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Sunday Roast Lunch at Sunderland Dogs Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Chanceme Darad 2y 11 | S Linley — 15% R375 W56 P192 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 19 | 31 | 40 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | 40 | 13 | 5 | 11/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Lynnia Rangerd 3y 17 | E Y Bell — 21% R538 W111 P290 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 47 | 75 (1) | 61 (2) | 61 (3) | 60 (3) | 65 (2) | 64 (3) | 39 (6) | 57 (6) | 68 (4) | - | 42 | 29 | 37 | 24 | 61 | 42 | 4 | 9/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Who Knows Itb 2y 110 | P Miller — 20% R608 W124 P335 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 54 | 74 (1) | 64 (3) | 41 (4) | 65 (1) | 52 (2) | 57 (2) | 57 (2) | - | - | - | 41 | 41 | 13 | 46 | 60 | 48 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Rein Backd 3y 27 | G Strike — 20% R421 W83 P223 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 54 | 33 (5) | 69 (2) | 77 (1) | 75 (1) | 57 (3) | 71 (1) | 54 (4) | 57 (6) | 63 (4) | - | 45 | 36 | 38 | 47 | 66 | 50 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Lisnaboy Lolab 2y 16 | E Y Bell — 21% R538 W111 P290 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 46 | 54 (3) | 61 (3) | 77 (1) | 72 (1) | 54 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | 23 | 34 | 23 | 31 | 63 | 43 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Chanceme Dara | 28.71 | 28.71 | 28.71 | 19 | 0.00 | Very limited experience | |
| 3 | Lynnia Ranger | 27.66 | 28.14 | 28.18 | 54 | +0.52 | Weakest trap tonight | |
| 4 | Who Knows It | 27.91 | 28.19 | 27.91 | 54 | 0.00 | Won last time (A5) | |
| 5 | Rein Back | 27.81 | 28.19 | 27.83 | 57 | +0.02 | Model pick | |
| 6 | Lisnaboy Lola | 27.91 | 28.06 | 28.16 | 52 | +0.25 | Strong small C&D sample |
A five-dog A4 heat over the standard trip, and this grade sits just above Sunderland's toughest band, so form and speed carry a touch more reliability here than at A5-A8. No dog draws the very best box tonight - trap 2 leads the table at nearly 21% but that runner is a novice with only a single run to her name, so it's effectively a two-way fight between trap 5 and trap 4 for the structural edge. Rein Back is fastest on the clock and rated top for average performance, with a strong record at this exact course and distance, and looks the launchpad for a well-run race. Who Knows It steps in off a fresh win at the lower A5 grade with a flawless course and distance placing record. Lisnaboy Lola and Lynnia Ranger are the leading closers who need the pace to be strong up front.
Runner-up last time out and rated top of the field on average performance, with form of 69, 77, 75, 57, 71, 54 showing three figures in the 70s among the last six - all graded form, no trial concerns. The fastest recorded time in this field on the clock, and three wins and five places from ten course and distance runs is a strong record at these exact conditions. Sharp away but can lose ground late, so needs to press home the early advantage. The combination of the best average form, the fastest clocking, and a proven course and distance record makes her the clear pick.
Won last time out at the easier A5 grade and steps up tonight - form of 74, 64, 41, 65, 52, 57 shows the win capped an improving run. All graded form, no trial concerns. Two wins and five places from seven course and distance runs is a flawless placing record at these exact conditions - every single run in the frame. Tied for the second-fastest recent clocking in the field. The step up in grade is the only query against an otherwise outstanding profile.
Just a single recorded run to her name, finishing fifth here at this same grade with a modest figure of 40 - far too little to draw firm conclusions either way. The recorded speed rating well down on this field's leaders. Drawn in the best trap in this grade cut, which is the one thing working in her favour tonight. With so little evidence available, she has to prove herself against a field with genuine course and distance form.
Runner-up last time out and the form of 61, 61, 60, 65, 64, 39 is admirably consistent apart from one blip - all graded races, no trial concerns. Fastest recorded time of this field on the clock. One win and three places from ten course and distance runs is moderate given the volume of attempts. A patient finisher who needs the race run at a strong gallop. Drawn in the weakest box in this grade cut tonight.
Third last time out and the form of 54, 61, 77, 72, 54 includes a big peak of 77 three runs back among solid figures throughout - all graded form, no trial concerns. Two wins and two places from five course and distance runs is a strong early strike rate, though the sample is smaller than most of this field. Sharp away but tends to lose ground in the closing stages. Her trainer has a strong strike rate at this track. A workable draw completes a genuinely competitive profile.
Key insight: A4 is a slightly more dependable grade than the A5-A8 band at Sunderland, though the top-rated dog still only wins just over a fifth of the time - stacking speed, form and course and distance evidence together is the safer approach.
T1:20.23% T2:20.95% T3:15.71% T4:16.91% T5:18.23% T6:15.85%
2,135 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Chanceme Dara | 37 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Lynnia Ranger | 46 | 61 | Closer |
4Who Knows It | 50 | 55 | Closer |
5Rein Back | 56 | 41 | Fader |
6Lisnaboy Lola | 56 | 44 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.