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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Kelseys Chancerb 3y 9 | J W Gaskin — 23% R318 W73 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 46 | 53 (2) | 54 (2) | 65 (4) | 82 (1) | 78 (5) | 62 (1) | 72 (3) | 39 (3) | 51 (4) | - | 49 | 45 | 26 | 48 | 47 | 47 | 3 | 11/8JF | |
| 2 | ▶ Duggies Danceb 3y 5 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 43 | 36 (5) | 50 (3) | 44 (4) | 30 (5) | 44 (4) | 44 (3) | 47 (3) | 35 (5) | 48 (3) | 42 (4) | 27 | 34 | 25 | 31 | 43 | 39 | 5 | 12/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Late Lolab 4y 32 | C A Williams — 15% R362 W53 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 51 | 52 (2) | 53 (6) | 41 (4) | 42 (5) | 77 (3) | 38 (5) | 82 (3) | 89 (1) | 59 (1) | 37 (1) | 43 | 41 | 26 | 35 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 11/8JF | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballinabola Molyb 2y 9 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 55 | 35 (4) | 56 (2) | 60 (1) | 40 (4) | 40 (3) | 40 (4) | 46 (3) | 60 (1) | 53 (2) | 49 (3) | 52 | 45 | 22 | 37 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 2/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Ballymac Hansond 3yN/R 5 | S A Birks — 16% R217 W35 P124 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 49 | 49 (3) | 38 (5) | 53 (4) | 40 (4) | 48 (5) | 42 (5) | 70 (2) | 38 (4) | 65 (3) | 51 (4) | 32 | 28 | 28 | 32 | 49 | 43 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Easy Whod 1y 16 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 55 | 26 (5) | 32 (5) | 59 (1) | 58 (1) | 29 (5) | 53 (2) | 37 (4) | 58 (1) | 56 (1) | 53 (1) | 66 | 61 | - | 59 | 49 | 54 | 1 | 12/1 | |
Leads on composite at 54 with the field's best suitability package — TS61, DS59, TrpS66 are all comfortably the highest in the field. An All-Rounder (EP 54, CS 0) who should be versatile in any pace scenario. Performance of 49 is just below the top group but the suitability compensates. Form of 1,1,5,2,4 includes two wins from the last five with perf trend 59→58→29→53→37 — the last two runs at 53 and 37 represent a dip from the 59/58 peaks, which is a concern. Drawn T6 which is the DOMINANT trap at B2 450m, winning 23.6% from 309 runs — the strongest structural position. Trap suitability of 66 is the field's highest, confirming this dog has individually thrived from wide draws at Doncaster. Trainer Calvert at 20%. The suitability + dominant trap alignment is the strongest case in this race.
DANGER: Watson at 30% is a strong-tier signal, competitive perf (50), and capable of 60-rated runs. But Fader from a neutral trap means she needs everything to go right.
Field-best speed (61) as a Closer from dominant T1 is structurally sound. But mediocre recent form (mostly unplaced) and P47 slightly below the pick. Place chance.
Flat form trajectory stuck around perf 43, low suitability, and 15-point composite gap to the pick. Closer profile suits the track but the class deficit is too wide.
Competitive Fader (P50, two wins from five) but neutral trap, modest suitability, and declining form (59→46). Will lead early but vulnerable to closers.
Closer profile suits the track but low suitability, mostly poor form, and modest ratings limit prospects. Needs to repeat the 69-rated last run.
T6 dominant at 23.6% from 309 runs. Easy Who drawn T6 with field-best TrpS (66) and strong suitability is structurally well placed. Watson's 30% with the danger Ballinabola Moly is the counter-argument.
T1:22.0%(318) T2:19.2%(343) T3:18.3%(230) T4:18.3%(306) T5:19.1%(314) T6:23.6%(309)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Kelseys Chancer | 17 | 100 | Closer |
2Duggies Dance | 46 | 100 | Closer |
3Late Lola | 57 | 0 | Fader |
4Ballinabola Moly | 61 | 0 | Fader |
5Ballymac Hanson | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Easy Who | 54 | 0 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.