 28 | 39 | 27 | 20 | - | - | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Freda My Blondie | 16.88 | 17.10 | 17.27 | 46 | +0.39 | Modest figures | |
| 2 | Russmur Dancer | 16.86 | 17.15 | 16.87 | 51 | +0.01 | Won LTO, fair C&D | |
| 3 | Woodys Womble | 17.02 | 17.18 | 17.02 | 46 | 0.00 | Weakest trap tonight | |
| 4 | Fagans Rocky | 16.91 | 17.09 | 16.99 | 50 | +0.08 | Best trap, best C&D | |
| 5 | Stophers Poppy | 16.78 | 17.02 | 17.15 | 51 | +0.37 | Model pick, best form | |
| 6 | Whiddy Tess | 16.77 | 17.03 | 17.00 | 53 | +0.23 | Danger, fastest, won LTO |
Central Park's minimum trip keeps this one about early speed and a clean run to the first bend, and in this exact D3 grade the model's usual top pick has underperformed at just under 19% – one of the weaker composite signals at this track – with trap four the standout draw at just over 19% and trap three the weakest at just over 15%. Stophers Poppy rates clear of this field on recent performance, matching the second-best figures on the clock, and she's been a fair source of course-and-distance form with two wins and three places from ten runs. Whiddy Tess is the fastest in the field and has an excellent course-and-distance record of her own, stepping up after winning at the grade below last time out. Fagans Rocky, from the best trap tonight, has the best course-and-distance placing conversion of this six. It's a tightly-matched field with three or four in with genuine claims.
Rates clear of this field on recent performance, three points up on the next best, and matches the second-best speed figures too. Ten course-and-distance runs have produced two wins and three places, a fair supporting record, and her recent form has touched a peak of 40 a few runs back, showing there's more there when things click. Trap five hasn't been the standout draw at this grade, but the strength of her figures across the board makes her the one to beat in a tightly-matched field.
The fastest in the field on the clock and arrives having won at the grade below last time out. Ten course-and-distance runs have brought two wins and four places, an excellent conversion rate. Trap six has been a strong draw in this exact grade. A serious threat to the selection with the pace edge and the course-and-distance record to back it up.
Drawn in trap four, the standout box in this exact grade and trip, and boasts the best course-and-distance placing conversion of this six with two wins and five places from ten runs. Also won at the grade below last time out. A genuine each-way threat with the draw in his favour.
Won at the grade below last time out and has a fair course-and-distance record with a win and four places from eight runs. His figures on the clock are middling. A place chance rather than a leading fancy in this field.
Consistent without ever threatening to win by much, with a win and a place from ten course-and-distance runs. Her figures on both the clock and recent performance sit toward the bottom half of this field. Others have stronger claims tonight.
Drawn in the weakest trap in this exact grade and trip, and her figures on both the clock and recent performance are among the softer in this field. A win and two places from ten course-and-distance runs is a modest return. The outsider of this six.
Key insight: The top-rated dog wins under 19% of the time at this exact grade and trip – one of the weaker composite signals at this track – so course-and-distance form and genuine pace differences carry extra weight tonight.
Trap 1 17.4%, Trap 2 15.7%, Trap 3 15.3%, Trap 4 19.1%, Trap 5 15.8%, Trap 6 18.8%
2,129 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 277m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.