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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hollyoak Poppetb 4yREP 28 | R W Butler — 17% R178 W30 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 66 | - | 32 (1) | 36 (6) | 38 (5) | 42 (4) | 59 (2) | 40 (5) | 31 (1) | 24 (2) | 22 (3) | 30 (1) | - | 15 | 24 | 31 | 37 | 27 | 1 | 8/13F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Hollyoak Harrietb 5y 13 | R W Butler — 17% R178 W30 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 23 (3) | 15 (5) | 26 (2) | 21 (2) | 20 (4) | 20 (4) | 22 (3) | 17 (3) | 16 (4) | 19 (3) | 14 | 20 | 12 | 15 | 20 | 21 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Imokilly Rockd 3y 24 | G L Davidson — 16% R200 W32 P95 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 23 (3) | 21 (3) | 18 (6) | 15 (5) | 13 (6) | 13 (6) | 21 (6) | 21 (3) | 24 (4) | - | 1 | 12 | - | 5 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Kajoruns Bertd 4yN/R 13 | M Mavrias — 13% R244 W32 P108 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | - | 16 (6) | 19 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | 19 | 11 | - | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Classic Orlab 4y 36 | L B Pearce — 17% R123 W21 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 18 (4) | 17 (5) | 15 (6) | 30 (2) | 16 (6) | 24 (3) | 18 (5) | 13 (6) | 24 (3) | 30 (1) | 11 | 19 | 28 | 13 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Closed Routed 5yN/R 33 | M Mavrias — 13% R244 W32 P108 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 26 (2) | 16 (6) | 20 (4) | 23 (3) | 26 (2) | 26 (2) | 20 (4) | 25 (2) | 16 (4) | 26 (3) | 30 | 24 | 23 | 26 | 22 | 19 | - | - | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Townsend Jill | 16.92 | 17.39 | 17.52 | 53 | +0.60 | Best C&D win rate | |
| 2 | Hollyoak Harriet | 17.23 | 17.55 | 17.35 | 48 | +0.12 | Modest figures | |
| 3 | Imokilly Rock | 17.06 | 17.48 | 17.51 | 50 | +0.45 | Consistent, no win | |
| 4 | Kajoruns Bert | 17.60 | 17.60 | 17.60 | 38 | 0.00 | Only 1 run on file | |
| 5 | Classic Orla | 16.88 | 17.34 | 17.65 | 53 | +0.77 | Fast but tails off | |
| 6 | Closed Route | 17.11 | 17.32 | 17.20 | 57 | +0.09 | Model pick, best trap |
Central Park's short run to the first bend makes early speed the dominant factor at the minimum trip, and this D5 grade is a good example of that – the fastest dog in the field wins 27% of the time here, well clear of every other single metric. Trap six has also been the standout draw at this grade, winning just over a quarter of the time, with trap four the weakest at just over 15%. Closed Route ticks both of the big boxes tonight – fastest on the clock, best average recent performance, and drawn in the best trap – and she was second in this exact grade and trip only three weeks ago, one of four placed efforts from ten course-and-distance runs. Townsend Jill and Classic Orla share the second-best speed figures and both have winning course-and-distance form to fall back on, giving this the look of a genuine match for second between the pair of them. Kajoruns Bert is a big unknown with only a single competitive run on file.
Fastest on the clock and rated the best on recent performance in this field, and she's drawn in trap six – comfortably the best-performing box in this exact grade and trip, winning just over a quarter of the time. She was runner-up in this same grade and trip only three weeks ago, one of four placed efforts from ten course-and-distance runs, even if she's still to convert one into an actual win at this course and distance. The combination of pace, form and draw all pointing the same way makes her the clear pick.
Shares the second-best speed figures in the field and has the best course-and-distance win conversion of anyone here, with two wins and two further top-two finishes from ten runs at this exact combination. Trap one has a reasonable record at this grade. Her overall recent performance average sits towards the bottom of this field, but her course-and-distance record suggests she knows how to get the job done at this specific combination.
Matches the second-best speed figures in the field and has a win among her course-and-distance runs, but trap five has a moderate record in this exact grade. Recent form has been fair without ever standing out. A place chance rather than a leading fancy tonight.
Consistent without ever threatening to win, with a single placed effort from ten runs at this course and distance. Her figures sit in the lower half of this field on both the clock and recent performance. Others have stronger claims tonight.
Was third in this exact grade and trip last time out and has two places from ten course-and-distance runs, a reasonable supporting record. Her figures are modest on both the clock and recent performance, though, leaving her as more of an each-way watch than a leading fancy.
A significant unknown with only a single competitive run on file, well back in sixth place at this same grade and trip back in March. Drawn in the weakest trap at this grade and carrying the slowest recorded time in the field. Very hard to have any confidence in on the evidence available.
Key insight: The fastest dog in the field wins 27% of these races – clearly the strongest single factor at this grade and trip – and tonight that dog also sits in the best-performing trap, a genuine alignment of the two biggest signals.
Trap 1 19.8%, Trap 2 21.0%, Trap 3 17.8%, Trap 4 15.2%, Trap 5 18.2%, Trap 6 25.2%
637 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 277m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (277m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 491m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hollyoak Poppet | 0.616 | 0.634 |
| 2 | Hollyoak Harriet | 0.634 | — |
| 3 | Imokilly Rock | 0.631 | — |
| 5 | Classic Orla | 0.626 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.