| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Millbank Roccod 3y 16 | J J Luckhurst — 13% R244 W32 P108 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 49 | 75 (3) | 56 (6) | 67 (3) | 74 (2) | 58 (4) | 62 (4) | 67 (4) | 69 (4) | 75 (3) | 88 (1) | 33 | 31 | 24 | 27 | 67 | 50 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Autumn Fleadhb 2y 111 | B D O'sullivan — 20% R491 W100 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 64 | 56 | 89 (1) | 91 (1) | 89 (1) | 78 (2) | 79 (2) | 77 (3) | 72 (2) | 57 (5) | 89 (1) | 75 (3) | 33 | 40 | 46 | 58 | 80 | 51 | 1 | 1/1F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Sportsmans Rosab 3y 34 | N F Carter — 20% R257 W51 P136 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 49 | 43 (5) | 69 (4) | 27 (4) | 29 (5) | 28 (6) | 42 (1) | 54 (6) | 78 (2) | 72 (3) | 67 (2) | 44 | 20 | - | 4 | 67 | 45 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Rylane Ladyb 3y 13 | D O Pearce — 20% R127 W25 P58 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 48 | 59 (5) | 64 (5) | 89 (1) | 84 (1) | 49 (5) | 89 (3) | 82 (2) | 87 (1) | 62 (3) | 69 (3) | 23 | 35 | 10 | 35 | 75 | 46 | 3 | 8/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Swift Breeb 2y 18 | J J Luckhurst — 13% R244 W32 P108 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 58 | 44 (6) | 69 (2) | 50 (6) | 50 (6) | 69 (4) | 64 (3) | 71 (2) | 47 (6) | 75 (3) | 71 (2) | 35 | 38 | 49 | 28 | 62 | 50 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Santas Ferrarid 2y 33 | D O Pearce — 20% R127 W25 P58 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 21 | 52 | 34 (6) | 83 (1) | 58 (4) | 52 (4) | 40 (5) | 60 (4) | 77 (1) | 42 (5) | 50 (4) | 51 (4) | 2 | 23 | - | 23 | 55 | 20 | 6 | 18/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millbank Rocco | 29.40 | 29.62 | 29.66 | 50 | +0.26 | Fair C&D record | |
| 2 | Autumn Fleadh | 29.16 | 29.47 | 29.16 | 64 | 0.00 | Model pick, won LTO | |
| 3 | Sportsmans Rosa | 29.44 | 29.66 | 29.44 | 52 | 0.00 | Steps down from OR marathon | |
| 4 | Rylane Lady | 29.47 | 29.75 | 29.71 | 46 | +0.24 | Danger, best trap | |
| 5 | Swift Bree | 29.29 | 29.68 | 29.51 | 53 | +0.22 | Runner-up LTO | |
| 6 | Santas Ferrari | 29.69 | 30.17 | 30.66 | 21 | +0.97 | Slowest, weakest trap |
This is the feature race of the night, A1 grade over the 491-metre trip, and Central Park's longer distance takes some of the sting out of that tricky first bend without eliminating trap bias altogether – trap four has been the standout draw here at just over 25%, with trap six the weakest at just over 15%. Both the top-rated dog and the fastest dog in the field convert at healthy rates at this grade, so the raw figures carry real weight tonight. Autumn Fleadh is the class act of this field by some distance – she won this exact grade and trip last time out with an outstanding performance figure, and she's rated clear of the rest of this field on both recent form and the clock. Her running style is more fader than out-and-out stayer, but the gap in quality here means that's a secondary concern rather than a genuine worry. Rylane Lady, from the best trap tonight, has been in and out of form but has an excellent record at this course and distance and looks the biggest danger if the selection has an off night. Millbank Rocco has course-and-distance form to fall back on too, while Sportsmans Rosa arrives dropping down from an OR-grade marathon and remains an unknown quantity at this trip.
The class act of this field by a distance – she won this exact grade and trip last time out with an outstanding performance figure of 91, and her recent form reads 91, 89, 78, 79, 77, 72, comfortably the best sustained sequence in this race. She's also the fastest on the clock, with a healthy margin over the next best. Nine course-and-distance runs have produced three wins and six places, an outstanding conversion rate. She's more of a fader than a natural stayer over this longer trip, but the size of her advantage in raw ability makes that a secondary concern tonight rather than a genuine worry.
Drawn in trap four, the standout box in this exact grade and distance at just over 25%, and she has an excellent course-and-distance record with two wins and two places from just four runs. Second-best in the field on recent performance, and a proper closer whose style should suit the longer trip well. Her form has been up and down, but the draw and the course-and-distance record make her a serious threat to the selection.
A fader who's quick away but has a tendency to lose ground late, backed by a fair course-and-distance record of two wins and three places from nine runs. His recent performance figures sit in the middle of this field. A place chance rather than a leading fancy against this calibre of selection.
Drops down sharply from an OR-grade marathon last time out, a big change in test that makes her hard to assess at this trip and grade. A proper closer with only a single placed effort from three runs at this course and distance. The unknown quantity of the race.
Was runner-up in this exact grade and trip last time out, but her course-and-distance record over ten runs shows three places and no wins. A fader whose figures sit toward the lower half of this field. Others have stronger overall claims tonight.
By far the slowest on the clock in this field, and drawn in the weakest trap at this course, grade and trip. A single win from three course-and-distance runs is the one positive note. Very hard to fancy against this calibre of opposition.
Key insight: Both the top-rated dog and the fastest dog convert at healthy rates in this top grade – over 23% and nearly 26% respectively – so tonight's clear leader on both measures carries real statistical weight behind her.
Trap 1 20.9%, Trap 2 18.2%, Trap 3 19.2%, Trap 4 25.1%, Trap 5 16.9%, Trap 6 15.4%
1,368 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 491m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Millbank Rocco | 28 | 0 | Fader |
2Autumn Fleadh | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Sportsmans Rosa | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Rylane Lady | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Swift Bree | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Santas Ferrari | 72 | 100 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 491m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (491m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 450m | 491m | 650m | 664m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millbank Rocco | — | — | 0.604 | — | 0.620 |
| 2 | Autumn Fleadh | — | 0.637 | 0.600 | — | — |
| 3 | Sportsmans Rosa | 0.610 | — | 0.608 | — | 0.620 |
| 4 | Rylane Lady | — | 0.604 | 0.606 | 0.613 | — |
| 5 | Swift Bree | — | — | 0.606 | — | — |
| 6 | Santas Ferrari | — | 0.614 | 0.614 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.