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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Azemand 3y 14 | R J Overton — 18% R320 W56 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 52 | 56 (5) | 64 (3) | 71 (3) | 62 (4) | 56 (6) | 63 (4) | 57 (4) | 68 (2) | 86 (1) | 69 (3) | 59 | 55 | 54 | 49 | 69 | 64 | 2 | 5/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Maybe Sydneyd 3y 5 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R328 W59 P194 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 53 | 39 (5) | 67 (4) | 83 (1) | 63 (4) | 57 (3) | 85 (1) | 67 (2) | 85 (1) | 38 (5) | 45 (3) | 42 | 57 | 51 | 48 | 60 | 56 | 3 | 9/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Grouchos Bonnieb 2y 13 | D Calvert — 17% R552 W93 P317 Trainer form — last 3 months | 63 | 47 | 44 | 42 (5) | 67 (2) | 47 (2) | 59 (4) | 63 (4) | 63 (3) | 72 (2) | 56 (4) | 70 (3) | 70 (4) | 36 | 55 | 23 | 27 | 61 | 53 | 4 | 9/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Ballymac Hansond 3y 15 | S A Birks — 16% R221 W36 P127 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 26 | 50 | 49 (3) | 38 (5) | 53 (4) | 40 (4) | 48 (5) | 42 (5) | 70 (2) | 38 (4) | 65 (3) | 51 (4) | 32 | 28 | 24 | 21 | 49 | 41 | 5 | 25/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Gotacrushonyoub 3y 17 | J W Gaskin — 23% R325 W74 P227 Trainer form — last 3 months | 78 | 57 | 62 | 39 (5) | 47 (4) | 49 (2) | 61 (1) | 67 (2) | 83 (1) | 73 (2) | 71 (2) | 84 (1) | 85 (1) | 77 | 60 | 47 | 56 | 64 | 64 | 1 | 4/5F | |
The class act with a composite of 64 (tied with Gotacrushonyou) but the predicted winner by virtue of superior consistency and suitability. Performance of 69 is the field's best and the form trajectory of 57→67→85→69→69 shows exceptional recent consistency — two consecutive 69-rated runs after peaking at 85 three runs back. A confirmed Closer (EP 0, CS 100) which is ideal at Doncaster 483m — a fair track that suits staying types and where Closers have a genuine path. Drawn T1 which is the DOMINANT trap at 34.1% from 91 runs at A2 483m — an overwhelming structural advantage that aligns perfectly with the Closer profile. Trap suitability of 59 confirms individual success from the rail. Track suit 55 and distance suit 49 round out a strong package. Trainer R J Overton at 20% is the one weakness but everything else converges.
DANGER: Best bend (62), best speed (57), four wins from five, TrpS 77. But the Fader profile (EP 100, CS 0) at 483m means she's vulnerable to being caught by the Closers in the closing stages.
Declining form from a high peak, drawn in the weakest trap, and another Fader who'll contribute to a strong early pace that benefits the Closers. Hard to see a winning scenario.
Closer on a fair track with decent T4 draw, but low distance suit (27) and volatile form make her unreliable. Place chance rather than win threat.
Field-low speed (26), weakest trap (T5 at 15%), poor suitability scores, and a poor recent form line. Despite one strong recent run (69), the overall profile doesn't compete at A2.
T1 wins at DOUBLE the expected rate (34.1%). Azeman drawn T1 as a Closer on a fair track is a powerful alignment of structure, pace profile, and draw.
T1:34.1%(91) T2:16.4%(122) T3:20.0%(140) T4:21.3%(122) T5:15.0%(140) T6:22.4%(125)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 483m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Azeman | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Maybe Sydney | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Grouchos Bonnie | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Ballymac Hanson | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Gotacrushonyou | 100 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.