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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Savana Sparkyd 2y 3 | B G Backhurst — 16% R232 W37 P120 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 41 | 56 (3) | 28 (6) | 43 (4) | 49 (2) | 49 (3) | 66 (2) | 53 (3) | 29 (6) | 67 (2) | 52 (2) | 30 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 48 | 49 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Rushmoor Rosieb 1y 34 | D O Pearce — 20% R127 W25 P58 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 55 | 45 (4) | 70 (4) | 67 (1) | 42 (1) | 27 (5) | 60 (6) | 50 (1) | 41 (2) | 62 (5) | - | 37 | - | 24 | - | 52 | 35 | 2 | 11/10F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Hollyoak Abigailb 3y 12 | R W Butler — 17% R178 W30 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 46 | 23 (3) | 41 (5) | 33 (5) | 46 (6) | 20 (4) | 23 (4) | 19 (3) | 18 (4) | - | - | 24 | 20 | 17 | 9 | 40 | 36 | 6 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Harlequin Windyb 4y 28 | B D O'sullivan — 20% R491 W100 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 64 | 49 | 71 (1) | 33 (6) | 42 (6) | 42 (5) | 64 (3) | 46 (2) | 42 (4) | 35 (6) | 36 (5) | - | 26 | 22 | 4 | - | 43 | 51 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Burgess Boldd 4y 24 | D O Pearce — 20% R127 W25 P58 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 62 | 32 (5) | 47 (4) | 45 (5) | 37 (5) | 49 (3) | 65 (1) | 45 (5) | 47 (3) | 40 (5) | 50 (2) | 21 | - | 5 | - | 44 | 36 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Beach Partyb 3y 8 | T M Levers — 12% R91 W11 P49 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 53 | 42 (4) | 46 (3) | 39 (4) | 39 (5) | 35 (6) | 43 (4) | 51 (3) | 55 (3) | 52 (2) | 41 (4) | 33 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 43 | 40 | 5 | 16/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Savana Sparky | 30.34 | 30.65 | 30.34 | 59 | 0.00 | Danger, closer suits trip | |
| 2 | Rushmoor Rosie | 30.56 | 30.56 | 30.56 | 54 | 0.00 | Model pick, best trap | |
| 3 | Hollyoak Abigail | 30.45 | 30.74 | 30.86 | 48 | +0.41 | Steps up in trip | |
| 4 | Harlequin Windy | 30.10 | 30.38 | 30.60 | 64 | +0.50 | Fastest, but a fader | |
| 5 | Burgess Bold | 30.57 | 30.84 | 31.13 | 40 | +0.56 | Weak trap, thin form | |
| 6 | Beach Party | 30.51 | 30.85 | 30.96 | 43 | +0.45 | Weakest trap (13.4%) |
Central Park's longer 491-metre trip takes some of the sting out of that tricky first bend, giving closers slightly more time to work with than they'd have over the minimum trip, but trap two remains the trap to be in regardless of running style – and at this exact A5 grade it's been the standout draw, winning almost 24% of the time against just 13.4% from trap six. The top-rated dog also performs unusually well here, winning over a quarter of these races – noticeably stronger than the track's often-tricky reputation at this distance would suggest. Rushmoor Rosie ticks both of those boxes tonight, rated clear of this field on recent performance and drawn in the prime trap. Savana Sparky, a proper closer who should relish the longer trip, sits second on the figures and has been placing at this course and distance before. Harlequin Windy carries the fastest recorded time but is a fader who tends to lose ground late – the extra distance here works against that profile rather than for it. The rest look to be there to make up the numbers.
Clear leader on recent performance in this field, four points up on her nearest rival, and she's drawn in trap two – the standout box in this exact grade and distance, winning almost one in four. Her form has been up and down, but a peak of 70 two runs back shows the level she's capable of reaching, and last time out she was fourth in this same grade and trip after travelling well for a long way. Course-and-distance evidence is thin at just one run, so there's an element of the unknown, but the combination of the best figures and the best draw makes her the one to beat.
Second-best in the field on both recent performance and the clock, and a proper closer whose style should suit the longer 491-metre trip better than the sharper sprint distances. Eight runs at this course and distance have brought two places, a solid supporting record, and she was third in this exact grade and trip last time out. A big threat to the top selection if the pace of the race falls her way.
Carries the fastest recorded time in the field by a distance, but she's a fader who tends to lose ground in the closing stages, and that profile works against her rather than for her over this longer trip where the finish matters more. Trap four has a moderate record in this exact grade. Others look better suited to seeing the race out to the line.
Steps up from the minimum trip last time out, and her figures here sit some way below the pace of the leading contenders. A fader by pace profile, which again isn't the ideal running style for this longer distance. No course-and-distance form to speak of at this exact combination. Others have stronger claims tonight.
Drawn in a trap that's had a modest record in this exact grade and distance, and her figures on both performance and the clock sit toward the bottom half of this field. A closer who at least has the right running style for the trip, but the pace numbers don't back up a big shout. Others look better placed tonight.
Drawn in the weakest trap in this exact grade and distance, winning barely one in eight, and her figures are among the slowest in the field. Ten runs at this course and distance have brought just a single place. A fader whose profile doesn't suit the longer trip either. Hard to make a case for her tonight.
Key insight: The top-rated dog wins more than one in four here, noticeably stronger than Central Park's often-tricky reputation over this trip, and tonight the top-rated dog also sits in the best-performing trap – a genuine alignment worth following.
Trap 1 20.6%, Trap 2 23.9%, Trap 3 22.8%, Trap 4 19.2%, Trap 5 15.2%, Trap 6 13.4%
1,105 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 491m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Savana Sparky | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Rushmoor Rosie | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Hollyoak Abigail | 96 | 0 | Fader |
4Harlequin Windy | 64 | 0 | Fader |
5Burgess Bold | 36 | 100 | Closer |
6Beach Party | 100 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 491m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (491m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 450m | 491m | 500m | 650m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Savana Sparky | — | 0.619 | 0.624 | — | 0.635 |
| 2 | Rushmoor Rosie | — | 0.621 | 0.622 | — | — |
| 3 | Hollyoak Abigail | 0.629 | — | 0.626 | — | — |
| 4 | Harlequin Windy | — | — | 0.619 | 0.614 | — |
| 5 | Burgess Bold | — | 0.623 | 0.628 | — | — |
| 6 | Beach Party | — | — | 0.631 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.