Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Newinn Georgiab 4y 14 | A K Jenkins — 16% R160 W25 P83 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 21 (5) | 30 (1) | 18 (4) | 23 (4) | 23 (4) | 22 (3) | 15 (6) | 31 (1) | 24 (3) | 26 (2) | 32 | 23 | 15 | 27 | 24 | 39 | 6 | 28/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Good Lunab 2y 5 | C S Fereday — 16% R467 W75 P237 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 32 (1) | 23 (4) | 41 (2) | 51 (1) | 38 (5) | 44 (3) | 40 (5) | 52 (1) | 23 (6) | 38 (4) | 43 | 30 | - | 27 | 28 | 44 | 1 | 13/8 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Cazzers Aded 3y 7 | C D Marston — 17% R451 W75 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 25 (5) | 31 (1) | 25 (2) | 22 (5) | 28 (2) | 30 (1) | 13 (6) | 23 (6) | 23 (4) | - | 44 | 32 | 3 | 40 | 25 | 43 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Green Roadb 2y 29 | J B Thompson — 18% R528 W96 P302 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 52 (1) | 47 (1) | 42 (2) | 33 (5) | 31 (1) | 21 (5) | 21 (5) | 25 (3) | 38 (3) | 19 (5) | 18 | 19 | 11 | 21 | 24 | 33 | 5 | 12/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Suave Echod 2y 211 | P A Curtin — 16% R277 W45 P139 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | - | 62 (1) | 57 (1) | 52 (2) | 31 (1) | 38 (2) | 36 (5) | 52 (1) | 30 (6) | 49 (2) | 28 (3) | 30 | 36 | - | 27 | 30 | 44 | 2 | 11/10F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Noduff Charlied 2y 5 | C S Fereday — 16% R467 W75 P237 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 24 (2) | 30 (1) | 28 (2) | 23 (3) | 19 (5) | 22 (4) | 16 (6) | 31 (6) | - | - | 12 | 17 | 12 | 25 | 24 | 36 | 3 | 16/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newinn Georgia | — | — | — | 47 | — | Best trap for grade | |
| 2 | Good Luna | — | — | — | 57 | — | Dead trap for grade | |
| 3 | Cazzers Ade | — | — | — | 51 | — | Good trap for grade | |
| 4 | Green Road | — | — | — | 47 | — | Modest form | |
| 5 | Suave Echo | — | — | — | 59 | — | Model pick | |
| 6 | Noduff Charlie | — | — | — | 44 | — | Slowest in field |
Monmore's minimum trip plays a completely different game to the 480m track - despite the venue's fair reputation over the standard distance, this sprint is decided early. Trap 1 has been the strongest box at this D3 grade specifically, winning almost a quarter of the time, while trap 2 has been a near dead draw at just 12% from over 200 runs. That's a huge swing and it directly affects this line-up, because the model's top-rated dog is sat right in that trap 2 graveyard. Suave Echo and Newinn Georgia look the two with the strongest cases - Suave Echo on raw speed and recent form, Newinn Georgia purely on the strength of her draw. Cazzers Ade, drawn just inside her in trap 3, also races from one of the better boxes for this grade. Whoever gets a clean break from the inside traps should be hard to peg back over the minimum distance.
The fastest dog in the field on the clock and rates top on raw recent form too, just edged out by Good Luna on the composite blend. Versatile running style that can race on the pace or come from just behind, which should suit whatever shape this race takes. One win from two course and distance runs is a small sample but a positive one. Trap 5 isn't the standout box at this grade but it's a fair, workable draw rather than a liability. On the numbers that matter most in a sprint - speed and recent form - she's the one to beat.
Modest on the model and the clock, sitting mid-pack on both, but she has the one thing that matters most in this sprint - the rail draw, which has been the strongest box at this grade by some distance. Two wins from ten at this course and distance shows she can go well here when things fall right. A 14% trainer strike rate is nothing special, but the trap alone makes her a threat if she breaks clean.
Rates highest of anyone in the field on the composite model and has a superb course and distance record, winning once from just two runs at this trip and track. The concern is the draw - trap 2 has been a near dead box at this exact grade, winning barely one in eight compared to almost a quarter from trap 1. A genuinely well-fancied dog on the numbers, but the position she has to overcome is a real structural negative that the raw rating doesn't fully capture.
Solid without standing out on the ratings, but trainer C D Marston's 24% strike rate is one of the better numbers in the race and trap 3 has performed almost as well as the rail at this grade. Two wins from ten at this course and distance is a fair record. A sensible each-way option from a productive part of the track.
Bottom half of the field on the model and the speed figures, and trap 4 is only a middling draw at this grade. A confirmed closer by running style, which is rarely the winning profile over the minimum trip at Monmore where the race is usually shaped early. One from five at this course and distance. Hard to make a strong case.
Bottom of the field on the clock and the model both, with modest recent form and only one course and distance win from seven attempts. Trap 6 has been a fair rather than favoured box at this grade. Nothing in the numbers points to a strong chance here.
Key insight: Trap 2 is an unusually poor draw at this exact grade (12% from 225 runs) while trap 1 and trap 3 both perform strongly (23.76% and 20.16%). The top speed-rated dog wins 21.73% here, edging out the composite leader at 20.86%.
T1:23.76% T2:12.0% T3:20.16% T4:15.06% T5:16.31% T6:16.77%
1,516 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 264m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 264m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (264m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newinn Georgia | 0.617 | — |
| 2 | Good Luna | 0.608 | 0.620 |
| 3 | Cazzers Ade | 0.613 | — |
| 4 | Green Road | 0.615 | 0.618 |
| 5 | Suave Echo | 0.604 | 0.619 |
| 6 | Noduff Charlie | 0.617 | 0.627 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.