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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tesseractb 4y 25 | S Mavrias — 15% R218 W33 P106 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 49 | 44 (5) | 67 (5) | 44 (5) | 78 (4) | 66 (4) | 83 (1) | 65 (3) | 49 (6) | 55 (5) | 66 (3) | 24 | 24 | 10 | 21 | 60 | 42 | 6 | 10/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Beach Bard 3y 15 | T M Levers — 12% R91 W11 P49 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 38 | 76 (4) | 61 (2) | 58 (3) | 62 (3) | 60 (3) | 57 (3) | 59 (4) | 67 (3) | 70 (2) | 66 (3) | 37 | 30 | 10 | 21 | 62 | 50 | 5 | 16/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Beach Timed 2y 17 | T M Levers — 12% R91 W11 P49 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 50 | 80 (1) | 51 (4) | 67 (2) | 73 (3) | 51 (5) | 60 (5) | 53 (3) | 71 (5) | 57 (3) | - | 18 | 22 | 31 | 17 | 59 | 43 | 4 | 7/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Imokilly Cassieb 1y 5 | N F Carter — 20% R257 W51 P136 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 55 | 66 (2) | 77 (1) | 51 (4) | 69 (1) | 52 (2) | 60 (2) | 50 (5) | 32 (4) | 30 (3) | 24 (5) | 62 | 32 | - | 48 | 62 | 52 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Lemon Lunab 2y 17 | B D O'sullivan — 20% R491 W100 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 49 | 58 (4) | 77 (1) | 67 (2) | 60 (3) | 68 (2) | 57 (3) | 68 (3) | 71 (2) | 64 (3) | 50 (4) | 23 | 17 | 13 | 37 | 66 | 51 | 2 | 2/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Windsor Beautyb 2y 7 | N F Carter — 20% R257 W51 P136 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 55 | 56 (5) | 77 (1) | 52 (5) | 58 (3) | 51 (5) | 63 (5) | 46 (3) | 31 (5) | 57 (2) | - | 23 | 7 | - | 17 | 60 | 47 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tesseract | 29.64 | 29.89 | 30.28 | 41 | +0.64 | Slowest in field | |
| 2 | Beach Bar | 29.63 | 29.89 | 29.86 | 47 | +0.23 | Modest figures | |
| 3 | Beach Time | 29.57 | 29.85 | 30.10 | 45 | +0.53 | Weakest C&D record | |
| 4 | Imokilly Cassie | 29.59 | 30.18 | 29.59 | 46 | 0.00 | Best C&D, weak trap | |
| 5 | Lemon Luna | 29.52 | 29.87 | 29.52 | 54 | 0.00 | Model pick, won LTO | |
| 6 | Windsor Beauty | 29.54 | 29.89 | 29.54 | 53 | 0.00 | Danger, best trap |
Central Park's longer 491-metre trip takes some of the sting out of the tricky first bend, but trap six remains the trap to have here – the standout draw in this exact A3 grade at 22.7%, with trap four the weakest at just under 16%. This is also a race where the model's usual top pick underperforms – the top-rated dog actually wins less often than the second-rated dog at this specific grade and distance, a reminder not to follow the composite blindly at Central Park's longer trip. Several of these have arrived on the back of big wins at the grade below – Imokilly Cassie, Lemon Luna and Windsor Beauty all won last time out at A4 with big performance figures, and all three now step up together. Lemon Luna edges it on both recent performance and the clock and has the strongest supporting course-and-distance record of that trio, even though her trap isn't the standout draw. Windsor Beauty, from the best-performing box, is the one to fear if the draw proves decisive. Tesseract and Beach Time, the pure closers and all-rounders of the group, will be doing their best work late.
Leads this field on both recent performance and the clock, and arrives on the back of a big win at the grade below last time out with a standout performance figure of 77. Ten course-and-distance runs have brought a win and four places, a strong supporting record, and her all-round pace profile means she's never far from the action. Trap five isn't the standout draw at this course, grade and distance, but the strength of her recent form and her course-and-distance record outweigh that concern.
Also arrives having won last time out at the grade below with a big performance figure, and she's drawn in trap six, the best-performing box in this exact grade and distance at 22.7%. Second-best in the field on recent performance, with a fair supporting speed figure. Her course-and-distance sample is thinner than the selection's, but the draw advantage makes her a serious threat.
The third of the trio who won last time out at the grade below with a big figure, and she has the best course-and-distance conversion of this field with two wins and four places from six runs. Trap four, though, has the weakest record in this exact grade and distance. A dangerous each-way alternative from a tricky draw.
Consistent performer without a win at this course and distance, though three places from ten runs is a fair supporting record. Her figures on both the clock and recent performance sit toward the lower half of this field. More of an each-way interest than a leading fancy tonight.
An all-rounder with balanced pace but the slowest recent performance figure of the leading contenders. A single placed effort from ten course-and-distance runs is a modest return. Others have stronger claims tonight.
A pure closer who does his best work late, but his figures on both the clock and recent performance are the weakest in this field. A win and a place from eight course-and-distance runs is a fair record, but he'll need a strongly-run race in front of him. The outsider of this six.
Key insight: Unusually, the second-rated dog actually wins more often than the top-rated dog at this exact grade and distance – a sign that Central Park's longer trip is one of the harder venues to read from the composite alone, and that other factors, like recent grade wins and course-and-distance form, deserve real weight here.
Trap 1 18.4%, Trap 2 17.1%, Trap 3 17.8%, Trap 4 15.8%, Trap 5 16.7%, Trap 6 22.7%
1,068 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 491m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Tesseract | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Beach Bar | 38 | 100 | Closer |
3Beach Time | 51 | 46 | All-Rounder |
4Imokilly Cassie | 51 | 17 | All-Rounder |
5Lemon Luna | 49 | 54 | All-Rounder |
6Windsor Beauty | 53 | 33 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 491m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (491m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 491m | 525m | 664m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tesseract | — | 0.609 | — | 0.621 |
| 2 | Beach Bar | — | 0.609 | — | 0.616 |
| 3 | Beach Time | — | 0.606 | — | — |
| 4 | Imokilly Cassie | 0.614 | 0.615 | — | — |
| 5 | Lemon Luna | — | 0.608 | — | — |
| 6 | Windsor Beauty | 0.606 | 0.609 | 0.567 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.