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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Cockneyokoronkwod 2y 27 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R319 W57 P188 Trainer form — last 3 months | 43 | 41 | 46 (4) | 63 (2) | 63 (3) | 39 (4) | 68 (2) | 82 (1) | 80 (1) | 60 (4) | 74 (2) | 79 (1) | 49 | 40 | 18 | 40 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 7/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Keefill Apollod 2y 9 | J W Gaskin — 23% R337 W78 P237 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 52 | 56 (2) | 45 (4) | 47 (3) | 46 (2) | 51 (2) | 41 (4) | 55 (2) | 43 (3) | 61 (1) | 61 (1) | 55 | 61 | 56 | 56 | 46 | 50 | 3 | 3/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Stoney Bonod 1y 7 | S Watson — 31% R421 W129 P297 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | 51 | 51 (5) | 58 (4) | 64 (2) | 58 (4) | 49 (2) | 61 (1) | 48 (3) | 58 (1) | 42 (3) | 49 (4) | 48 | 39 | 25 | 39 | 50 | 47 | 5 | 8/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Ballymac Levid 4y 26 | J W Gaskin — 23% R337 W78 P237 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | 46 | 48 (3) | 51 (2) | 54 (2) | 48 (3) | 62 (4) | 46 (2) | 50 (2) | 61 (1) | 38 (5) | 61 (1) | 63 | 62 | 56 | 61 | 52 | 56 | 1 | 6/4 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Reluctant Debb 2yN/R 33 | D Calvert — 17% R549 W93 P313 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | 10 (5) | 28 (4) | 23 (5) | 33 (1) | 28 (3) | 32 (1) | 30 (2) | 19 (5) | 30 (2) | 29 (2) | 34 | 34 | - | 41 | 28 | 31 | - | - | ||
| 6 | ▶ Absurdb 3y 15 | S Watson — 31% R421 W129 P297 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | 55 | 32 (5) | 30 (5) | 59 (1) | 46 (4) | 43 (4) | 61 (1) | 58 (1) | 69 (4) | 43 (5) | 51 (2) | 60 | 45 | 43 | 44 | 52 | 51 | 2 | 5/4F | ||
The predicted winner with a composite of 56 and exceptional all-round suitability — track 62, distance 61, trap 63 are all comfortably the best in the field. A confirmed Closer (EP 10, CS 100) on a fair Doncaster 483m trip that suits staying types. Form of 2,3,1,1,4 with perf trend 54→48→20→25→62 — the recent 62 performance last time out was a significant step up and suggests improving form. Speed rating of 55 is joint-best in the field. Trainer J W Gaskin at 14% is below awareness-tier, which is a concern. Drawn T4 which wins 18.3% from 306 runs at B2 450m — neutral. The suitability package is the main attraction here: this dog knows Doncaster, knows 450m, and knows T4.
DANGER: Dominant T6 (23.6%), strong trainer Watson (30%), decent class. But Fader at 450m and second run today introduces stamina doubts.
High ceiling (P54, peak 79) but extreme form volatility. Dominant T1 keeps her in the picture but the inconsistency means she can't be trusted as a danger.
Solid suitability and versatile pace profile, but alternating form and modest trainer percentage limit confidence. A place contender rather than a winner.
Watson's 30% trainer rate is a genuine positive. All-Rounder with competitive perf (50) but inconsistent form and modest suitability limit the ceiling.
Outclassed — P28 vs field average ~46. Stepping up significantly in distance and grade simultaneously. Hard to see a path to involvement.
T6 and T1 dominate at B2 450m. Absurd in T6 has the structural advantage but Fader profile at 450m is a risk. Ballymac Levi's suitability package is the strongest individual signal.
T1:22.0%(318) T2:19.2%(343) T3:18.3%(230) T4:18.3%(306) T5:19.1%(314) T6:23.6%(309)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Cockneyokoronkwo | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Keefill Apollo | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Stoney Bono | 51 | 0 | All-Rounder |
4Ballymac Levi | 10 | 100 | Closer |
5Reluctant Deb | — | — | No data |
6Absurd | 57 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.