Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Anglesey Rebelb 2y 5 | N J Hunt — 18% R341 W63 P180 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 47 | 69 (1) | 44 (5) | 61 (2) | 51 (4) | 67 (1) | 64 (1) | 41 (5) | 55 (3) | 54 (3) | 49 (3) | 43 | 20 | 2 | 36 | 57 | 49 | 3 | 9/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Mash Mad Bridieb 1y 1 | J B Thompson — 18% R528 W96 P302 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 67 | 64 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 30 | 20 | - | 30 | 64 | 52 | 1 | 2/1F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Newinn Velvetb 1y 15 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R558 W107 P309 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 48 | 56 (2) | 59 (2) | 55 (3) | 70 (1) | 63 (1) | 43 (4) | 40 (5) | 32 (6) | 45 (4) | 30 (6) | 28 | 36 | 15 | 39 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 11/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Aero Replaceb 1y 1 | R Taberner — 18% R734 W133 P409 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 76 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Peace O Mindb 2y 7 | C Jones — 16% R255 W41 P129 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 47 | 54 (4) | 69 (1) | 63 (1) | 45 (4) | 36 (5) | 54 (3) | 59 (1) | 43 (4) | 38 (4) | - | 32 | 26 | - | 39 | 53 | 49 | 6 | 25/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Longacres Ellab 2y 27 | P J Doocey — 17% R150 W26 P73 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 55 | 64 (5) | 69 (6) | 69 (1) | 45 (4) | 63 (3) | 60 (2) | 64 (1) | 46 (5) | 48 (5) | 53 (4) | 30 | 29 | 25 | 33 | 59 | 50 | 2 | 7/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anglesey Rebel | — | — | — | 49 | — | Model pick, won LTO up grade | |
| 2 | Mash Mad Bridie | — | — | — | 54 | — | Only 1 run recorded | |
| 3 | Newinn Velvet | — | — | — | 48 | — | Consistent | |
| 4 | Aero Replace | No recorded form - first race under these conditions. | — | Debutant | ||||
| 5 | Peace O Mind | — | — | — | 49 | — | Danger, won LTO up grade | |
| 6 | Longacres Ella | — | — | — | 51 | — | Big drop in grade/trip | |
This A5 heat sits at the top of Monmore's tricky middle-grade band, where the raw model rating has been unreliable historically, so trap position and genuine recent form matter more than the composite score alone. Trap 1 has been the strongest box at this grade (just over 21%) and it's occupied by Anglesey Rebel, who arrives fresh off a career-best win at the tougher A6 grade last time out - a genuine class drop with the form to back it up. Peace O Mind tells almost the identical story, winning at A6 last time before dropping in here, and looks the biggest threat. Mash Mad Bridie tops the model on paper but that's built from a single recorded run, so it needs treating with some caution despite the promising figures. Longacres Ella drops in sharply from open-class racing over a much longer trip, adding a genuine unknown to how she'll handle this test, while Aero Replace is a first-time-out newcomer with nothing to go on.
Won impressively last time out at the tougher A6 grade with a career-best performance, and now drops back in against easier company. That win is the standout data point here - her wider average is dragged down by earlier, less accomplished runs, but the form she's shown lately is clearly her true level. Drawn in trap 1, the strongest box at this grade, and has course and distance form to back it up with three wins from ten. The class drop plus the best trap in the field makes her the one to beat.
Tells almost the same story as the selection - won last time out at the tougher A6 grade with a career-best 69-rated effort, and now drops back into this easier company. Trainer C Jones has the best strike rate in the race at 26%, and the recent trend has been on the up - 69, 63, 45, 36. Course and distance form is solid with three wins from ten. Drawn a shade wider than ideal but has every right to go well.
Tops the composite model, the speed figures and the raw performance rating in this field, but that picture is built from a single recorded run - a winning effort at the harder A7 grade. One good run doesn't yet make an established level, so those rankings should be treated as promising rather than proven. Trainer strike rate is modest at 10%. Watch the market for a steer on how well she's regarded before getting carried away with the numbers.
Runner-up last time out at this exact grade and distance, with steady if unspectacular recent form - 59, 55, 70, 63, 43, 40. That 70 a few runs back shows the ceiling is there. Solid course and distance record with three wins from ten. A fair each-way option without the standout angle of the market leaders.
A first-time-out runner with no recorded racing history to assess. Impossible to gauge genuine ability from the data available - could have talent, but there's simply nothing here to build a case on. Watch the betting market for the clearest guide to how she's fancied.
Drops in sharply from open-class racing over 630m, a much longer trip than today's - that's a big shift in both grade and distance in one go, which makes her true form here hard to pin down. A confirmed closer who does her best work late. The underlying average is likely flattered by the tougher company she's been facing, so treat the raw numbers with some caution.
Key insight: Trap 1 is the strongest box at this grade (21.31% from 291 runs), with traps 2-4 all bunched close together as the weakest. This sits in Monmore's known middle-grade danger zone for the composite model, so structural factors like class movement and trap draw carry extra weight.
T1:21.31% T2:17.53% T3:17.32% T4:17.24% T5:19.5% T6:20.77%
1,609 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Anglesey Rebel | 51 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Mash Mad Bridie | 74 | 14 | Fader |
3Newinn Velvet | 48 | 52 | All-Rounder |
4Aero Replace | — | — | No data |
5Peace O Mind | 50 | 39 | All-Rounder |
6Longacres Ella | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 480m | 630m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anglesey Rebel | 0.609 | — |
| 2 | Mash Mad Bridie | 0.605 | — |
| 3 | Newinn Velvet | 0.612 | — |
| 4 | Aero Replace | 0.605 | — |
| 5 | Peace O Mind | 0.611 | — |
| 6 | Longacres Ella | 0.609 | 0.622 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.