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Winning Night Out @ Sunderland Dogs Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Ballymac Akid 2y 26 | D Blackbird — 16% R1099 W177 P609 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 49 | 40 (5) | 53 (6) | 66 0 | 56 (4) | 78 (5) | 87 (3) | 74 (2) | 47 (3) | 92 (3) | - | 17 | 41 | 30 | 24 | 61 | 43 | 3 | 15/8F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Shelikethemotherb 2y 16 | G Strike — 20% R421 W83 P223 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 50 | 83 (5) | 80 (1) | 59 (1) | 75 (4) | 40 (1) | 66 (5) | 65 (2) | 62 (2) | 52 (3) | - | 55 | 42 | - | 54 | 67 | 49 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Marchon Kittymaeb 2y 18 | P Miller — 20% R608 W124 P335 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 60 | 48 (6) | 87 (1) | 82 (1) | 46 (4) | 71 (2) | 72 (3) | 70 (2) | 74 (2) | 35 (3) | - | 30 | 45 | 30 | 51 | 71 | 42 | 1 | 10/3 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zesty Strawberry | No previous races recorded - complete unknown tonight. | — | Unraced debutant | ||||
| 2 | Ballymac Aki | 27.51 | 27.67 | 27.67 | 60 | 0.00 | Fastest, inconsistent pace | |
| 4 | Shelikethemother | 27.64 | 28.08 | 27.73 | 50 | +0.09 | Won last time (A3) | |
| 5 | Marchon Kittymae | 27.68 | 28.05 | 27.73 | 49 | +0.05 | Model pick | |
| 6 | Divas Girl | No previous races recorded - complete unknown tonight. | — | Unraced debutant | ||||
Another quality A2 assignment over the standard trip, and with two unraced newcomers in the field, the formbook boils down to a three-way conversation between the experienced runners. Trap 1 has the best overall record in this grade at nearly 22%, but that's one of tonight's debutants. Marchon Kittymae won this exact grade last time out with the best average performance and bend rating of the experienced trio, backed by a near-flawless course and distance record. Shelikethemother arrives on the back of a big win at the easier A3 grade and has her own strong course and distance form to lean on. Ballymac Aki has the fastest recent clocking but her pace has been notably inconsistent lately.
Won last time out in this exact grade with the best average performance figure of the experienced runners, and form of 87, 82, 46, 71, 72, 70 shows consistently strong figures with a huge peak of 87 - all graded form, no trial concerns. Best bend rating in the field, which matters on Sunderland's tricky turn. Three wins and six places from ten course and distance runs, a 90% place strike rate, is close to a flawless record at these exact conditions. The combination of a fresh win at this same grade, the best bend rating, and a near-perfect course and distance record makes her the clear pick.
Won last time out at the easier A3 grade with a big performance of 83, and the form of 83, 80, 59, 75, 40, 66 shows genuine quality when she's on song - all graded form, no trial concerns. Three wins and five places from ten course and distance runs, an 80% place strike rate, is a strong record at these conditions. A patient finisher who benefits from a truly run race. The step up from A3 to A2 tonight is the only real query against an otherwise excellent profile.
An unraced newcomer with no form to assess whatsoever, stepping straight into an A2 field with proven course and distance winners. Drawn in the best trap in this grade cut, which is the one thing in her favour. Her trainer has a healthy strike rate across the yard. Against this kind of experienced opposition, she has everything to prove and there's simply no way to gauge her prospects from the data available.
Fifth last time out in an intermediate contest and the form of 40, 53, 66, 56, 78, 87 shows real ability further back but a recent dip - all graded form, no trial concerns. The fastest recorded time of this field on the clock, but her pace pattern has been notably inconsistent lately, which raises a question over reliability. One win and two places from seven course and distance runs is moderate. Drawn in the weakest box in this grade cut adds to the queries.
Another unraced newcomer with no form to assess, up against proven A2 winners tonight. Drawn in the second-best trap in this grade cut, which offers some encouragement, but with nothing on the board there's no way to fairly judge her prospects against this kind of experienced field. A genuine unknown quantity.
Key insight: A2 grade is one of Sunderland's more dependable bands - the top-rated dog wins close to 25% here, so proven recent form and course and distance evidence carry real weight.
T1:21.61% T2:15.51% T3:16.25% T4:17.59% T5:19.51% T6:19.87%
1,692 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Ballymac Aki | 59 | 31 | Fader |
4Shelikethemother | 49 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Marchon Kittymae | 60 | 28 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 261m | 450m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ballymac Aki | 0.629 | 0.616 | 0.624 |
| 4 | Shelikethemother | — | 0.623 | — |
| 5 | Marchon Kittymae | — | 0.625 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.