Sunderland-Greyhounds.co.uk Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Fruity Pebblesb 2y 211 | D Blackbird — 16% R1099 W177 P609 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 60 | 71 (1) | 60 (2) | 57 (2) | 69 (1) | 33 (3) | 36 (1) | 64 (2) | 60 (3) | 51 (5) | 49 (5) | 24 | 38 | 49 | 46 | 59 | 42 | 1 | 11/8F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Thunder Bridieb 2y 6 | G Strike — 20% R421 W83 P223 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 37 | 45 (5) | 65 (1) | 49 (5) | 36 (6) | 41 (5) | 39 (5) | 40 (4) | 59 (2) | 49 (5) | 46 (4) | 21 | 14 | 11 | 24 | 49 | 37 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Noirs Reginab 2y 8 | J A Teal — 14% R218 W30 P111 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 54 | 59 (2) | 48 (4) | 51 (3) | 53 (4) | 37 (6) | 63 (2) | 52 (5) | 62 (3) | 59 (4) | - | 28 | 25 | 16 | 19 | 53 | 45 | 2 | 2/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Tax Freed 3y 25 | S Linley — 15% R375 W56 P192 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | 53 | 42 (5) | 46 (5) | 42 (5) | 63 (1) | 48 (4) | 40 (5) | 61 (2) | 50 (3) | 68 (1) | 45 (3) | 23 | 19 | 20 | 23 | 50 | 32 | 6 | 22/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Allowdale Bonod 4y 14 | J A Teal — 14% R218 W30 P111 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 45 | 52 (3) | 56 (3) | 63 (1) | 45 (4) | 49 (5) | 23 (2) | 19 (4) | 46 (5) | 46 (5) | - | 34 | 27 | 6 | 17 | 51 | 38 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Strike It Harveyd 3y 16 | P Miller — 20% R608 W124 P335 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 50 | 39 (5) | 42 (5) | 55 (3) | 48 (4) | 68 (1) | 52 (3) | 70 (1) | 36 (5) | 38 (6) | 41 (5) | 29 | 30 | 37 | 18 | 49 | 35 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fruity Pebbles | 28.12 | 28.37 | 28.15 | 50 | +0.03 | Model pick | |
| 2 | Thunder Bridie | 28.05 | 28.59 | 28.05 | 48 | 0.00 | Steps down from A7 | |
| 3 | Noirs Regina | 27.98 | 28.27 | 28.03 | 56 | +0.05 | Fastest, weak trap | |
| 4 | Tax Free | 28.25 | 28.47 | 28.78 | 37 | +0.53 | Below best last time | |
| 5 | Allowdale Bono | 28.11 | 28.41 | 28.11 | 50 | 0.00 | Danger | |
| 6 | Strike It Harvey | 27.92 | 28.46 | 28.61 | 45 | +0.69 | Weakest trap tonight |
Sunderland's 450 metres is one of the hardest trips in the country to call - no single figure separates winners here, and the numbers back that up: trap 1 has been the pick of the draw in this A6 cut at nearly 23%, with trap 3 the weakest at under 15%, but even that gap is modest by UK standards. It's a long run to the first bend followed by a tricky turn, so early pace still matters even if the trap bias is soft. Fruity Pebbles looks sharpest away and handles the bend as well as anyone in the field, drawn in the box that has produced the most winners tonight. Noirs Regina is quickest on the clock but comes from the weakest trap and has drawn a blank at this course and distance in ten attempts, so she needs things to fall her way. Thunder Bridie will need to survive early traffic from a modest draw before her strong closing kick can tell.
Recent form of 60, 57, 69, 33, 36, 64 at A6 grade, all graded races with no trial contamination - a strong, consistent runner in this company. Rated top of the field on recent performance and shares the best bend rating too, having led into the home straight last time out before getting caught close home. Drawn in trap 1, which has produced the most winners of any box in this A6 cut. One course and distance win from eight starts here plus four places is a fair record. Tends to fade late so needs to be sharp away, but the draw and the bend rating both work in her favour.
The quickest dog in the field on the clock tonight and rated highest for bend ability among the closers, with all graded form and no trial concerns. Form of 59, 48, 51, 53, 37, 63 shows she can peak above 60 when things go right. The catch is trap 3, the weakest box in this grade at under 15%, and a blank scoresheet at this course and distance from ten attempts despite plenty of chances. If she gets a clean run through, the raw speed makes her the biggest danger to the pick.
Won last time out at the higher A7 grade before that dropped to A6, and the form of 65, 49, 36, 41, 39, 40 shows a recent improvement. All graded form, no trial concerns. Strong finisher who relies on being able to get a run at the leaders late on. Trap 2 has a modest record in this grade at under 20%, and only one course and distance win from nine attempts here is unremarkable. Capable of picking up the pieces but not the most obvious threat.
Finished fifth last time out and the form of 46, 42, 63, 48, 40, 61 is volatile but shows a recent peak of 63, so the ability is there even if the last run disappointed. All graded form. Two wins and three places from ten course and distance runs is a reasonable record at this specific trip. Slowest recorded time of this field last time out, which is a concern, but the all-round pace profile means she can race handy without needing the race to fall a certain way.
Third last time out with form of 56, 63, 45, 49, 23, 19 - the peak of 63 two runs back is the headline, and the two poor efforts further back look like outliers rather than a genuine decline. All graded form, no trial concerns. A finisher who needs pace on to be running into, and trap 5 has a below-average record in this grade at just over 16%. One course and distance win from eight starts is workmanlike rather than outstanding.
Finished fifth last time out at the higher A5 grade, so there's a touch of class dropping in, and the form of 39, 42, 55, 48, 68, 52 shows a big peak of 68 four runs back. All graded form, no trial concerns. Fast away but tends to lose ground in the closing stages. Two wins and two places from ten course and distance runs is a fair record, and his trainer has the best strike rate of anyone in this field, but tonight's data has this the weakest trap in the race.
Key insight: Sunderland A6 450m is one of the toughest grades to predict - trap 1 leads at 22.99% from 187 runs but the whole field sits within an 8-point band, and the top-rated dog historically wins only 20.35% of the time, barely above baseline.
T1:22.99% T2:19.65% T3:14.9% T4:17.32% T5:16.32% T6:19.52%
1,374 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Fruity Pebbles | 58 | 32 | Fader |
2Thunder Bridie | 34 | 70 | Closer |
3Noirs Regina | 50 | 55 | Closer |
4Tax Free | 50 | 45 | All-Rounder |
5Allowdale Bono | 46 | 58 | Closer |
6Strike It Harvey | 56 | 31 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 261m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fruity Pebbles | 0.620 | 0.629 |
| 2 | Thunder Bridie | — | 0.635 |
| 3 | Noirs Regina | — | 0.628 |
| 4 | Tax Free | — | 0.633 |
| 5 | Allowdale Bono | 0.634 | 0.631 |
| 6 | Strike It Harvey | — | 0.632 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.