| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hollyoak Bermeseb 4yREP 43 | R W Butler — 17% R178 W30 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 74 (6) | 56 (1) | 64 (3) | 44 (2) | 42 (5) | 60 (6) | 77 (4) | 36 (1) | 40 (6) | - | 34 | 31 | 32 | 21 | 58 | 17 | 4 | 12/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Baggios Baleb 3y 14 | D O Pearce — 20% R127 W25 P58 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 26 (4) | 26 (5) | 31 (2) | 27 (3) | 30 (5) | 34 (4) | 45 (4) | 44 (5) | 49 (2) | 48 (3) | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 17 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Da Prophetd 3yN/R 14 | M Mavrias — 13% R244 W32 P108 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | - | 30 (2) | 24 (3) | 19 (5) | 25 (4) | 35 (1) | 31 (3) | 32 (1) | 23 (5) | 24 (5) | 27 (2) | 19 | 26 | 25 | 30 | 27 | 19 | - | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Toems Sadieb 4y 23 | D O Pearce — 20% R127 W25 P58 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 29 (3) | 32 (1) | 25 (3) | 46 (5) | 51 (2) | 32 (3) | 58 (5) | 58 (2) | 49 (2) | - | 27 | 18 | 2 | 18 | 29 | 18 | 1 | 9/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Deelish Millieb 1y 5 | S Mavrias — 15% R218 W33 P106 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 23 (4) | 27 (4) | 44 (5) | 45 (6) | 61 (2) | 24 (2) | 30 (1) | 16 (6) | 19 (4) | - | - | 23 | - | 28 | 24 | 20 | 3 | 6/4F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Hollyoak Taliab 3y 14 | R W Butler — 17% R178 W30 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 29 (2) | 24 (5) | 25 (4) | 23 (6) | 33 (6) | 60 (4) | 44 (4) | 82 (1) | 70 (2) | 75 (2) | 4 | 33 | 11 | 13 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 13/8 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eire Marko | 16.81 | 17.08 | 17.26 | 49 | +0.45 | Best C&D record | |
| 2 | Baggios Bale | 16.80 | 16.93 | 17.00 | 56 | +0.20 | Thin C&D sample | |
| 3 | Da Prophet | 16.87 | 17.11 | 17.74 | 40 | +0.87 | Weakest trap (15.3%) | |
| 4 | Toems Sadie | 16.85 | 16.93 | 16.85 | 57 | 0.00 | Model pick, but a closer | |
| 5 | Deelish Millie | 16.90 | 17.28 | 16.90 | 49 | 0.00 | Fader, weakest figures | |
| 6 | Hollyoak Talia | 17.10 | 17.14 | 17.20 | 44 | +0.10 | Fader, modest C&D |
Central Park's minimum trip keeps the emphasis squarely on early speed and getting across into that awkward first bend cleanly, and in this exact D3 grade the model's usual top pick has actually underperformed – the top-rated dog winning under 19% of the time, one of the weaker composite figures at this track. Trap four has been the pick of the draws at just over 19%, with trap three the weakest at just over 15%. Toems Sadie rates best on both recent performance and the clock and sits in that favoured trap four, but she's a confirmed closer, and closers have traditionally had to work harder than front runners to overcome Central Park's tight first bend at this minimum trip – a genuine word of caution against an otherwise appealing set of figures. Eire Marko, from trap one, has the strongest course-and-distance record in the race with two wins and three places from ten runs, and sits close behind on the raw figures too. Da Prophet matches that strong course-and-distance record but does so from the weakest trap tonight. Deelish Millie and Hollyoak Talia are both faders who are quick away but tend to lose ground in the closing stages – workable over this minimum trip if they get the run of things early, but neither has the pace edge to be confident about it.
Rates the best in the field on both recent performance and the clock, and she's drawn in trap four, the strongest-performing box in this exact grade and trip at just over 19%. She was third in this same grade and trip last time out and has a win and a place from four course-and-distance runs, a promising if small sample. The one concern is that she's a confirmed closer at a track where front-running types have traditionally had the edge over the minimum distance, so this is backed with a little more caution than the figures alone would suggest.
The strongest course-and-distance record in this field by some margin, with two wins and three places from ten runs at this exact combination. Close behind the selection on recent performance figures, and trap one has a reasonable record at this grade. If the top pick's pace profile proves a handicap over this minimum trip, this looks the type to take full advantage.
Matches Eire Marko's strong course-and-distance record with two wins and four places from ten runs, a genuinely good return. The concern is trap three, the weakest draw in this exact grade and trip, and his figures on the clock are the slowest in the field. The course-and-distance form keeps him in the conversation despite the poor draw.
A closer with a fair turn of foot on the clock, but his course-and-distance record is modest at just one place from four runs. His recent performance figures sit toward the lower half of this field. More of an each-way interest than a leading fancy.
A fader who's quick away but tends to lose ground in the closing stages, which is a workable profile over this minimum trip if she gets the run of things early. Her recent performance figures are the weakest of this six, though a win and two places from five course-and-distance runs offer some encouragement. Others have stronger overall claims tonight.
Another fader who's sharp away but fades late, finishing second in this exact grade and trip last time out. Her course-and-distance record is modest at just one place from four runs, and her figures on the clock are among the slowest in this field. Others look better placed tonight.
Key insight: The top-rated dog wins under 19% of the time here – one of the weaker composite figures at this track – so pace profile and course-and-distance form deserve real weight tonight rather than leaning on the raw rating alone.
Trap 1 17.4%, Trap 2 15.7%, Trap 3 15.3%, Trap 4 19.1%, Trap 5 15.8%, Trap 6 18.8%
2,129 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 277m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (277m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 450m | 491m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hollyoak Bermese | — | — | 0.615 |
| 2 | Baggios Bale | 0.611 | 0.628 | — |
| 4 | Toems Sadie | 0.611 | 0.619 | — |
| 5 | Deelish Millie | 0.624 | — | 0.613 |
| 6 | Hollyoak Talia | 0.619 | — | 0.612 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.